Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 4.01K | $0.904 | $3.88K | +$261.42 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?No | buy | 76.92 | $0.130 | $10 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 1.15K |
| $0.960 |
| $1.14K |
| +$38.39 |
 Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | No | 1.1K | $0.906 | $1.05K | +$48.36 |
| US strike on Colombia by December 31? | No | 514.96 | $0.777 | $445.44 | +$45.47 |
 Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | Yes | 636.25 | $0.157 | $37.22 | -$62.78 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 153.85 | $0.130 | $22.31 | +$2.31 |
 Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | Yes | 96.77 | $0.310 | $11.13 | -$18.87 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? | Yes | 80 | $0.500 | $10 | -$30 |
 Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 405.09 | $0.049 | $6.68 | -$13.32 |
 Will Trump repeal Presidential term limits in 2026? | Yes | 205.54 | $0.073 | $5.55 | -$9.45 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 100 | $0.100 | $3.55 | -$6.45 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 169.6 | $0.059 | $0.76 | -$9.24 |
| buy |
| 386.5 |
| $0.776 |
| $299.97 |
| Aug 7, 2026 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 367.08 | $0.765 | $280.84 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will a US-Iran deal in 2026 include Surrender of Iranian Enriched Uranium?No | sell | 123.45 | $0.861 | $106.27 | Jul 24, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?Yes | sell | 185.18 | $0.022 | $4.07 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 367.09 | $0.790 | $290 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 636.25 | $0.157 | $100 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 259.74 | $0.973 | $252.73 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Yes | buy | 96.77 | $0.310 | $30 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Will a US-Iran deal in 2026 include Surrender of Iranian Enriched Uranium?No | buy | 123.46 | $0.810 | $100 | Jun 28, 2026 |
 Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 105.26 | $0.950 | $100 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?No | buy | 439.56 | $0.910 | $400 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| US strike on Colombia by December 31?No | buy | 128.46 | $0.778 | $100 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| US strike on Colombia by December 31?No | sell | 515.7 | $0.759 | $391.59 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?No | buy | 663.98 | $0.904 | $600 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| US strike on Colombia by December 31?No | buy | 515.7 | $0.776 | $400 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | buy | 405.09 | $0.049 | $20 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 259.74 | $0.770 | $200 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | sell | 1.48K | $0.900 | $1.33K | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.100 | $10 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 169.6 | $0.059 | $10 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 666.67 | $0.015 | $10 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | sell | 100 | $0.121 | $12.1 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 238.26 | $0.977 | $232.78 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 440.19 | $0.138 | $60.92 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 171.91 | $0.175 | $30 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will Trump repeal Presidential term limits in 2026?Yes | sell | 205.54 | $0.011 | $2.28 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will Trump repeal Presidential term limits in 2026?Yes | buy | 411.08 | $0.073 | $30 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.100 | $10 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes | sell | 18.18 | $0.220 | $4 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 1.1K | $0.910 | $1K | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?No | sell | 295.22 | $0.660 | $194.85 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 30?No | buy | 110.87 | $0.045 | $5 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 22, 2026?No | sell | 251.77 | $0.230 | $57.91 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 268.27 | $0.177 | $47.5 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 22, 2026?No | sell | 251.76 | $0.282 | $70.98 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.060 | $5 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?Yes | buy | 185.19 | $0.027 | $5 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 238.27 | $0.839 | $200 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 153.85 | $0.130 | $20 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?No | buy | 295.23 | $0.677 | $200 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes | buy | 18.18 | $0.220 | $4 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.500 | $40 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?No | buy | 1.15K | $0.960 | $1.1K | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in June?No | sell | 222.22 | $0.013 | $2.89 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.040 | $8 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.002 | $2 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 1.8K | $0.002 | $3.6 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in June?No | buy | 222.22 | $0.009 | $2 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 372.49 | $0.027 | $10 | Jun 14, 2026 |