Analytics
Rank, Total PnL and Observed Volume retain the selected Observed 80K snapshot. Positions, chart and recent trades are independent Polymarket observations. Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? | No | 28.84 | $0.956 | $28.16 | +$0.59 |
 Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | buy | 26.3 | $0.044 | $1.16 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 30 |
| $0.740 |
| $24.75 |
| +$2.55 |
 Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | No | 19.38 | $0.915 | $18.5 | +$0.76 |
 Unit FDV above $200M one day after launch? | Yes | 6 | $0.640 | $2.55 | -$1.29 |
| buy |
| 187.87 |
| $0.005 |
| $0.9 |
| Jun 7, 2026 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 77.58 | $0.020 | $1.55 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 GPT-5.6 released by June 8, 2026?No | buy | 23.1 | $0.997 | $23.03 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?No | buy | 45.36 | $0.998 | $45.27 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?Yes | buy | 8.7 | $0.966 | $8.4 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Will Park Chan-dae win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?Yes | buy | 46 | $0.940 | $43.24 | May 16, 2026 |
 Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?No | buy | 18.41 | $0.992 | $18.26 | May 16, 2026 |
 Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionYes | buy | 12.22 | $0.820 | $10.02 | May 16, 2026 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | sell | 20.66 | $0.670 | $13.84 | May 16, 2026 |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No | buy | 25.48 | $0.904 | $23.03 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 2.4K | $0.010 | $24 | Mar 31, 2026 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | buy | 520.19 | $0.170 | $88.43 | Mar 31, 2026 |
 Will NewJeans perform again by March 31?No | buy | 25 | $0.992 | $24.8 | Mar 23, 2026 |
 Yoon out of custody by March 31?No | buy | 33.4 | $0.992 | $33.13 | Mar 23, 2026 |
 Will Duke win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?Yes | buy | 7.55 | $0.180 | $1.36 | Mar 23, 2026 |
 Will Trump visit China by June 30?Yes | buy | 17.8 | $0.660 | $11.75 | Mar 23, 2026 |
 Will Backpack launch a token on March 24?No | buy | 26.99 | $0.978 | $26.4 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?No | buy | 28.84 | $0.956 | $27.57 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.680 | $13.6 | Mar 23, 2026 |
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 34.6 | $0.987 | $34.15 | Feb 25, 2026 |
 Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 18 | $0.955 | $17.19 | Feb 25, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?No | buy | 24 | $0.960 | $23.04 | Feb 25, 2026 |
 Will TKO Group Holdings (TKO) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.540 | $2.7 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will Backpack launch a token by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 26 | $0.979 | $25.45 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Unit FDV above $200M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.640 | $3.84 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | buy | 26.56 | $0.550 | $14.61 | Feb 25, 2026 |
 Fabric FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 13.33 | $0.970 | $12.93 | Feb 25, 2026 |
 Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 21.61 | $0.760 | $16.42 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 666 | $0.020 | $13.32 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No | buy | 52 | $0.921 | $47.89 | Feb 25, 2026 |
 Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)?Yes | buy | 79.2 | $0.968 | $76.67 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?Yes | buy | 700 | $0.002 | $1.4 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?Yes | buy | 339.11 | $0.003 | $1.02 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?Yes | buy | 1.3K | $0.090 | $117 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Will the Bank of Canada announce a 50+ bps decrease at the January meeting?No | buy | 34 | $0.999 | $33.97 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 36 | $0.993 | $35.75 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 35.28 | $0.290 | $10.23 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 3.96 | $0.962 | $3.81 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)?Yes | buy | 27.51 | $0.220 | $6.05 | Dec 20, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | buy | 28 | $0.963 | $26.96 | Dec 20, 2025 |
 Will the fight be ruled a No Contest or end in any other result?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.001 | $0.06 | Dec 20, 2025 |
 Will 2025 be the hottest year on record?No | buy | 24.4 | $0.986 | $24.06 | Nov 29, 2025 |
| Will November 2025 be the 1st hottest on record?No | buy | 50 | $0.999 | $49.95 | Nov 29, 2025 |
 Maduro out by November 30, 2025?No | buy | 40 | $0.991 | $39.64 | Nov 29, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.120 | $6 | Nov 29, 2025 |
 Epstein or Maxwell confirmed Mossad operatives in 2025?No | sell | 31.06 | $0.954 | $29.63 | Nov 29, 2025 |
 Lee Jae-myung impeached in 2025?No | sell | 65.66 | $0.990 | $65.03 | Nov 29, 2025 |
 Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?No | buy | 27.78 | $0.360 | $10 | Nov 29, 2025 |
 Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2025?No | buy | 44 | $0.980 | $43.12 | Oct 26, 2025 |