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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | Yes | 160 | $0.240 | $9.6 | -$28.8 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will US GDP growth in 2025 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?Yes | buy | 211 | $0.900 | $189.9 | Feb 11, 2026 |
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| sell |
| 215 |
| $0.920 |
| $197.8 |
| Feb 11, 2026 |
Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 215 | $0.940 | $202.1 | Feb 11, 2026 |
Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?No | buy | 137.05 | $0.840 | $115.08 | Feb 9, 2026 |
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionNo | sell | 132 | $0.320 | $42.24 | Feb 9, 2026 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?No | buy | 127.01 | $0.965 | $122.56 | Feb 3, 2026 |
SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?No | sell | 262 | $0.220 | $57.64 | Feb 3, 2026 |
SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?No | buy | 262.03 | $0.310 | $81.23 | Feb 1, 2026 |
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionNo | buy | 132.02 | $0.420 | $55.45 | Jan 26, 2026 |
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Yes | buy | 160 | $0.240 | $38.4 | Jan 22, 2026 |
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in over 2 hours and 30 minutes?No | buy | 137 | $0.890 | $121.93 | Jan 17, 2026 |
Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No | buy | 148 | $0.836 | $123.73 | Jan 17, 2026 |
Will Trump talk to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in January?Yes | buy | 211 | $0.940 | $198.34 | Jan 17, 2026 |
Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Australian Open?No | sell | 190 | $0.990 | $188.1 | Jan 17, 2026 |
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?No | buy | 191.01 | $0.963 | $183.94 | Jan 16, 2026 |
US government shutdown Saturday?Yes | sell | 191 | $0.220 | $42.02 | Jan 16, 2026 |
Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?No | sell | 213 | $0.975 | $207.67 | Jan 16, 2026 |
US government shutdown Saturday?Yes | buy | 191 | $0.280 | $53.48 | Jan 15, 2026 |
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?Yes | sell | 222 | $0.610 | $135.42 | Jan 13, 2026 |
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?No | sell | 193 | $0.820 | $158.26 | Jan 13, 2026 |
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?No | buy | 193 | $0.830 | $160.19 | Jan 11, 2026 |
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?Yes | buy | 222 | $0.670 | $148.74 | Jan 11, 2026 |
Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No | sell | 100 | $0.920 | $92 | Jan 11, 2026 |
Paradex FDV above $750M one day after launch?No | sell | 232 | $0.780 | $180.96 | Jan 11, 2026 |
Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No | buy | 100 | $0.930 | $93 | Jan 10, 2026 |
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 140 | $0.260 | $36.4 | Jan 9, 2026 |
Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Australian Open?No | buy | 190 | $0.994 | $188.86 | Jan 6, 2026 |
Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?No | buy | 213 | $0.972 | $207.04 | Jan 4, 2026 |
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the February 2026 meeting?No | sell | 234 | $0.985 | $230.49 | Jan 4, 2026 |
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the February 2026 meeting?No | buy | 234 | $0.989 | $231.43 | Jan 3, 2026 |
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 140 | $0.240 | $33.6 | Jan 3, 2026 |
Will Lilo and Stitch be the second highest grossing movie of 2025?Yes | sell | 160 | $0.999 | $159.84 | Jan 3, 2026 |
Will Lilo and Stitch be the second highest grossing movie of 2025?Yes | buy | 160 | $0.999 | $159.84 | Jan 1, 2026 |
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 119 | $0.224 | $26.68 | Dec 30, 2025 |
Will Fogo launch a token by December 31 2025?No | sell | 169 | $0.997 | $168.49 | Dec 29, 2025 |
Paradex FDV above $750M one day after launch?No | buy | 234.83 | $0.820 | $192.56 | Dec 29, 2025 |
Will Fogo launch a token by December 31 2025?No | buy | 169.01 | $0.998 | $168.67 | Dec 29, 2025 |
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 119 | $0.340 | $40.46 | Dec 25, 2025 |
Fed abolished in 2025?No | sell | 134 | $0.998 | $133.73 | Dec 25, 2025 |
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Yes | sell | 191 | $0.520 | $99.32 | Dec 23, 2025 |
Will Real Madrid finish in the top 4 of the La Liga 2025–26 standings?Yes | sell | 205 | $0.580 | $118.9 | Dec 23, 2025 |
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Yes | buy | 191 | $0.530 | $101.23 | Dec 23, 2025 |
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 143 | $0.910 | $130.13 | Dec 16, 2025 |
Will Patrick Mahomes win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?No | sell | 203 | $0.998 | $202.59 | Dec 16, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?No | buy | 225 | $0.900 | $202.5 | Dec 15, 2025 |
Taylor Swift pregnant in 2025?No | sell | 209 | $0.991 | $207.12 | Dec 15, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?No | buy | 179 | $0.941 | $168.44 | Dec 15, 2025 |
Will the price of Solana be between $120 and $130 on December 14?No | sell | 225 | $0.730 | $164.25 | Dec 14, 2025 |
Will Real Madrid finish in the top 4 of the La Liga 2025–26 standings?Yes | buy | 205 | $0.984 | $201.72 | Dec 14, 2025 |
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?No | sell | 253 | $0.988 | $249.96 | Dec 14, 2025 |