Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Discord IPO before 2027? | No | 9.09 | $0.110 | $7.76 | +$6.76 |
 Trump out as President before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 2.33 | $0.860 | $2 | 5d ago |
 |
| No |
| 5 |
| $0.840 |
| $4.73 |
| +$0.53 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 9.09 | $0.550 | $4.68 | -$0.32 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 5 | $0.660 | $4.28 | +$0.98 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | No | 4 | $0.250 | $3.34 | +$2.34 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 28.57 | $0.070 | $2.14 | +$0.14 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 2.33 | $0.860 | $2.06 | +$0.06 |
 GTA 6 launch postponed again? | No | 1.89 | $0.530 | $1.76 | +$0.76 |
 Will the US capture another world leader in 2026? | Yes | 30 | $0.100 | $1.65 | -$1.35 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 7.52 | $0.133 | $1.42 | +$0.42 |
 Vanta IPO before 2027? | No | 1.43 | $0.700 | $1.34 | +$0.34 |
 Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 2 | $0.500 | $1.33 | +$0.33 |
 Stripe IPO before 2027? | No | 1.39 | $0.720 | $1.31 | +$0.31 |
 Will Revolut launch a USD stablecoin in 2026? | No | 1.79 | $0.560 | $1.3 | +$0.3 |
 Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? | Yes | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1.19 | +$0.19 |
 Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | No | 1.16 | $0.860 | $1.14 | +$0.14 |
 Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | No | 1.69 | $0.590 | $1.13 | +$0.13 |
 Will Milady floor price reach 2 ETH before 2027? | No | 2.17 | $0.460 | $1.08 | +$0.08 |
 NATO dissolves before 2027? | No | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1.07 | +$0.07 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 12.2 | $0.082 | $1.07 | +$0.07 |
 Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.7m barrels per day in 2026? | No | 1.1 | $0.910 | $1.06 | +$0.06 |
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 3.57 | $0.280 | $0.87 | -$0.13 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 1.09 | $0.920 | $0.81 | -$0.19 |
 Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | Yes | 2.38 | $0.420 | $0.7 | -$0.3 |
| Will Milady floor price reach 4 ETH before 2027? | Yes | 5.26 | $0.190 | $0.53 | -$0.47 |
| buy |
| 1.11 |
| $0.900 |
| $1 |
| 5d ago |
| Will AfD win between 39% and 42% of all valid second votes?Yes | buy | 2.38 | $0.420 | $1 | 5d ago |
| Will AfD win less than 39% of all valid second votes?No | buy | 1.18 | $0.850 | $1 | 5d ago |
 Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during RNC Convention?Yes | buy | 1.67 | $0.600 | $1 | 5d ago |
| Will Trump say "Democrat" or "Dumocrat" or "Dumbocrat" 25+ times during RNC Convention?Yes | buy | 1.69 | $0.590 | $1 | 5d ago |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | 5d ago |
| Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Yes | buy | 2.38 | $0.420 | $1 | 5d ago |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 28.57 | $0.070 | $2 | 5d ago |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes | buy | 4.17 | $0.240 | $1 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.180 | $1 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | buy | 2.17 | $0.460 | $1 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 2.86 | $0.700 | $2 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.040 | $1 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes | sell | 431.81 | $0.120 | $51.82 | Jan 22, 2026 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.200 | $50 | Jan 21, 2026 |
 Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 76.92 | $0.026 | $2 | Jan 18, 2026 |
 Iran Strike on Israel by January 31?No | buy | 1.19 | $0.840 | $1 | Jan 16, 2026 |
 Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?Yes | buy | 3.13 | $0.320 | $1 | Jan 16, 2026 |
 Will To Lam be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party?Yes | buy | 1.06 | $0.946 | $1 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 5 | $0.660 | $3.3 | Jan 16, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?No | buy | 5.88 | $0.850 | $5 | Jan 16, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?No | buy | 1.07 | $0.938 | $1 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?No | buy | 1.18 | $0.850 | $1 | Jan 16, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?No | buy | 1.19 | $0.840 | $1 | Jan 16, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 1.69 | $0.590 | $1 | Jan 16, 2026 |
 Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase January 13-19?Yes | sell | 11.13 | $0.309 | $3.44 | Jan 16, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Unbelievable" or "Fantastic" or "Incredible" 10+ times during Panthers visit?Yes | buy | 2.03 | $0.987 | $2 | Jan 16, 2026 |
 Will Epstein Data Set 9 be released before March?Yes | buy | 1.37 | $0.730 | $1 | Jan 16, 2026 |
 Will anyone audibly fart during Trump's WEF 2026 speech?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.958 | $1 | Jan 16, 2026 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: JanuaryNo | buy | 2.56 | $0.390 | $1 | Jan 16, 2026 |
 Will Trump and Machado not shake hands?No | buy | 10.59 | $0.094 | $1 | Jan 16, 2026 |
 Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | sell | 2.38 | $0.023 | $0.05 | Jan 16, 2026 |
 Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No | sell | 1 | $0.760 | $0.76 | Jan 16, 2026 |
 Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?No | buy | 1.37 | $0.730 | $1 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?No | buy | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.27 | $0.790 | $1 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.54 | $0.650 | $1 | Jan 16, 2026 |
 Will André Ventura win between 16% and 18% of votes in the first round?Yes | buy | 18.83 | $0.053 | $1 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Will André Ventura win between 18% and 20% of votes in the first round?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | Jan 16, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. collect between $200b and $500b in revenue in 2025?No | buy | 1.47 | $0.680 | $1 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?No | buy | 1.35 | $0.740 | $1 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?No | buy | 1.7 | $0.589 | $1 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?No | buy | 1.7 | $0.589 | $1 | Jan 16, 2026 |
 Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | buy | 2.6 | $0.769 | $2 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | buy | 1.3 | $0.769 | $1 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Will António José Seguro qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | buy | 1.18 | $0.850 | $1 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Will António José Seguro win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | buy | 2.08 | $0.480 | $1 | Jan 15, 2026 |