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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after May 2025 meeting?No | buy | 9.04 | $0.996 | $9 | May 1, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 6.04 |
| $0.993 |
| $6 |
| May 1, 2025 |
 DOGE prosecutes US Treasury?No | buy | 9.02 | $0.998 | $9 | Apr 30, 2025 |
 Will "The Amateur" Rotten Tomatoes score be less than 50?No | buy | 9.01 | $0.999 | $9 | Apr 11, 2025 |
 Fear & Greed Index says "Extreme Fear" every day this week?Yes | buy | 2.06 | $0.969 | $2 | Apr 11, 2025 |
 Kilmar Abrego Garcia released from custody by next Friday?No | buy | 2 | $0.999 | $2 | Apr 11, 2025 |
 Will Greenland vote for independence in 2025?No | buy | 3.02 | $0.992 | $3 | Apr 11, 2025 |
 Will Elena Lasconi win the Romanian Presidential election by 10% or more?No | sell | 1.5 | $0.983 | $1.47 | Apr 11, 2025 |
 Ripple above $2.45 on March 14?No | buy | 8.9 | $0.999 | $8.89 | Mar 14, 2025 |
 Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2025 NBA Finals?Yes | buy | 5.55K | $0.001 | $5.55 | Mar 14, 2025 |
 Will Elon tweet 550-574 times March 7-14?No | buy | 3 | $0.999 | $3 | Mar 14, 2025 |
 Epstein files released this week?No | buy | 4.01 | $0.998 | $4 | Mar 14, 2025 |
 Will Heidi Reichinnek be the next Chancellor of Germany?No | sell | 3 | $0.999 | $3 | Mar 14, 2025 |
 Obama or Biden tweets about Ukraine by Friday?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.999 | $5 | Mar 7, 2025 |
 Trump negative approval by Friday?Yes | buy | 7.01 | $0.999 | $7 | Mar 7, 2025 |
 Will Kanye launch a coin by March 7?No | buy | 6.02 | $0.997 | $6 | Mar 7, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by February 28, 2025?No | buy | 4.34 | $0.999 | $4.34 | Feb 28, 2025 |
 Will Pete Buttigieg announce Michigan Senate run before March?No | buy | 4 | $0.999 | $4 | Feb 28, 2025 |
 Will Williams record the fastest lap at 2025 F1 Winter Testing?Yes | buy | 4.04 | $0.990 | $4 | Feb 28, 2025 |
 Mary Kate Cornett breakup by Friday?No | buy | 3 | $0.999 | $3 | Feb 28, 2025 |
 Will MicroStrategy hold 500k+ BTC before March?No | buy | 4 | $0.999 | $4 | Feb 28, 2025 |
 DeepSeek confirmed to have used banned Nvidia chips?No | buy | 4.02 | $0.996 | $4 | Feb 28, 2025 |
| Will Pete Buttigieg announce Michigan Senate run before March?No | buy | 2 | $0.999 | $2 | Feb 28, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by February 28, 2025?No | sell | 3.67 | $0.998 | $3.66 | Feb 28, 2025 |
 Will Pamela Anderson win Best Actor at the 2025 SAG Award for "The Last Showgirl"?No | buy | 5.49 | $0.997 | $5.47 | Feb 19, 2025 |
 Ethereum above $2,700 on February 21?No | buy | 22.22 | $0.450 | $10 | Feb 19, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet less than 500 times Feb 14-21?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.995 | $1 | Feb 19, 2025 |
 Will Denis Villeneuve win Best Director at the 2025 BAFTA Awards for "Dune: Part Two"?No | buy | 7.43 | $0.995 | $7.39 | Feb 16, 2025 |
 Will Hugh Grant win Best Actor at the 2025 BAFTA Awards for "Heretic"?No | buy | 4.01 | $0.997 | $4 | Feb 16, 2025 |
 Will "A Complete Unknown" win Best Film at the 2025 BAFTA Awards?No | buy | 5.03 | $0.995 | $5 | Feb 16, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by February 28, 2025?No | buy | 3.68 | $0.993 | $3.65 | Feb 11, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk tweet 600-649 times February 7-14?No | buy | 5.06 | $0.989 | $5 | Feb 11, 2025 |
 Kanye back on X by Friday?No | buy | 2.6 | $0.960 | $2.5 | Feb 11, 2025 |
 Will POTUS tweet 17-19 times Feb 7-14?No | buy | 3.02 | $0.994 | $3 | Feb 11, 2025 |
 Will annual inflation increase by 2.6% or less in January?No | buy | 4.01 | $0.997 | $4 | Feb 11, 2025 |
 Will Trump issue an executive order on February 11?Yes | buy | 3.01 | $0.997 | $3 | Feb 11, 2025 |
 Taylor Swift shown on the Super Bowl LIX broadcast 0 times?No | buy | 8.73 | $0.996 | $8.7 | Feb 8, 2025 |
 Will Playboi Carti perform during Super Bowl LIX halftime show?No | buy | 6.01 | $0.998 | $6 | Feb 8, 2025 |
 Will AJ Brown win Super Bowl LIX MVP?No | buy | 3.36 | $0.978 | $3.29 | Feb 8, 2025 |
 No Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LIX?No | buy | 3.04 | $0.988 | $3 | Feb 8, 2025 |
 Will ICE detain 800+ people on February 1?No | sell | 1.2 | $0.989 | $1.19 | Feb 8, 2025 |
 Will Trump issue an executive order on February 4?Yes | sell | 1.3 | $0.985 | $1.28 | Feb 8, 2025 |
 Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or less in January?No | buy | 1.3 | $0.985 | $1.28 | Feb 4, 2025 |
 Will courts block Trump's tariffs by Friday?No | buy | 1.31 | $0.994 | $1.3 | Feb 4, 2025 |
| Will Trump issue an executive order on February 4?Yes | buy | 1.3 | $0.960 | $1.25 | Feb 4, 2025 |
| Will ICE detain 800+ people on February 1?No | buy | 1.21 | $0.994 | $1.2 | Feb 4, 2025 |
| Will Elena Lasconi win the Romanian Presidential election by 10% or more?No | buy | 1.51 | $0.995 | $1.5 | Feb 4, 2025 |
 Trump declassifies JFK files in first week?No | buy | 2.52 | $0.997 | $2.51 | Feb 1, 2025 |
| Will Heidi Reichinnek be the next Chancellor of Germany?No | buy | 3 | $0.999 | $3 | Feb 1, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet less than 200 times Jan 31 - Feb 7?No | buy | 3.52 | $0.993 | $3.5 | Feb 1, 2025 |