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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? | No | 1.56K | $0.268 | $398.22 | -$20.5 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?No | buy | 322.08 | $0.998 | $321.44 | 2d ago |
 |
| No |
| 217.63 |
| $0.842 |
| $182.49 |
| -$0.74 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31? | No | 197.88 | $0.855 | $171.17 | +$1.97 |
 Iran full airspace closure by September 30? | No | 190 | $0.888 | $170.05 | +$1.27 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026? | No | 169.99 | $0.934 | $162.34 | +$3.55 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 179.56 | $0.874 | $157.12 | +$0.17 |
 Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026? | No | 159.44 | $0.959 | $156.89 | +$4 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 210 | $0.715 | $152.25 | +$2.06 |
 Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 170 | $0.869 | $150.45 | +$2.77 |
 Will Grüne win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | No | 150 | $0.962 | $141.23 | -$3.01 |
 Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 137.33 | $0.980 | $134.38 | -$0.23 |
 Will Russia capture Borova by December 31, 2026? | No | 142.98 | $0.917 | $130.83 | -$0.35 |
 Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 151.24 | $0.874 | $130.82 | -$1.33 |
 Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | No | 145.8 | $0.864 | $130.49 | +$4.46 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | 150 | $0.825 | $129.75 | +$6.07 |
 Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 302.37 | $0.472 | $125.94 | -$16.82 |
 Will Russia capture Havrylivka by December 31, 2026? | No | 130 | $0.960 | $124.09 | -$0.65 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | No | 214.72 | $0.574 | $123.46 | +$0.24 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | No | 132 | $0.865 | $120.78 | +$6.54 |
 Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | No | 170 | $0.711 | $116.45 | -$4.5 |
 Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? | Yes | 124.15 | $0.919 | $114.84 | +$0.67 |
 Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | No | 127.24 | $0.870 | $112.61 | +$1.95 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 134.7 | $0.816 | $109.44 | -$0.43 |
 Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? | No | 116.3 | $0.874 | $106.41 | +$4.82 |
 Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? | No | 110 | $0.908 | $102.85 | +$2.93 |
| buy |
| 19.99 |
| $0.992 |
| $19.83 |
| 10d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?Yes | buy | 45.64 | $0.992 | $45.27 | 11d ago |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.991 | $99.1 | 11d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 274.07 | $0.991 | $271.6 | 11d ago |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 31?No | buy | 125 | $0.992 | $124 | 12d ago |
 Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.317 | $3.17 | 17d ago |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.317 | $3.17 | 17d ago |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?No | buy | 50 | $0.992 | $49.6 | 18d ago |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?No | buy | 50.18 | $0.991 | $49.73 | 18d ago |
 Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?Yes | buy | 63.41 | $0.991 | $62.84 | 21d ago |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?Yes | buy | 29.6 | $0.997 | $29.51 | 21d ago |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 125.54 | $0.994 | $124.79 | 21d ago |
| Iran full airspace closure by September 30?No | buy | 5 | $0.870 | $4.35 | 23d ago |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.025 | $1.25 | 25d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?No | buy | 74.25 | $0.981 | $72.84 | 26d ago |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?Yes | buy | 105.79 | $0.025 | $2.64 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.330 | $1.65 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.170 | $2.55 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.300 | $1.5 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 10 | $0.840 | $8.4 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | buy | 10 | $0.500 | $5 | May 25, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.800 | $16 | May 21, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.640 | $3.2 | May 20, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 9.36 | $0.440 | $4.12 | May 18, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes | sell | 8 | $0.330 | $2.64 | May 12, 2026 |
 Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.620 | $6.2 | May 12, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.600 | $6 | May 7, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.570 | $2.85 | May 7, 2026 |
 Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.290 | $2.9 | May 6, 2026 |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.420 | $2.1 | May 5, 2026 |
 Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?No | sell | 5 | $0.900 | $4.5 | May 5, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?No | sell | 5 | $0.890 | $4.45 | May 5, 2026 |
 Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?No | sell | 5 | $0.847 | $4.23 | May 5, 2026 |
 Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.430 | $2.15 | May 5, 2026 |
| Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.430 | $2.15 | May 5, 2026 |
 Will Australia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?No | sell | 5 | $0.670 | $3.35 | May 5, 2026 |
| Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?No | sell | 5 | $0.710 | $3.55 | May 5, 2026 |
| Will Australia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.330 | $1.65 | May 5, 2026 |
| Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?No | sell | 5 | $0.700 | $3.5 | May 5, 2026 |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.320 | $1.6 | May 5, 2026 |
| Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?No | sell | 5 | $0.900 | $4.5 | May 5, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | sell | 5 | $0.840 | $4.2 | May 5, 2026 |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.330 | $1.65 | May 5, 2026 |
 Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?No | sell | 5 | $0.680 | $3.4 | May 5, 2026 |
| Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.420 | $2.1 | May 5, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?No | sell | 5 | $0.900 | $4.5 | May 5, 2026 |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.330 | $1.65 | May 5, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?No | sell | 5 | $0.900 | $4.5 | May 5, 2026 |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.330 | $1.65 | May 5, 2026 |