Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bitcoin above $105,000 on July 1?Yes | sell | 1.2 | $0.810 | $0.97 | Jun 28, 2025 |
|
| buy |
| 1.2 |
| $0.830 |
| $1 |
| Jun 28, 2025 |
 Will Joni Ernst vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?Yes | sell | 23.58 | $0.986 | $23.25 | Feb 7, 2025 |
| Will Joni Ernst vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?Yes | buy | 23.59 | $0.990 | $23.35 | Feb 7, 2025 |
 Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 5.25K | $0.003 | $15.75 | Jan 16, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 5.25K | $0.004 | $21 | Jan 16, 2025 |
 Ethereum above $3,300 on January 3?Yes | sell | 20.18 | $0.990 | $19.98 | Jan 3, 2025 |
| Ethereum above $3,300 on January 3?Yes | buy | 20.18 | $0.991 | $20 | Jan 3, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin hit $100k again in 2024?Yes | buy | 0.01 | $0.784 | $0.01 | Dec 26, 2024 |
 OpenSea airdrop before April?Yes | buy | 0.13 | $0.780 | $0.1 | Dec 24, 2024 |
 Will MicroStrategy purchase more Bitcoin in 2024?Yes | buy | 0.01 | $0.850 | $0.01 | Dec 21, 2024 |
| Will MicroStrategy purchase more Bitcoin in 2024?Yes | buy | 0.01 | $0.850 | $0.01 | Dec 21, 2024 |
| Will MicroStrategy purchase more Bitcoin in 2024?Yes | buy | 0.01 | $0.900 | $0.01 | Dec 20, 2024 |
 Ripple ETF approved by July 31?Yes | buy | 0.01 | $0.760 | $0.01 | Dec 9, 2024 |
 Solana ETF approved by July 31?Yes | buy | 0.01 | $0.770 | $0.01 | Dec 8, 2024 |
 Will $cult launch in 2024?Yes | buy | 0.01 | $0.713 | $0.01 | Dec 7, 2024 |
 Dogecoin above $0.41 on December 6?Yes | buy | 0.01 | $0.900 | $0.01 | Dec 6, 2024 |
 Will DOGE hit 69¢ by Inauguration Day?Yes | buy | 0.02 | $0.450 | $0.01 | Dec 5, 2024 |
| Will DOGE hit 69¢ by Inauguration Day?Yes | buy | 0.02 | $0.450 | $0.01 | Dec 5, 2024 |
 Will MicroStrategy hold 400k+ BTC before 2025?Yes | buy | 0.01 | $0.820 | $0.01 | Nov 29, 2024 |
| Will MicroStrategy hold 400k+ BTC before 2025?Yes | buy | 0.01 | $0.860 | $0.01 | Nov 26, 2024 |
| Will MicroStrategy hold 400k+ BTC before 2025?Yes | buy | 0.01 | $0.750 | $0.01 | Nov 24, 2024 |
| Dogecoin above $0.37 on November 22?Yes | buy | 0.01 | $0.989 | $0.01 | Nov 22, 2024 |
| Dogecoin above $0.37 on November 22?Yes | buy | 0.01 | $0.820 | $0.01 | Nov 20, 2024 |
 Will Sonic launch before 2025?Yes | buy | 0.01 | $0.910 | $0.01 | Nov 19, 2024 |
 Coinbase #1 finance app on Friday?Yes | buy | 0.02 | $0.880 | $0.02 | Nov 13, 2024 |
 Will Biden finish his term?Yes | buy | 0.01 | $0.920 | $0.01 | Nov 12, 2024 |
 Will a Democrat win Arizona US Senate Election?Yes | buy | 0.01 | $0.994 | $0.01 | Nov 10, 2024 |
 Trump nominates RFK Jr. to Cabinet?Yes | buy | 0.02 | $0.570 | $0.01 | Nov 9, 2024 |
 Will the AP call the election on November 6?Yes | buy | 0.02 | $0.470 | $0.01 | Nov 5, 2024 |
 Will Frank Degods be the biggest loser of The House Poker Night?Yes | buy | 0.01 | $0.780 | $0.01 | Nov 4, 2024 |
| Will Frank Degods be the biggest loser of The House Poker Night?Yes | buy | 0.01 | $0.780 | $0.01 | Nov 4, 2024 |
 Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?Yes | buy | 0.02 | $0.630 | $0.01 | Oct 31, 2024 |
 Another Iran strike on Israel in 2024?Yes | buy | 0.02 | $0.620 | $0.01 | Oct 31, 2024 |
 Which party wins 2024 US Presidential Election?Democratic | buy | 0.03 | $0.370 | $0.01 | Oct 31, 2024 |
 Trump wins every swing state?Yes | buy | 0.04 | $0.260 | $0.01 | Oct 31, 2024 |
 Trump gets more black voters than in 2020?Yes | buy | 0.01 | $0.820 | $0.01 | Oct 31, 2024 |
| Which party wins 2024 US Presidential Election?Democratic | buy | 0.03 | $0.370 | $0.01 | Oct 31, 2024 |
| Trump wins every swing state?Yes | buy | 0.04 | $0.260 | $0.01 | Oct 31, 2024 |
 Will a Republican win Iowa Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 0.01 | $0.960 | $0.01 | Oct 31, 2024 |
| Will a Republican win Florida in the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 0.01 | $0.950 | $0.01 | Oct 31, 2024 |
 Will a Democrat win Colorado Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 0.01 | $0.960 | $0.01 | Oct 31, 2024 |
| Will a Democrat win Virginia Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 0.01 | $0.850 | $0.01 | Oct 31, 2024 |
 2024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R HouseYes | buy | 0.02 | $0.450 | $0.01 | Oct 31, 2024 |
 Will a Republican win Wisconsin Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 0.02 | $0.530 | $0.01 | Oct 31, 2024 |
 Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?Yes | buy | 0.03 | $0.627 | $0.02 | Oct 31, 2024 |
 Will Tim Walz be D-nom for VP on Election Day?Yes | buy | 0.01 | $0.997 | $0.01 | Oct 31, 2024 |
| 2024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R HouseYes | sell | 71.02 | $0.410 | $29.12 | Oct 20, 2024 |
| 2024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R HouseYes | buy | 71.02 | $0.420 | $29.83 | Oct 20, 2024 |
| Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?Yes | sell | 45.76 | $0.652 | $29.84 | Oct 20, 2024 |