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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | No | 1.45K | $0.335 | $544.53 | +$58.21 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 2.65 | $0.760 | $2.01 | 14d ago |
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| No |
| 476.66 |
| $0.760 |
| $312.21 |
| -$50.05 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | No | 423.7 | $0.400 | $153.8 | -$15.68 |
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | No | 1.98K | $0.107 | $139.6 | -$72.28 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 1.68K | $0.230 | $126.32 | -$261.06 |
GPT-7 released by June 30, 2027? | No | 161.69 | $0.730 | $92.16 | -$25.87 |
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 1.33K | $0.075 | $70.92 | -$28.5 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 118.74 | $0.540 | $43.93 | -$20.19 |
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by December 31? | No | 135.13 | $0.370 | $38.51 | -$11.49 |
KOSPI all-time high before 2028? | Yes | 50 | $0.700 | $34.75 | -$0.25 |
Meta's Watermelon released by October 31, 2026? | No | 102.13 | $0.400 | $27.06 | -$13.79 |
Claude 6 released by March 31, 2027? | Yes | 59.16 | $0.380 | $20.41 | -$2.07 |
No one announced as next James Bond? | Yes | 87.42 | $0.278 | $16.26 | -$8.04 |
Will Ali Khamenei be the #1 searched passing on Google in the US this year? | Yes | 322.85 | $0.170 | $14.85 | -$40.15 |
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? | No | 13.05 | $0.940 | $12.33 | +$0.07 |
Will ANSEM be the first to hit a $1B FDV? | Yes | 346.24 | $0.050 | $7.1 | -$10.21 |
Will Cash Cat be the first to hit a $1B FDV? | Yes | 113.69 | $0.050 | $6.25 | +$0.57 |
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026? | No | 6.25 | $0.950 | $5.92 | -$0.02 |
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? | No | 71.52 | $0.170 | $5.36 | -$6.79 |
LAPTOP listed on Coinbase within 30 days of TGE? | Yes | 50 | $0.090 | $3.25 | -$1.25 |
Meta's Watermelon released by November 30, 2026? | No | 45.55 | $0.210 | $2.96 | -$6.6 |
Foreign intervention in Gaza by September 30? | Yes | 64.63 | $0.030 | $1.49 | -$0.45 |
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 260M by September 25, 2026? | Yes | 25 | $0.320 | $0.63 | -$7.38 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 0.97 | $0.562 | $0.62 | +$0.07 |
| sell |
| 314.66 |
| $0.010 |
| $3.15 |
| 23d ago |
Will Ülle Madise be the next President of Estonia?No | sell | 233.86 | $0.020 | $4.68 | 23d ago |
Will Ülle Madise be the next President of Estonia?No | sell | 34.61 | $0.030 | $1.04 | 23d ago |
Outstanding lead actress in a limited or anthology series or movie?Yes | sell | 0.83 | $0.440 | $0.37 | 29d ago |
Will the 2026 Guinea-Bissau constitutional referendum pass?No | sell | 1.81 | $0.027 | $0.05 | 29d ago |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of August 2026?No | sell | 2.59 | $0.290 | $0.75 | Aug 5, 2026 |
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026?No | sell | 3.5 | $0.540 | $1.89 | Jul 30, 2026 |
Will Ali Khamenei be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.310 | $12.4 | Jul 21, 2026 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 55.78 | $0.420 | $23.43 | Jul 19, 2026 |
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 9.36 | $0.690 | $6.46 | Jul 14, 2026 |
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No | sell | 130.51 | $0.630 | $82.22 | Jul 14, 2026 |
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | sell | 1.58 | $0.450 | $0.71 | Jul 12, 2026 |
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31No | sell | 4.8 | $0.610 | $2.93 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| France vs. Morocco: France O/U 1.5 AND France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 | buy | 43.77 | $0.449 | $19.67 | Jul 9, 2026 |
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?Yes | sell | 128.5 | $0.360 | $46.26 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Mexico vs. England: O/U 1.5 AND Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance | buy | 36.45 | $0.541 | $19.72 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Canada vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5 AND Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04? | buy | 213.45 | $0.461 | $98.4 | Jul 4, 2026 |
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?No | sell | 364 | $0.570 | $207.48 | Jul 3, 2026 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No | sell | 900 | $0.360 | $324 | Jul 2, 2026 |
Will LeBron's next contract average $15M-$50M per year?Yes | sell | 13.67 | $0.660 | $9.02 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advance AND Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 0.5 | buy | 20.44 | $0.045 | $0.92 | Jul 2, 2026 |
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?No | sell | 1.58K | $0.450 | $709.3 | Jul 2, 2026 |
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?No | sell | 1.68K | $0.460 | $772.34 | Jul 2, 2026 |
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?No | sell | 299 | $0.470 | $140.53 | Jul 2, 2026 |
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?No | sell | 9.99 | $0.470 | $4.7 | Jul 2, 2026 |
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?No | buy | 3.24K | $0.489 | $1.59K | Jul 2, 2026 |
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No | sell | 2.1 | $0.380 | $0.8 | Jul 1, 2026 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 99.67 | $0.630 | $62.79 | Jul 1, 2026 |
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 5 | $0.479 | $2.4 | Jun 29, 2026 |
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | sell | 1.55K | $0.420 | $649.74 | Jun 28, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | sell | 277.08 | $0.360 | $99.75 | Jun 28, 2026 |
Will there be no next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?No | sell | 93 | $0.530 | $49.29 | Jun 28, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | sell | 208 | $0.480 | $99.89 | Jun 27, 2026 |
Progressive (PGR) Q2 combined ratio <86%?Yes | sell | 121.22 | $0.400 | $48.49 | Jun 27, 2026 |
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 250 | $0.347 | $86.75 | Jun 25, 2026 |
Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.536 | $26.8 | Jun 25, 2026 |
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 95 | $0.560 | $53.2 | Jun 24, 2026 |
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?Yes | sell | 14.83 | $0.520 | $7.71 | Jun 24, 2026 |
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.020 | $5 | Jun 24, 2026 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No | sell | 119.55 | $0.430 | $51.41 | Jun 23, 2026 |
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.170 | $1 | Jun 23, 2026 |
Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | sell | 88.68 | $0.340 | $30.15 | Jun 17, 2026 |
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes | sell | 291.74 | $0.540 | $157.54 | Jun 13, 2026 |
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes | sell | 42.76 | $0.260 | $11.12 | Jun 5, 2026 |
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $465 in May?Yes | sell | 58.55 | $0.130 | $7.61 | May 27, 2026 |
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No | sell | 10 | $0.690 | $6.9 | May 27, 2026 |
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 10.01 | $0.468 | $4.68 | May 21, 2026 |
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No | sell | 50.25 | $0.740 | $37.19 | May 4, 2026 |
Will Drake feature J. Cole on ICEMAN?Yes | sell | 14.56 | $0.210 | $3.06 | May 3, 2026 |