Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Variational launch a token by September 30, 2026? | No | 95.91 | $0.990 | $95.48 | +$0.53 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Variational launch a token by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 95.91 | $0.990 | $94.95 | 5d ago |
 |
| buy |
| 132.66 |
| $0.995 |
| $132 |
| 23d ago |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by August 31?No | buy | 125.5 | $0.996 | $125 | 23d ago |
 Iran leadership change by August 31?No | buy | 155.94 | $0.994 | $155 | 23d ago |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei leave Iran by July 31?No | buy | 192.46 | $0.987 | $190 | Jul 26, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 76.37 | $0.969 | $74 | Jul 5, 2026 |
 Trump out as President by July 31?No | buy | 151.36 | $0.991 | $150 | Jul 5, 2026 |
 LoL: T1 vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational PlayoffsT1 | buy | 194.27 | $0.978 | $190 | Jul 5, 2026 |
 Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?No | buy | 142.57 | $0.989 | $141 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 121.51 | $0.823 | $100 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 Netanyahu out by June 30?No | buy | 182.19 | $0.988 | $180 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by June 13?No | buy | 140.99 | $0.993 | $140 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?No | sell | 166 | $0.989 | $164.17 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes | buy | 252.53 | $0.990 | $250 | May 22, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?No | buy | 254.07 | $0.984 | $250 | May 22, 2026 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?No | buy | 311.8 | $0.962 | $300 | May 8, 2026 |
 Will the ECB announce no change at the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 161.78 | $0.989 | $160 | Apr 25, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?No | sell | 166 | $0.992 | $164.67 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 274.95 | $0.982 | $270 | Apr 2, 2026 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 215.09 | $0.981 | $211 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?Yes | buy | 303.34 | $0.989 | $300 | Mar 20, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?No | buy | 172.61 | $0.962 | $166 | Mar 7, 2026 |
 Fed rate cut by March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 283.98 | $0.986 | $280 | Mar 7, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 23 to February 25, 2026?No | buy | 202.03 | $0.990 | $200 | Feb 25, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in February?No | sell | 210 | $0.997 | $209.37 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in February?No | buy | 274.67 | $0.983 | $270 | Feb 9, 2026 |
 New "Stranger Things" episode released by February 28?No | buy | 189.52 | $0.992 | $188 | Feb 9, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 446.92 | $0.989 | $442 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?No | buy | 276.59 | $0.976 | $270 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve on January 14, 2026?No | buy | 155.47 | $0.997 | $155 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 Lighter Airdrop on December 25?No | buy | 432.3 | $0.997 | $431 | Dec 25, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?No | buy | 402.41 | $0.994 | $400 | Dec 8, 2025 |
 Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 8?No | buy | 44.4 | $0.991 | $44 | Dec 8, 2025 |
 Will XRP dip to $1.20 in November?No | buy | 438.51 | $0.992 | $435 | Nov 25, 2025 |
 Will Solana dip to $100 November 3-9?No | buy | 356.07 | $0.997 | $355 | Nov 7, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by November 7?No | buy | 72.29 | $0.996 | $72 | Nov 7, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on October 22?Yes | buy | 210.42 | $0.998 | $210 | Oct 22, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk be richest person on October 31?Yes | buy | 206.19 | $0.970 | $200 | Oct 5, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?No | buy | 197.52 | $0.967 | $191 | Sep 9, 2025 |
 Pump.fun buybacks $40M worth of $PUMP before September?Yes | buy | 195.6 | $0.997 | $195 | Aug 25, 2025 |
 XRP Up or Down on August 9?Up | buy | 184.95 | $0.984 | $182 | Aug 9, 2025 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes | buy | 161.84 | $0.989 | $160 | Jul 25, 2025 |
 Will the price of Solana be less than $160 on July 23?No | buy | 160.16 | $0.999 | $160 | Jul 22, 2025 |
 Will Travis Scott's album 'JACKBOYS 2' have over 250k sales in its first week?Yes | buy | 20.12 | $0.994 | $20 | Jul 22, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?No | sell | 176.58 | $0.993 | $175.34 | Jul 22, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?No | buy | 176.59 | $0.991 | $175 | Jul 11, 2025 |
| Will the price of Solana be between $120 and $130 on July 4?No | buy | 166.33 | $0.998 | $166 | Jul 3, 2025 |
 Ethereum all time high by June 30?No | buy | 155.62 | $0.996 | $155 | Jun 23, 2025 |
 Will Sean Spiller win the 2025 Democratic Primary for governor of New Jersey?No | buy | 111.11 | $0.999 | $111 | Jun 7, 2025 |
 Will "From the World of John Wick: Ballerina" Opening Weekend Box Office be $37m or more?No | buy | 50.15 | $0.997 | $50 | Jun 7, 2025 |