Analytics
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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 5.16 | $0.930 | $4.98 | +$0.18 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | buy | 3.36 | $0.298 | $1 | Jul 21, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 5.04 |
| $0.710 |
| $4.94 |
| +$1.36 |
 Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 153.25 | $0.039 | $4.52 | -$1.48 |
 Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 61.2 | $0.038 | $3.58 | +$1.24 |
 Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 12.31 | $0.185 | $3.51 | +$1.23 |
 Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 17.69 | $0.113 | $2.03 | +$0.03 |
 Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 88.62 | $0.034 | $1.6 | -$1.4 |
 5kt meteor strike in 2026? | No | 2.08 | $0.480 | $1.57 | +$0.57 |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | No | 1.41 | $0.710 | $1.32 | +$0.32 |
 US strike on Mexico by December 31? | No | 1.43 | $0.700 | $1.29 | +$0.29 |
 Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 95.83 | $0.042 | $1.2 | -$2.8 |
 Will Islam Makhachev be the UFC Welterweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | Yes | 1.33 | $0.750 | $1.15 | +$0.15 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 1.13 | $0.890 | $1.09 | +$0.09 |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 3.36 | $0.298 | $0.55 | -$0.45 |
 Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 32.25 | $0.049 | $0.53 | -$1.05 |
 Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 27.67 | $0.072 | $0.35 | -$1.65 |
 Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 19.61 | $0.051 | $0.22 | -$0.78 |
 Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 0.3 | $0.840 | $0.2 | -$0.05 |
 Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 20 | $0.050 | $0.19 | -$0.81 |
 Will Gérald Darmanin win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 100 | $0.010 | $0.1 | -$0.9 |
 Databricks IPO before 2027? | Yes | 1.47 | $0.680 | $0.08 | -$0.92 |
 Will Jean Castex win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 43.48 | $0.023 | $0.07 | -$0.93 |
| Will Khamzat Chimaev be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | Yes | 1.45 | $0.690 | $0.06 | -$0.94 |
| buy |
| 1.28 |
| $0.780 |
| $1 |
| Apr 8, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best Coding AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes | buy | 1.08 | $0.920 | $0.99 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | sell | 3.88 | $0.240 | $0.93 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | sell | 17.26 | $0.060 | $1.04 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Will Tom Aspinall be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.44 | $0.270 | $0.39 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.050 | $2 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?No | sell | 2 | $0.750 | $1.5 | Mar 28, 2026 |
 UFC Fight Night: Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer (Middleweight, Main Card)Israel Adesanya | buy | 1.75 | $0.570 | $1 | Mar 28, 2026 |
| Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.026 | $1 | Mar 28, 2026 |
| Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 9.52 | $0.210 | $2 | Mar 28, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | sell | 0.41 | $0.820 | $0.34 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will Islam Makhachev be the UFC Welterweight Champion on December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.33 | $0.750 | $1 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.032 | $2 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.040 | $2 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 47.62 | $0.042 | $2 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | sell | 8.57 | $0.064 | $0.55 | Mar 7, 2026 |
| Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 40.82 | $0.049 | $2 | Feb 22, 2026 |
| Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Feb 22, 2026 |
| Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 15.63 | $0.064 | $1 | Feb 22, 2026 |
| Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 61.17 | $0.049 | $3 | Feb 22, 2026 |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?No | sell | 0.89 | $0.910 | $0.81 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?Yes | sell | 0.97 | $0.840 | $0.81 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | sell | 1.28 | $0.690 | $0.88 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?Yes | buy | 4.55 | $0.220 | $1 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 Will global temperature increase by less than 1.00ºC in January 2026?Yes | sell | 6.57 | $0.003 | $0.02 | Feb 11, 2026 |
| Will Jean Castex win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 43.48 | $0.023 | $1 | Feb 11, 2026 |
| Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 42.08 | $0.024 | $1 | Feb 11, 2026 |
 Will the January 2026 unemployment rate be 4.5%?Yes | sell | 3.12 | $0.170 | $0.53 | Feb 11, 2026 |
 Will "One Battle After Another" win exactly 7 awards at the Oscars?Yes | buy | 6.21 | $0.161 | $1 | Feb 10, 2026 |
| Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 12.05 | $0.083 | $1 | Feb 9, 2026 |
 Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 1.3 | $0.770 | $1 | Feb 9, 2026 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | Feb 9, 2026 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No | sell | 13.12 | $0.880 | $11.55 | Feb 9, 2026 |
| Will Paul Thomas Anderson win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | Feb 9, 2026 |
| Will "One Battle After Another" win exactly 6 awards at the Oscars?Yes | buy | 3.23 | $0.310 | $1 | Feb 9, 2026 |
| Will "One Battle After Another" win exactly 5 awards at the Oscars?Yes | buy | 3.03 | $0.330 | $1 | Feb 9, 2026 |
| Will "One Battle After Another" win exactly 4 awards at the Oscars?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1 | Feb 9, 2026 |
| Will "One Battle After Another" win 3 or fewer awards at the Oscars?Yes | sell | 6.92 | $0.160 | $1.11 | Feb 9, 2026 |
| Will "One Battle After Another" win 3 or fewer awards at the Oscars?Yes | buy | 3.7 | $0.270 | $1 | Feb 9, 2026 |
| Will One Battle After Another win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | sell | 5.26 | $0.310 | $1.63 | Feb 9, 2026 |
 Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?No | buy | 1.28 | $0.780 | $1 | Feb 9, 2026 |
 Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?Yes | buy | 1.33 | $0.750 | $1 | Feb 9, 2026 |
| Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?No | sell | 1.78 | $0.730 | $1.3 | Feb 9, 2026 |
| Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?Yes | sell | 2.08 | $0.690 | $1.44 | Feb 9, 2026 |
| Will One Battle After Another win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| Will One Battle After Another win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 1.56 | $0.640 | $1 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026?No | sell | 2.3 | $0.920 | $2.12 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| Will Sentimental Value win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?No | buy | 2.86 | $0.350 | $1 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| Will Sinners win Best Original Score at the 98th Academy Awards?No | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | Feb 3, 2026 |