Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 699.49 | $0.715 | $500 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 113.83 |
| $0.878 |
| $100 |
| Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will 30-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 6-April 12?No | buy | 110.11 | $0.908 | $100 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Will 40-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 6-April 12?No | buy | 116.28 | $0.860 | $100 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 6-April 12?No | buy | 51.28 | $0.975 | $50 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Will 20-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 6-April 12?No | buy | 52.08 | $0.960 | $50 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Will 30-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 6-April 12?No | buy | 55.56 | $0.900 | $50 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Will 50-59 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 6-April 12?No | buy | 55.71 | $0.897 | $50 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Will 40-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 6-April 12?No | buy | 58.14 | $0.860 | $50 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Will 60 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 6-April 12?Yes | buy | 400.11 | $0.500 | $200 | Apr 6, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by March 14?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.100 | $99.98 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 14?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.100 | $199.98 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.8K | $0.008 | $22.4 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.2K | $0.047 | $103.4 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Will Trump visit China by March 31?No | buy | 400 | $0.420 | $168 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 200 | $0.120 | $24 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?No | buy | 1K | $0.090 | $90 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 2K | $0.125 | $250.37 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 1K | $0.348 | $348.36 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 300 | $0.280 | $84 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 1K | $0.800 | $800 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?No | buy | 255.11 | $0.730 | $186.23 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 2024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R HouseYes | buy | 189.44 | $0.934 | $176.94 | Nov 6, 2024 |
| 2024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R HouseYes | buy | 500 | $0.900 | $450 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Will a Republican win the popular vote and the Presidency?No | sell | 5.43 | $0.070 | $0.38 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?Yes | buy | 8K | $0.195 | $1.56K | Nov 6, 2024 |
| Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?Yes | buy | 1.93K | $0.261 | $504.04 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Trump Sun Belt swing state sweep?No | buy | 971 | $0.570 | $553.47 | Nov 5, 2024 |
| Trump Sun Belt swing state sweep?No | buy | 3K | $0.570 | $1.71K | Nov 5, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after November 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 10K | $0.002 | $20 | Nov 5, 2024 |
| Trump Sun Belt swing state sweep?No | buy | 1K | $0.600 | $600 | Nov 5, 2024 |
| Trump Sun Belt swing state sweep?No | buy | 1K | $0.600 | $600 | Nov 5, 2024 |
| Trump Sun Belt swing state sweep?No | buy | 29.07 | $0.590 | $17.15 | Nov 5, 2024 |
| Will a Republican win the popular vote and the Presidency?No | buy | 3.35K | $0.730 | $2.45K | Nov 5, 2024 |
| Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.725 | $3.63K | Nov 5, 2024 |
| 2024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R HouseNo | buy | 2K | $0.610 | $1.22K | Nov 5, 2024 |