Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes | 0.9 | $0.085 | $0.03 | -$0.04 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Cuban regime falls in 2026?No | sell | 1 | $0.810 | $0.81 | Jun 26, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 65 |
| $0.350 |
| $22.75 |
| Jun 25, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.350 | $21 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 25 | $0.900 | $22.5 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 23 | $0.972 | $22.36 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026?No | sell | 30 | $0.800 | $24 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026?No | buy | 31 | $0.800 | $24.8 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 26 | $0.840 | $21.84 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 32 | $0.690 | $22.08 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 11 | $0.947 | $10.42 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026?Yes | sell | 54 | $0.160 | $8.64 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 27 | $0.920 | $24.84 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.810 | $8.1 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 21.5 | $0.800 | $17.2 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?No | buy | 26 | $0.966 | $25.12 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 28 | $0.161 | $4.51 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 21 | $0.856 | $17.98 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | buy | 26 | $0.420 | $10.92 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 29 | $0.780 | $22.62 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 29 | $0.750 | $21.75 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 45 | $0.070 | $3.15 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 26 | $0.890 | $23.14 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No | sell | 29 | $0.900 | $26.1 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No | buy | 29 | $0.870 | $25.23 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?No | sell | 28 | $0.975 | $27.3 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?No | buy | 28 | $0.974 | $27.27 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes | buy | 69 | $0.100 | $6.9 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?Yes | buy | 37 | $0.680 | $25.16 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 28 | $0.985 | $27.58 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 28 | $0.985 | $27.58 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 36 | $0.700 | $25.2 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 6 | $0.984 | $5.9 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes | buy | 66 | $0.330 | $21.78 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 27 | $0.955 | $25.79 | Jun 3, 2026 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | sell | 29 | $0.470 | $13.63 | Jun 2, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 60 | $0.480 | $28.8 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.480 | $28.8 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 7 | $0.530 | $3.71 | May 29, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 37 | $0.760 | $28.12 | May 29, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?No | sell | 39 | $0.871 | $33.97 | May 29, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?No | buy | 39 | $0.858 | $33.46 | May 29, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 38 | $0.949 | $36.06 | May 29, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | sell | 38 | $0.958 | $36.4 | May 29, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 38 | $0.958 | $36.4 | May 29, 2026 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?No | buy | 37 | $0.985 | $36.45 | May 28, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 44 | $0.760 | $33.44 | May 26, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 44 | $0.740 | $32.56 | May 26, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 36 | $0.885 | $31.86 | May 26, 2026 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | sell | 37 | $0.957 | $35.41 | May 26, 2026 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | buy | 37 | $0.958 | $35.45 | May 26, 2026 |