Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 64.09 | $0.830 | $62.14 | +$8.94 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?No | buy | 54 | $0.940 | $50.76 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 54 |
| $0.940 |
| $53.65 |
| +$2.89 |
 Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? | Yes | 30 | $0.890 | $29.15 | +$2.45 |
 Lee Jae-myung impeached before 2027? | No | 30 | $0.900 | $28.16 | +$1.16 |
 2026 Balance of Power: Other | No | 28 | $0.993 | $27.9 | +$0.1 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: Obama | Nothing | 29.36 | $0.930 | $27.47 | +$0.16 |
 Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | No | 24 | $0.963 | $23.65 | +$0.54 |
 Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 24 | $0.930 | $23.58 | +$1.26 |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | No | 22.53 | $0.942 | $21.84 | +$0.62 |
 Human moon landing in 2026? | No | 20 | $0.966 | $19.84 | +$0.52 |
 Base FDV above $6B one day after launch? | Yes | 21.3 | $0.310 | $6.5 | -$0.11 |
 Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 254.81 | $0.024 | $4.84 | -$1.27 |
 Metamask FDV above $300M one day after launch? | Yes | 50 | $0.340 | $4.25 | -$12.75 |
 Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | 29.99 | $0.180 | $1.65 | -$3.75 |
| buy |
| 22.53 |
| $0.942 |
| $21.22 |
| Jun 7, 2026 |
| Human moon landing in 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.966 | $19.32 | May 20, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes | buy | 254.81 | $0.024 | $6.12 | May 20, 2026 |
 Trump out as President by May 31?No | buy | 23.99 | $0.998 | $23.94 | May 20, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?No | buy | 21.11 | $0.991 | $20.92 | May 20, 2026 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: OtherNo | buy | 28 | $0.993 | $27.8 | May 20, 2026 |
 Lai Ching-te impeached by June 30?No | buy | 15 | $0.986 | $14.79 | May 20, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes | buy | 29 | $0.959 | $27.81 | May 19, 2026 |
 MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?No | buy | 34.1 | $0.290 | $9.89 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | buy | 24 | $0.930 | $22.32 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 26 | $0.971 | $25.25 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 UFC 327: Jirí Procházka vs. Carlos Ulberg (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)Jirí Procházka | buy | 10.83 | $0.520 | $5.63 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?No | buy | 33 | $0.987 | $32.57 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Will Jerome Powell be confirmed as Fed Chair?No | buy | 50.58 | $0.995 | $50.33 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.140 | $7 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Yes | sell | 304 | $0.022 | $6.69 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Yes | buy | 304 | $0.023 | $6.99 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?No | buy | 755.73 | $0.019 | $14.36 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionYes | buy | 17.2 | $0.140 | $2.41 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No | buy | 24 | $0.963 | $23.11 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 64.09 | $0.830 | $53.19 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 43.59 | $0.994 | $43.33 | Mar 5, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by March 7?No | buy | 30 | $0.921 | $27.63 | Mar 5, 2026 |
 Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to 30-60 years in prison?No | buy | 54 | $0.920 | $49.68 | Feb 16, 2026 |
 AI Industry Downturn by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 28 | $0.975 | $27.3 | Feb 16, 2026 |
| Base FDV above $6B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 21.3 | $0.310 | $6.6 | Feb 16, 2026 |
 Tim Cook out as Apple CEO by March 31?No | buy | 25 | $0.967 | $24.18 | Feb 16, 2026 |
 Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?Yes | buy | 23 | $0.986 | $22.68 | Feb 16, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 20 | $0.975 | $19.5 | Feb 16, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 20.4 | $0.999 | $20.38 | Jan 20, 2026 |
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?Yes | buy | 22 | $0.961 | $21.14 | Jan 20, 2026 |
 Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 16.91 | $0.946 | $16 | Jan 20, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 13 | $0.780 | $10.14 | Jan 20, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair?No | sell | 56.59 | $0.998 | $56.48 | Jan 20, 2026 |
 Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?Yes | buy | 976.62 | $0.271 | $264.66 | Jan 20, 2026 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?No | buy | 25 | $0.999 | $24.98 | Dec 30, 2025 |
| Will Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair?No | buy | 56.59 | $0.999 | $56.53 | Dec 30, 2025 |
 Putin out as President of Russia in 2025?No | buy | 31.95 | $0.997 | $31.85 | Dec 30, 2025 |
| Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?No | buy | 23.83 | $0.999 | $23.81 | Dec 30, 2025 |
 Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 34.09 | $0.060 | $2.05 | Dec 30, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 45.64 | $0.986 | $45 | Oct 26, 2025 |
 ETH flipped in 2025?No | buy | 66.6 | $0.981 | $65.31 | Oct 26, 2025 |
| Will Base launch a token in 2025?No | sell | 31.91 | $0.930 | $29.68 | Oct 26, 2025 |
| Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?No | buy | 38.87 | $0.820 | $31.87 | Oct 26, 2025 |
| Will Base launch a token in 2025?No | buy | 31.91 | $0.940 | $30 | Oct 26, 2025 |
| Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?Yes | buy | 18 | $0.964 | $17.35 | Oct 26, 2025 |
 Will Canada join US as 51st state in 2025?No | buy | 78.83 | $0.988 | $77.88 | Oct 26, 2025 |
 Will the U.S. acquire Canadian territory in 2025?Yes | buy | 45.13 | $0.023 | $1.04 | Oct 26, 2025 |
 Will Gold close under $2,500 at the end of 2025?No | buy | 30.12 | $0.996 | $30 | Oct 26, 2025 |