Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 4.42K | $0.214 | $1.17K | +$226 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?No | buy | 82.97 | $0.890 | $73.84 | 7d ago |
 |
| No |
| 1.14K |
| $0.935 |
| $1.08K |
| +$6.61 |
| Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by September 30, 2026? | No | 1.06K | $0.940 | $1.03K | +$27.78 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 860.35 | $0.930 | $795.83 | -$4.3 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026? | No | 517.6 | $0.966 | $513.2 | +$13.2 |
| Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026? | No | 558.82 | $0.805 | $461.03 | +$10.93 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 444.36 | $0.910 | $384.37 | -$20 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 333.86 | $0.860 | $288.79 | +$1.67 |
 Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027? | No | 290.7 | $0.860 | $264.53 | +$14.54 |
 Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026? | No | 287.36 | $0.870 | $262.93 | +$12.93 |
 Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | Yes | 352.11 | $0.710 | $260.56 | +$10.56 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | No | 263.16 | $0.950 | $259.87 | +$9.87 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30? | No | 265.96 | $0.940 | $257.58 | +$7.58 |
 Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? | No | 294.12 | $0.850 | $257.35 | +$7.35 |
 Will Moonshot have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? | No | 278.5 | $0.898 | $254.83 | +$4.83 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | No | 322.56 | $0.775 | $253.21 | +$3.21 |
 Iran leadership change by September 30? | No | 258.53 | $0.967 | $252.59 | +$2.59 |
 Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | No | 284.09 | $0.880 | $251.42 | +$1.42 |
| Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026? | No | 348.93 | $0.716 | $251.23 | +$1.23 |
 Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14? | No | 277.78 | $0.900 | $248.61 | -$1.39 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | Yes | 297.62 | $0.840 | $248.51 | -$1.49 |
 Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? | No | 284.09 | $0.880 | $240.06 | -$9.94 |
 Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in September 2026 (ET)? | No | 229.89 | $0.870 | $228.28 | +$28.28 |
 Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by September 30? | No | 271.32 | $0.921 | $225.2 | -$24.8 |
 Will Novak Djokovic announce his retirement by September 30, 2026? | No | 213.34 | $0.937 | $200.76 | +$0.76 |
| buy |
| 304.88 |
| $0.820 |
| $250 |
| 7d ago |
| Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 526.32 | $0.950 | $500 | 7d ago |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026?No | buy | 188.68 | $0.530 | $100 | 8d ago |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Yes | buy | 297.62 | $0.840 | $250 | 8d ago |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?No | buy | 284.09 | $0.880 | $250 | 8d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?No | buy | 197.37 | $0.760 | $150 | 8d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?No | buy | 277.78 | $0.900 | $250 | 8d ago |
| Will Moonshot have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 278.5 | $0.898 | $250 | 8d ago |
 Next Mythos-Class Model released by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 258.05 | $0.969 | $250 | 8d ago |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 220.58 | $0.420 | $92.64 | 8d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 322.56 | $0.775 | $250 | 8d ago |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?No | buy | 284.09 | $0.880 | $250 | 8d ago |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 40.54 | $0.740 | $30 | 8d ago |
| Will Novak Djokovic announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 213.34 | $0.937 | $200 | 8d ago |
| Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 123.95 | $0.807 | $100 | 8d ago |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?No | buy | 603.81 | $0.930 | $561.54 | 9d ago |
 Will Russia target Kyiv on August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.400 | $10 | 12d ago |
| Will Russia target Kyiv on August 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 18.18 | $0.550 | $10 | 12d ago |
| Will Russia target Kyiv on August 29, 2026?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.900 | $10 | 12d ago |
 Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?No | sell | 7.79K | $0.024 | $185.83 | 12d ago |
| Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 287.36 | $0.870 | $250 | 12d ago |
 Ukraine election called by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 514.97 | $0.998 | $513.94 | 12d ago |
| Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 348.93 | $0.716 | $250 | 12d ago |
| Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Yes | buy | 352.11 | $0.710 | $250 | 12d ago |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?No | sell | 518.45 | $0.999 | $517.93 | 12d ago |
| Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 59 | $0.770 | $45.43 | 15d ago |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 258.37 | $0.310 | $80.09 | 15d ago |
| Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 537.63 | $0.930 | $500 | 15d ago |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?No | sell | 529.1 | $0.995 | $526.45 | 15d ago |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?No | buy | 265.96 | $0.940 | $250 | 16d ago |
| Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?No | buy | 290.7 | $0.860 | $250 | 16d ago |
 Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 606.23 | $0.995 | $603.2 | 16d ago |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 322.72 | $0.930 | $300.13 | 16d ago |
 Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 285.13 | $0.701 | $200 | 16d ago |
| Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 505 | $0.995 | $502.48 | 16d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 169.64 | $0.910 | $154.37 | 16d ago |
| Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in September 2026 (ET)?No | buy | 229.89 | $0.870 | $200 | 16d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 220.59 | $0.680 | $150 | 16d ago |
| Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 508 | $0.995 | $505.46 | 16d ago |
| Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?No | buy | 294.12 | $0.850 | $250 | 16d ago |
| Iran leadership change by September 30?No | buy | 258.53 | $0.967 | $250 | 16d ago |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?No | buy | 265.96 | $0.940 | $250 | 16d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?No | buy | 291.97 | $0.856 | $250 | 16d ago |
| Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.01K | $0.994 | $1K | 16d ago |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?No | buy | 274.39 | $0.940 | $257.93 | 16d ago |
| Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 258 | $0.994 | $256.45 | 16d ago |
| Andrew Tate released from custody by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 535.4 | $0.934 | $500 | 16d ago |
| Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 505 | $0.995 | $502.44 | 16d ago |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 333.86 | $0.860 | $287.12 | 16d ago |