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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Google have the top AI model on October 31?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.940 | $37.6 | Oct 23, 2025 |
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| buy |
| 20 |
| $0.780 |
| $15.6 |
| Oct 19, 2025 |
Will Google have the top AI model on October 31?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.740 | $29.6 | Sep 26, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk attend a UFC event by December 31?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.233 | $9.31 | Sep 26, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk attend a UFC event by December 31?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.359 | $14.35 | Sep 26, 2025 |
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in August?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.600 | $11.99 | Aug 8, 2025 |
Will iPhone 17 cost more than iPhone 16?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.580 | $11.6 | Jul 30, 2025 |
Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by August 15?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.680 | $6.8 | Jul 26, 2025 |
Will Trump spend >25% of 2025 presidency golfing?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.220 | $2.2 | Jul 17, 2025 |
Iranian coup attempt before July?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.053 | $0.53 | Jun 22, 2025 |
Iranian coup attempt before July?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.220 | $2.2 | Jun 18, 2025 |
Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.590 | $11.8 | Jun 18, 2025 |
US-China tariff agreement before 90 day deadline?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.710 | $14.2 | Jun 18, 2025 |
Will Google have the top AI model on June 30?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.900 | $18 | Jun 18, 2025 |
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?No | sell | 20 | $0.920 | $18.4 | Jun 18, 2025 |
Will OpenAI release an open source model before July?No | sell | 20 | $0.935 | $18.7 | Jun 18, 2025 |
Israel military action against Iran before July?No | buy | 10 | $0.750 | $7.5 | Jun 3, 2025 |
Will Trump spend >25% of 2025 presidency golfing?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.410 | $4.1 | Jun 3, 2025 |
Will Google have the top AI model on June 30?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.720 | $14.4 | Jun 3, 2025 |
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?No | buy | 20 | $0.580 | $11.6 | Jun 2, 2025 |
Will OpenAI release an open source model before July?No | buy | 20 | $0.710 | $14.2 | Jun 2, 2025 |
Elon out of Trump administration before July?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.340 | $1.7 | May 9, 2025 |
Will MrBeast's next video get between 35-40m views on day 1?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.250 | $2.5 | May 1, 2025 |
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30-35m views on day 1?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.220 | $2.2 | May 1, 2025 |
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2025?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.490 | $4.9 | May 1, 2025 |
Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.760 | $15.2 | May 1, 2025 |
Miller vs. PetrovićPetrović | buy | 10 | $0.670 | $6.7 | May 1, 2025 |
Santos vs. TateTate | buy | 10 | $0.570 | $5.7 | May 1, 2025 |
de Ridder vs. Nickalde Ridder | buy | 10 | $0.270 | $2.7 | May 1, 2025 |
Sandhagen vs. FigueiredoFigueiredo | buy | 10 | $0.200 | $2 | May 1, 2025 |
India military action against Pakistan before June?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.580 | $5.8 | May 1, 2025 |
Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.230 | $2.3 | May 1, 2025 |
Will Peter Turkson be the next pope?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.155 | $1.55 | May 1, 2025 |
Lakers vs. TimberwolvesLakers | buy | 20 | $0.420 | $8.4 | Apr 25, 2025 |
Celtics vs. MagicCeltics | buy | 10 | $0.650 | $6.5 | Apr 25, 2025 |
Sperm Race: Noah Boat vs Jimmy ZhangNoah Boat | buy | 10 | $0.530 | $5.3 | Apr 25, 2025 |
Will Musk say "Rare Earth" during the Q1 2025 Tesla earnings call?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.230 | $2.3 | Apr 20, 2025 |
Will Musk say "China" 3+ times during the Q1 2025 Tesla earnings call?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.720 | $7.2 | Apr 20, 2025 |
Will Musk say "Tariff" 5+ times during the Q1 2025 Tesla earnings call?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.500 | $5 | Apr 20, 2025 |
Aliskerov vs. MunizAliskerov | buy | 20 | $0.840 | $16.8 | Apr 20, 2025 |
Pereira vs. MagomedovMagomedov | buy | 2.61 | $0.420 | $1.1 | Apr 20, 2025 |
Machado Garry vs. PratesMachado Garry | buy | 20 | $0.540 | $10.8 | Apr 20, 2025 |
Chikadze vs. OnamaOnama | buy | 20 | $0.630 | $12.6 | Apr 20, 2025 |
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?No | sell | 10 | $0.977 | $9.77 | Apr 9, 2025 |
Will Trump deport 750,000-1,000,000 people?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.050 | $1.5 | Apr 9, 2025 |
Will the Greens be part of the next German government?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.017 | $0.17 | Mar 26, 2025 |
Will BSW be part of the next German government?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.003 | $0.09 | Mar 26, 2025 |
Will FDP be part of the next German government?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.006 | $0.09 | Mar 26, 2025 |
Will the AfD win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.114 | $1.71 | Feb 15, 2025 |
Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.660 | $13.2 | Feb 15, 2025 |