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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 233.43K | $0.986 | $232.38K | +$2.17K |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 53.43K | $0.987 | $52.73K | 16d ago |
 |
| No |
| 25K |
| $0.930 |
| $24.61K |
| +$1.36K |
 Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September? | No | 15K | $0.967 | $14.48K | -$17.36 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15? | No | 11K | $0.978 | $10.96K | +$203.5 |
 Russia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold? | No | 10K | $0.986 | $9.93K | +$75 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in September? | Yes | 16K | $0.774 | $9.36K | -$3.03K |
| Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in September? | No | 10K | $0.943 | $9.29K | -$144.95 |
 Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | Yes | 10K | $0.910 | $8.05K | -$1.05K |
| Will Bitcoin reach $97,500 in September? | No | 5K | $0.951 | $4.75K | -$7.5 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? | No | 4.06K | $0.880 | $4.03K | +$458.43 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in September? | Yes | 10K | $0.525 | $3.85K | -$1.4K |
 Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 613.16 | $0.918 | $595.69 | +$32.8 |
 Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 110.38 | $0.901 | $108.28 | +$8.83 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026? | No | 48.2 | $0.956 | $46.8 | +$0.72 |
 Iran leadership change by September 30? | Yes | 311.37 | $0.130 | $7.32 | -$33.16 |
| buy |
| 329.14 |
| $0.992 |
| $326.51 |
| 20d ago |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?Yes | buy | 398.98 | $0.996 | $397.38 | 25d ago |
 Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?No | buy | 10.65K | $0.870 | $9.26K | Aug 10, 2026 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | buy | 64.84 | $0.810 | $52.52 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?Yes | buy | 12.06K | $0.960 | $11.57K | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?No | buy | 4.95K | $0.966 | $4.78K | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by July 31?No | buy | 4.04K | $0.995 | $4.02K | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 30?Yes | buy | 14.33K | $0.998 | $14.3K | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?Yes | buy | 10.38K | $0.984 | $10.22K | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?No | buy | 7.36K | $0.957 | $7.04K | Jul 30, 2026 |
 Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes | buy | 9.3K | $0.956 | $8.89K | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?No | buy | 926.23 | $0.984 | $911.41 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?No | buy | 10.11K | $0.997 | $10.08K | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?No | buy | 60.95K | $0.996 | $60.7K | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?No | sell | 4.92K | $0.460 | $2.26K | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?No | sell | 2.71K | $0.340 | $920.5 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes | sell | 8.92K | $0.230 | $2.05K | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 24?Yes | buy | 30.29K | $0.997 | $30.19K | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?Yes | buy | 65.05K | $0.970 | $63.08K | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 24?Yes | buy | 10.56K | $0.991 | $10.47K | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?No | sell | 623.43 | $0.500 | $311.72 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?No | sell | 767.85 | $0.670 | $514.46 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?No | sell | 1.51K | $0.380 | $575.27 | Jul 24, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 49.97K | $0.720 | $35.98K | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 9.63K | $0.710 | $6.84K | Jul 24, 2026 |
 Iran full airspace closure by July 24?No | buy | 1.21K | $0.910 | $1.1K | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22?Yes | buy | 9.07K | $0.997 | $9.05K | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22?Yes | buy | 4.54K | $0.996 | $4.52K | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 20?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.998 | $2K | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22?Yes | buy | 11.76K | $0.960 | $11.29K | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22?Yes | buy | 150.58 | $0.890 | $134.02 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes | buy | 16.13K | $0.240 | $3.87K | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by September 30?Yes | buy | 305.62 | $0.130 | $39.73 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 12.5K | $0.700 | $8.75K | Jul 19, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | buy | 698.71 | $0.830 | $579.93 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?No | buy | 5.17K | $0.880 | $4.55K | Jul 18, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 12.61K | $0.100 | $1.26K | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 33.3K | $0.100 | $3.33K | Jul 18, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 18?No | buy | 8.01K | $0.993 | $7.95K | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 80.02K | $0.990 | $79.22K | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 28 | $0.810 | $22.68 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.41K | $0.900 | $2.17K | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 50.47K | $0.960 | $48.45K | Jul 13, 2026 |
 Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 58.39K | $0.978 | $57.11K | Jul 8, 2026 |
 Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 3.5Under | buy | 27.69K | $0.780 | $21.59K | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 3.5Under | buy | 13.39K | $0.770 | $10.31K | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 50K | $0.990 | $49.5K | Jul 7, 2026 |
 Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 134.05K | $0.977 | $130.97K | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Portugal vs. Spain: Spain O/U 1.5Over | buy | 13.77K | $0.520 | $7.16K | Jul 6, 2026 |