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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Moonshot have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of September 2026? | No | 1.12 | $0.999 | $1.12 | +$0 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Moonshot have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of September 2026?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.999 | $1.12 | 10d ago |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of August 2026?Yes| buy |
| 1.16 |
| $0.900 |
| $1.04 |
| 27d ago |
 Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | buy | 2.01 | $0.950 | $1.91 | Jul 17, 2026 |
 Will Trump and Putin not meet?Yes | buy | 1.14 | $0.980 | $1.12 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Will Jordan win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 1.18 | $0.992 | $1.17 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 2.29 | $0.989 | $2.26 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 12?Yes | buy | 1.04 | $0.979 | $1.02 | May 11, 2026 |
 Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?Yes | buy | 2.16 | $0.971 | $2.1 | May 11, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.820 | $4.1 | May 11, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on April 11?No | buy | 1.17 | $0.999 | $1.17 | Apr 10, 2026 |
 Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.44 | $0.900 | $2.2 | Apr 10, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?Yes | buy | 4.3 | $0.976 | $4.2 | Apr 10, 2026 |
| Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?Yes | buy | 1.21 | $0.991 | $1.2 | Mar 11, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 7AM ETUp | buy | 104.33 | $0.130 | $13.56 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 4AM ETDown | buy | 299.98 | $0.011 | $3.3 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 4AM ETDown | buy | 300 | $0.004 | $1.2 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 4AM ETDown | buy | 299.99 | $0.010 | $3 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 4AM ETDown | buy | 199.96 | $0.020 | $4 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 4AM ETDown | buy | 98.22 | $0.025 | $2.46 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 10PM ETDown | buy | 1K | $0.002 | $2 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 10PM ETDown | buy | 486.16 | $0.003 | $1.46 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 10PM ETDown | buy | 199.99 | $0.011 | $2.2 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 10PM ETDown | buy | 199.96 | $0.020 | $4 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 8PM ETDown | buy | 212 | $0.005 | $1.06 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 7PM ETDown | buy | 216 | $0.999 | $215.78 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?Yes | buy | 1.31 | $0.840 | $1.1 | Feb 9, 2026 |