Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?No | buy | 1.67K | $0.003 | $5 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 1K |
| $0.070 |
| $70.02 |
| Apr 8, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes | sell | 716.88 | $0.999 | $716.16 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by April 30?Yes | sell | 60 | $0.110 | $6.6 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 184.04 | $0.166 | $30.55 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | sell | 645.85 | $0.220 | $142.09 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes | sell | 303.03 | $0.999 | $302.73 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 US recession by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 1.24K | $0.375 | $464.35 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 645.86 | $0.522 | $337.08 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| US recession by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 323.55 | $0.309 | $100 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.200 | $100 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?Yes | buy | 500.25 | $0.200 | $100 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes | buy | 303.03 | $0.660 | $200 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes | buy | 716.88 | $0.558 | $400 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?Yes | sell | 230.76 | $0.030 | $6.92 | Mar 28, 2026 |
| US recession by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.340 | $136 | Mar 20, 2026 |
 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?Yes | buy | 232.56 | $0.430 | $100 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?Yes | sell | 303.03 | $0.280 | $84.85 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?Yes | sell | 582.72 | $0.140 | $81.58 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| US recession by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 514.29 | $0.350 | $180 | Mar 14, 2026 |
 SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?No | sell | 113.33 | $0.160 | $18.13 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?No | buy | 113.34 | $0.176 | $20 | Mar 14, 2026 |
 Will Trump visit China by March 31?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.683 | $6.83 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by March 31?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.240 | $24 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by April 30?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.520 | $31.2 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by March 31?Yes | buy | 136.73 | $0.230 | $31.45 | Mar 14, 2026 |
 Houthi strike on Israel by March 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 52.5 | $0.095 | $5 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?Yes | buy | 230.77 | $0.130 | $30 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?Yes | buy | 582.72 | $0.172 | $100 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?Yes | buy | 303.03 | $0.330 | $100 | Mar 14, 2026 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 14.29K | $0.007 | $100 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 184.05 | $0.163 | $30 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 8.33K | $0.012 | $100 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 33.33K | $0.003 | $100 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 14.29K | $0.007 | $100 | Mar 5, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February?Yes | buy | 800.53 | $0.100 | $80 | Feb 23, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 192.62 | $0.519 | $100 | Feb 23, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 163.93 | $0.610 | $100 | Feb 23, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?Yes | buy | 235.29 | $0.170 | $40 | Feb 23, 2026 |
 Will the US next strike Iran on February 26, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 1.03K | $0.039 | $40 | Feb 23, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | sell | 476.19 | $0.200 | $95.24 | Feb 23, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 1.94K | $0.051 | $100 | Feb 23, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 476.19 | $0.210 | $100 | Feb 23, 2026 |