Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? | No | 21.15 | $0.473 | $21.13 | +$11.12 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes | sell | 8.81 | $0.210 | $1.85 | Jun 3, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 15.07 |
| $0.700 |
| $13.89 |
| +$3.34 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | No | 28.5 | $0.410 | $7.84 | -$3.85 |
 Will the Republican Party win the NY-02 House seat? | Yes | 7.44 | $0.740 | $6.44 | +$0.93 |
 Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026? | Yes | 9.77 | $0.330 | $5.32 | +$2.1 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | No | 21.74 | $0.460 | $3.53 | -$6.47 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | No | 10.86 | $0.310 | $2.23 | -$1.14 |
 Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? | Yes | 20.41 | $0.490 | $1.94 | -$8.06 |
 Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? | OpenAI | 13.34 | $0.750 | $0.79 | -$9.21 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 0.22 | $0.414 | $0.21 | +$0.11 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 0.2 | $0.467 | $0.17 | +$0.08 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 0.18 | $0.320 | $0.14 | +$0.09 |
 Anthropic IPO before 2027? | Yes | 0.17 | $0.360 | $0.14 | +$0.08 |
 Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | Yes | 0.16 | $0.370 | $0.11 | +$0.05 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 0.12 | $0.759 | $0.11 | +$0.01 |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 0.15 | $0.380 | $0.08 | +$0.02 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 0.11 | $0.540 | $0.06 | -$0 |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | Yes | 0.16 | $0.360 | $0.06 | -$0 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | Yes | 0.11 | $0.530 | $0.05 | -$0 |
 Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | Yes | 0.13 | $0.450 | $0.04 | -$0.02 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 0.15 | $0.610 | $0.02 | -$0.07 |
 Will Bilibili Gaming win the LPL 2026 season? | No | 0.15 | $0.420 | $0.02 | -$0.04 |
| sell |
| 27.43 |
| $0.400 |
| $10.97 |
| May 31, 2026 |
 Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes | sell | 9.78 | $0.070 | $0.68 | May 31, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes | buy | 8.67 | $0.310 | $2.69 | May 31, 2026 |
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 13.64 | $0.090 | $1.23 | May 31, 2026 |
 Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5Over | sell | 8.87 | $0.070 | $0.62 | May 31, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes | sell | 22.53 | $0.280 | $6.31 | May 31, 2026 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?Yes | sell | 10.51 | $0.180 | $1.89 | May 31, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 27.29 | $0.270 | $7.37 | May 30, 2026 |
 Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?Yes | buy | 192.98 | $0.001 | $0.19 | May 30, 2026 |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?Yes | sell | 13.51 | $0.070 | $0.95 | May 30, 2026 |
 Will Qingdao Xihaian FC win on 2026-05-30?Yes | buy | 222.87 | $0.001 | $0.22 | May 30, 2026 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 26.33 | $0.064 | $1.69 | May 30, 2026 |
 Roland Garros WTA: Iva Jovic vs Naomi OsakaIva Jovic | buy | 239.81 | $0.010 | $2.4 | May 30, 2026 |
| Will Qingdao Xihaian FC win on 2026-05-30?Yes | sell | 51.56 | $0.020 | $1.03 | May 30, 2026 |
| Will Qingdao Xihaian FC win on 2026-05-30?Yes | sell | 7.58 | $0.080 | $0.61 | May 30, 2026 |
 Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak DjokovicJoao Fonseca | sell | 26.08 | $0.090 | $2.35 | May 29, 2026 |
 Will Scott Wiener receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary?No | sell | 5 | $0.060 | $0.3 | May 27, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?No | sell | 0.14 | $0.230 | $0.03 | May 25, 2026 |
| Will Bilibili Gaming win the LPL 2026 season?No | sell | 14.55 | $0.410 | $5.97 | May 25, 2026 |
 Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?No | sell | 12.22 | $0.540 | $6.6 | May 25, 2026 |
 Will the Colorado Avalanche win the Western Conference?No | sell | 5 | $0.850 | $4.25 | May 25, 2026 |
 Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the Eastern Conference?No | sell | 0.31 | $0.350 | $0.11 | May 24, 2026 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | sell | 0.3 | $0.500 | $0.15 | May 24, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?No | sell | 14.21 | $0.290 | $4.12 | May 23, 2026 |
| Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the Eastern Conference?No | sell | 31.19 | $0.450 | $14.04 | May 23, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | sell | 30.53 | $0.550 | $16.79 | May 23, 2026 |
 Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?No | sell | 32.61 | $0.540 | $17.61 | May 22, 2026 |
 Will Connor McDavid win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?No | sell | 0.3 | $0.411 | $0.12 | May 22, 2026 |
| Will Connor McDavid win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?No | sell | 10 | $0.432 | $4.32 | May 21, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:10PM-1:15PM ETUp | buy | 4.1 | $0.580 | $2.38 | May 20, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:55PM-1:00PM ETUp | buy | 3.79 | $0.660 | $2.5 | May 20, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:25PM-12:30PM ETUp | buy | 10 | $0.180 | $1.8 | May 20, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:15PM-12:20PM ETUp | buy | 13.89 | $0.180 | $2.5 | May 20, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:05PM-12:10PM ETUp | buy | 4.55 | $0.540 | $2.46 | May 20, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:55AM-12:00PM ETUp | buy | 3.38 | $0.740 | $2.5 | May 20, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:00AM-11:05AM ETUp | buy | 9.26 | $0.250 | $2.32 | May 20, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:50AM-10:55AM ETDown | buy | 6.1 | $0.410 | $2.5 | May 20, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:35AM-10:40AM ETUp | buy | 15.63 | $0.141 | $2.2 | May 20, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:35AM-10:40AM ETUp | buy | 10.87 | $0.210 | $2.28 | May 20, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:55AM-10:00AM ETUp | buy | 6.95 | $0.360 | $2.5 | May 20, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:35AM-9:40AM ETUp | buy | 6.76 | $0.370 | $2.5 | May 20, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:30AM-9:35AM ETUp | buy | 4.72 | $0.520 | $2.45 | May 20, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:20AM-9:25AM ETDown | buy | 7.36 | $0.340 | $2.5 | May 20, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:00AM-9:05AM ETUp | buy | 5.32 | $0.470 | $2.5 | May 20, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:50AM-7:55AM ETUp | buy | 9.62 | $0.260 | $2.5 | May 20, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:50AM-6:55AM ETUp | buy | 6.42 | $0.340 | $2.18 | May 20, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 17.46 | $0.510 | $8.9 | May 20, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 8:35PM-8:40PM ETUp | buy | 3.66 | $0.650 | $2.38 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 3:50AM-3:55AM ETUp | buy | 12.25 | $0.180 | $2.2 | Apr 18, 2026 |