Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $106,000 on October 22?Yes | buy | 17.75 | $0.984 | $17.47 | Oct 22, 2025 |
 |
| sell |
| 24.64 |
| $0.709 |
| $17.47 |
| Oct 22, 2025 |
| Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?Yes | buy | 24.64 | $0.810 | $19.96 | Oct 17, 2025 |
 Will the price of Solana be above $180 on October 16?Yes | buy | 19.96 | $0.985 | $19.66 | Oct 16, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 21.85 | $0.900 | $19.67 | Oct 12, 2025 |
 Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 14.42 | $0.810 | $11.68 | Oct 9, 2025 |
 Trump approval Up or Down this week?No | buy | 15.63 | $0.640 | $10 | Oct 9, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 21.84 | $0.900 | $19.66 | Oct 9, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $122,000 on October 7?Yes | buy | 4.3 | $0.898 | $3.86 | Oct 7, 2025 |
 Will Hamas release any more hostages by October 31?Yes | sell | 6.76 | $0.570 | $3.85 | Oct 7, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 10?No | buy | 14.32 | $0.850 | $12.17 | Oct 7, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI launch a token in 2025?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.980 | $1 | Oct 7, 2025 |
 Will Lebron announce he's retiring Tuesday?No | buy | 2.02 | $0.988 | $2 | Oct 7, 2025 |
 Will Elizabeth Holmes launch a coin by December 31?No | buy | 2.22 | $0.900 | $2 | Oct 7, 2025 |
 Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?Yes | sell | 32.58 | $0.360 | $11.73 | Oct 7, 2025 |
| Will Hamas release any more hostages by October 31?Yes | buy | 6.76 | $0.740 | $5 | Oct 6, 2025 |
| Trump approval Up or Down this week?No | buy | 16.13 | $0.620 | $10 | Oct 6, 2025 |
 Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,700 on October 6?No | sell | 20.47 | $0.999 | $20.45 | Oct 6, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,700 on October 6?No | buy | 20.48 | $0.980 | $20.07 | Oct 6, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | sell | 23.22 | $0.864 | $20.06 | Oct 6, 2025 |
| Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?Yes | buy | 32.59 | $0.290 | $9.45 | Oct 4, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026?No | sell | 13.31 | $0.710 | $9.45 | Oct 4, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026?No | buy | 13.31 | $0.729 | $9.71 | Oct 4, 2025 |
 Israel strikes Iran by October 3?No | sell | 9.72 | $0.999 | $9.71 | Oct 4, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 6.72 | $0.900 | $6.05 | Oct 3, 2025 |
| Will Hamas release any more hostages by October 31?Yes | sell | 26.31 | $0.230 | $6.05 | Oct 3, 2025 |
| Israel strikes Iran by October 3?No | buy | 9.72 | $0.974 | $9.47 | Oct 1, 2025 |
| Will Hamas release any more hostages by October 31?Yes | buy | 26.32 | $0.380 | $10 | Oct 1, 2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 23.23 | $0.861 | $20 | Oct 1, 2025 |
 Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by September 30?No | sell | 20.68 | $0.998 | $20.64 | Oct 1, 2025 |
 US government shutdown by October 1?Yes | sell | 18.85 | $0.999 | $18.83 | Oct 1, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 7.63 | $0.860 | $6.56 | Sep 30, 2025 |
| US government shutdown by October 1?Yes | buy | 12.05 | $0.830 | $10 | Sep 30, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $104,000 on October 1?Yes | sell | 11.19 | $0.996 | $11.15 | Sep 30, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120K in September?No | sell | 5.43 | $0.998 | $5.42 | Sep 30, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 13.3 | $0.810 | $10.77 | Sep 28, 2025 |
| Ethereum all time high by December 31?Yes | sell | 26.26 | $0.410 | $10.77 | Sep 28, 2025 |
| Ethereum all time high by December 31?Yes | buy | 26.26 | $0.530 | $13.92 | Sep 27, 2025 |
| Ethereum all time high by December 31?No | sell | 29.62 | $0.470 | $13.92 | Sep 27, 2025 |
| US government shutdown by October 1?Yes | buy | 6.8 | $0.710 | $4.83 | Sep 27, 2025 |
| US government shutdown by October 1?No | sell | 16.66 | $0.290 | $4.83 | Sep 27, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $104,000 on October 1?Yes | buy | 11.19 | $0.947 | $10.6 | Sep 27, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 16.05 | $0.810 | $13 | Sep 27, 2025 |
| US government shutdown by October 1?No | buy | 16.67 | $0.300 | $5 | Sep 27, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 September 22-28?No | sell | 28.74 | $0.995 | $28.6 | Sep 27, 2025 |
| Ethereum all time high by December 31?No | buy | 16.35 | $0.540 | $8.83 | Sep 25, 2025 |
| Ethereum all time high by December 31?No | buy | 13.28 | $0.540 | $7.17 | Sep 25, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $110,000 on September 25?Yes | sell | 8.83 | $0.812 | $7.17 | Sep 25, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $110,000 on September 25?Yes | buy | 17.66 | $0.941 | $16.62 | Sep 25, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 September 22-28?No | buy | 23.02 | $0.950 | $21.87 | Sep 24, 2025 |