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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ETUp | buy | 5.57 | $0.350 | $1.95 | Mar 13, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 12.47 |
| $0.080 |
| $1 |
| Mar 10, 2026 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.003 | $1 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 54.99 | $0.109 | $5.99 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by March 14?Yes | buy | 51.44 | $0.194 | $10 | Mar 6, 2026 |
 Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?Yes | sell | 22.72 | $0.615 | $13.96 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Yes | sell | 48.54 | $0.066 | $3.21 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 2?Yes | buy | 42.86 | $0.070 | $3 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?Yes | buy | 22.73 | $0.440 | $10 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Yes | buy | 48.54 | $0.206 | $10 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | sell | 19.26 | $0.052 | $1 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 19.27 | $0.519 | $10 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?Yes | sell | 154.35 | $0.036 | $5.56 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 36.36 | $0.220 | $8 | Feb 23, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?Yes | buy | 545.45 | $0.011 | $6 | Feb 23, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?Yes | buy | 154.36 | $0.039 | $6 | Feb 23, 2026 |
 Will the US strike Iran next?Yes | buy | 3K | $0.001 | $3 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.017 | $17 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?Yes | buy | 565 | $0.053 | $30 | Feb 19, 2026 |