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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 20 | $0.500 | $12.1 | +$2.1 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel military action against Lebanon on September 8?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.400 | $2 | 19h ago |
 |
| No |
| 19.46 |
| $0.350 |
| $11.38 |
| +$4.57 |
 Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | No | 13.08 | $0.765 | $10.24 | +$0.23 |
 Will there be exactly 1 North Korea test in September 2026? | No | 13.96 | $0.670 | $9.14 | -$0.21 |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 17.62 | $0.440 | $7.49 | -$0.26 |
 Will Russia enter Preobrazhenka by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 12.02 | $0.620 | $7.27 | -$0.18 |
 Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by September 15, 2026? | No | 56.17 | $0.120 | $7.02 | +$0.28 |
 Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31? | Yes | 12.51 | $0.430 | $6.32 | +$0.94 |
| Israel military action against Lebanon on September 9? | No | 20.07 | $0.140 | $6.22 | +$3.41 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027? | Yes | 16 | $0.370 | $5.36 | -$0.56 |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | Yes | 10.16 | $0.510 | $5.34 | +$0.15 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 33.34 | $0.150 | $4.83 | -$0.17 |
 Trump meets with Putin by December 31? | No | 12.5 | $0.340 | $4.69 | +$0.44 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7? | Yes | 11.14 | $0.660 | $4.68 | -$2.67 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 7.55 | $0.551 | $4.37 | +$0.21 |
 Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? | Yes | 8.01 | $0.480 | $4.2 | +$0.36 |
| Will Russia enter Preobrazhenka by December 31, 2026? | No | 28 | $0.070 | $3.78 | +$1.82 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | Yes | 8.67 | $0.360 | $3.6 | +$0.48 |
 Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | No | 7.5 | $0.220 | $2.55 | +$0.9 |
| Israel military action against Lebanon on September 8? | Yes | 5 | $0.400 | $1.8 | -$0.2 |
 Will Linke be in the next Berlin state government? | No | 5 | $0.420 | $1.08 | -$1.03 |
 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by August 31? | No | 1.01 | $0.625 | $1 | +$0.37 |
 Will FW be in the next Berlin state government? | Yes | 18.82 | $0.090 | $0.71 | -$0.99 |
| Will Russia capture Svitle by October 31? | Yes | 3.03 | $0.389 | $0.56 | -$0.62 |
 Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | No | 12.03 | $0.440 | $0.53 | -$4.76 |
| buy |
| 16 |
| $0.370 |
| $5.92 |
| 20h ago |
 Will 20-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 31-September 6?No | sell | 10 | $0.180 | $1.8 | 20h ago |
 US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by October 31?Yes | sell | 66.66 | $0.160 | $10.67 | 20h ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.5 | $0.551 | $4.13 | 21h ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 3.5 | $0.439 | $1.54 | 22h ago |
| Trump meets with Putin by December 31?No | buy | 12.5 | $0.340 | $4.25 | 22h ago |
| Will Russia enter Preobrazhenka by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 12.02 | $0.620 | $7.45 | 23h ago |
 Will Russia target Kyiv on September 10, 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.870 | $8.7 | 23h ago |
 Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in September?No | sell | 5 | $0.300 | $1.5 | 1d ago |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 10.16 | $0.510 | $5.18 | 1d ago |
| Will Russia enter Preobrazhenka by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 12.51 | $0.380 | $4.75 | 1d ago |
 Will Ukraine re-enter Kolodiazi by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.690 | $6.9 | 1d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 3.51 | $0.445 | $1.56 | 1d ago |
| Israel military action against Lebanon on September 8?No | sell | 5.27 | $0.300 | $1.58 | 1d ago |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.480 | $3.84 | 1d ago |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 17.61 | $0.440 | $7.75 | 1d ago |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.500 | $10 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 19.43 | $0.350 | $6.8 | 1d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2027?No | sell | 18.51 | $0.510 | $9.44 | 1d ago |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 19.6 | $0.480 | $9.41 | 1d ago |
| Israel military action against Lebanon on September 9?No | buy | 20.07 | $0.140 | $2.81 | 1d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027?No | sell | 11.48 | $0.680 | $7.81 | 1d ago |
 Will Andrés Fontecilla win the next Laurier-Dorion Quebec National Assembly election?No | sell | 5.93 | $0.300 | $1.78 | 1d ago |
| Israel military action against Lebanon on September 8?No | sell | 5.09 | $0.170 | $0.87 | 1d ago |
| Israel military action against Lebanon on September 8?No | sell | 9.17 | $0.130 | $1.19 | 1d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 21?Yes | sell | 13.73 | $0.200 | $2.75 | 1d ago |
| Will there be exactly 1 North Korea test in September 2026?No | buy | 13.96 | $0.670 | $9.35 | 1d ago |
| Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by September 15, 2026?No | buy | 56.17 | $0.120 | $6.74 | 1d ago |
| Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | buy | 13.07 | $0.765 | $10 | 1d ago |
| US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by October 31?Yes | buy | 66.67 | $0.150 | $10 | 1d ago |
| Will Linke be in the next Berlin state government?No | buy | 5 | $0.420 | $2.1 | 1d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?Yes | buy | 12.51 | $0.430 | $5.38 | 1d ago |
 Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026?No | sell | 29.41 | $0.337 | $9.91 | 1d ago |
 Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.100 | $2.5 | 1d ago |
| Will Russia target Kyiv on September 19, 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.580 | $5.8 | 1d ago |
| Will Ukraine re-enter Kolodiazi by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.620 | $6.2 | 1d ago |
| Will Russia enter Preobrazhenka by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 12.51 | $0.350 | $4.38 | 1d ago |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 7.5 | $0.220 | $1.65 | 1d ago |
 Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 9.6 | $0.260 | $2.5 | 1d ago |
| Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.270 | $2.7 | 1d ago |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 18.1 | $0.290 | $5.25 | 1d ago |
| Will Russia enter Preobrazhenka by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 28 | $0.070 | $1.96 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?Yes | buy | 11.14 | $0.660 | $7.35 | 1d ago |
| Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in September?No | buy | 5 | $0.310 | $1.55 | 1d ago |
| Will Russia target Kyiv on September 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.710 | $7.1 | 1d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?Yes | sell | 5.76 | $0.410 | $2.36 | 1d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?Yes | sell | 9.99 | $0.420 | $4.2 | 1d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?Yes | sell | 55.55 | $0.080 | $4.44 | 1d ago |
| Will Russia target Kyiv on September 19, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.590 | $5.9 | 1d ago |