Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Biden finish his term?No | sell | 9.38K | $0.100 | $940.5 | Oct 20, 2024 |
 |
| buy |
| 16.12K |
| $0.031 |
| $500 |
| Aug 19, 2024 |
| Will Biden finish his term?No | buy | 9.38K | $0.160 | $1.5K | Aug 18, 2024 |
 Kamala president by Friday?Yes | buy | 7.21K | $0.111 | $800 | Jul 24, 2024 |
 Will Biden resign during his speech today?Yes | buy | 4.28K | $0.117 | $500 | Jul 24, 2024 |
| Kamala president by Friday?Yes | buy | 6.3K | $0.079 | $500 | Jul 23, 2024 |
| Will Biden announce resignation by July 31?Yes | sell | 5.71K | $0.075 | $427.5 | Jul 23, 2024 |
| Kamala president by Friday?Yes | buy | 20.18K | $0.124 | $2.5K | Jul 23, 2024 |
 Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?Yes | sell | 74.42K | $0.051 | $3.83K | Jul 23, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?No | buy | 7.36K | $0.136 | $1K | Jul 22, 2024 |
| Will Biden announce resignation by July 31?Yes | buy | 5.71K | $0.088 | $500 | Jul 22, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?No | sell | 32.23K | $0.157 | $5.05K | Jul 22, 2024 |
| Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?Yes | buy | 74.42K | $0.035 | $2.6K | Jul 21, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?No | buy | 23.49K | $0.216 | $5.08K | Jul 21, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?No | buy | 8.74K | $0.165 | $1.44K | Jul 21, 2024 |
 Will Hillary Clinton win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?Yes | sell | 46.61K | $0.007 | $331.06 | Jul 21, 2024 |
 Will someone else win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?Yes | sell | 13.88K | $0.080 | $1.11K | Jul 21, 2024 |
| Will someone else win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?Yes | buy | 13.88K | $0.132 | $1.83K | Jul 21, 2024 |
 Biden drops out of presidential race?No | sell | 15.07K | $0.020 | $301.5 | Jul 21, 2024 |
| Will Hillary Clinton win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?Yes | buy | 29.45K | $0.034 | $1K | Jul 20, 2024 |
| Will Hillary Clinton win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?Yes | buy | 17.16K | $0.029 | $500 | Jul 20, 2024 |
| Biden drops out of presidential race?No | buy | 15.07K | $0.265 | $4K | Jul 20, 2024 |
| Biden drops out of presidential race?No | sell | 12.97K | $0.216 | $2.8K | Jul 20, 2024 |
| Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?Yes | sell | 69.32K | $0.037 | $2.53K | Jul 20, 2024 |
| Biden drops out of presidential race?No | buy | 12.97K | $0.270 | $3.5K | Jul 20, 2024 |
| Will someone else win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?Yes | sell | 30.56K | $0.135 | $4.13K | Jul 20, 2024 |
 Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?Yes | sell | 76.79K | $0.002 | $153.58 | Jul 20, 2024 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?Yes | sell | 19.95K | $0.025 | $489.15 | Jul 20, 2024 |
| Biden drops out of presidential race?No | sell | 1.85K | $0.220 | $407 | Jul 19, 2024 |
 Biden nominated by July 21?Yes | sell | 7.5K | $0.003 | $24 | Jul 19, 2024 |
| Will someone else win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?Yes | buy | 10.19K | $0.160 | $1.63K | Jul 19, 2024 |
| Biden drops out of presidential race?No | buy | 1.85K | $0.180 | $333 | Jul 19, 2024 |
| Biden drops out of presidential race?Yes | sell | 5K | $0.882 | $4.41K | Jul 18, 2024 |
| Will someone else win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?Yes | buy | 20.37K | $0.147 | $3K | Jul 18, 2024 |
| Biden drops out of presidential race?Yes | sell | 5K | $0.740 | $3.7K | Jul 18, 2024 |
| Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?Yes | buy | 99.17K | $0.030 | $3K | Jul 17, 2024 |
 Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?Yes | buy | 6.06K | $0.082 | $500 | Jul 15, 2024 |
 Will Ron DeSantis win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?Yes | buy | 34.67K | $0.014 | $500 | Jul 15, 2024 |
 Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?Yes | buy | 6.04K | $0.109 | $657.95 | Jul 15, 2024 |
| Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.115 | $11.5 | Jul 15, 2024 |
 Will JD Vance win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?Yes | sell | 11.61K | $0.633 | $7.35K | Jul 15, 2024 |
 Will Byron Donalds win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?Yes | buy | 27.42K | $0.018 | $500 | Jul 15, 2024 |
| Will Byron Donalds win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?Yes | buy | 51.22K | $0.010 | $500 | Jul 15, 2024 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?Yes | sell | 7.42K | $0.110 | $816.7 | Jul 15, 2024 |
| Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?Yes | buy | 10K | $0.019 | $186.2 | Jul 15, 2024 |
| Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.016 | $79.62 | Jul 15, 2024 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?Yes | buy | 2.53K | $0.394 | $1K | Jul 14, 2024 |
| Biden drops out of presidential race?Yes | sell | 10.61K | $0.376 | $3.99K | Jul 14, 2024 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?Yes | buy | 9.07K | $0.386 | $3.5K | Jul 14, 2024 |
| Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?Yes | buy | 9.05K | $0.033 | $300 | Jul 14, 2024 |