Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? | No | 9.17 | $0.520 | $7.84 | +$3.07 |
 Weed rescheduled by December 31? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 10 | $0.500 | $5 | 2d ago |
 |
| No |
| 8.89 |
| $0.562 |
| $7.48 |
| +$2.48 |
 Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026? | No | 6.59 | $0.730 | $5.95 | +$1.14 |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026? | No | 6.32 | $0.800 | $5.91 | +$0.85 |
 Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? | No | 6 | $0.790 | $5.61 | +$0.87 |
 US strike on Colombia by December 31? | No | 6.38 | $0.790 | $5.49 | +$0.45 |
 Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? | Yes | 6.08 | $0.770 | $5.44 | +$0.76 |
 Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | Yes | 9.8 | $0.500 | $5.44 | +$0.54 |
 Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 8.13 | $0.630 | $5.32 | +$0.2 |
 Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? | No | 6.08 | $0.800 | $5.19 | +$0.33 |
 Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? | No | 6.08 | $0.800 | $4.95 | +$0.09 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 10 | $0.500 | $4.65 | -$0.35 |
 Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | Yes | 9.25 | $0.480 | $4.21 | -$0.23 |
 Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | No | 9.61 | $0.480 | $4.18 | -$0.43 |
 Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 8.13 | $0.390 | $4.1 | +$0.93 |
 Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | No | 7.04 | $0.300 | $3.48 | +$1.37 |
 Will John Brennan be arrested before 2027? | Yes | 12.5 | $0.400 | $2.69 | -$2.31 |
 Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition? | No | 6.49 | $0.240 | $2.53 | +$0.97 |
 Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | No | 7 | $0.320 | $2.49 | +$0.25 |
 Will Rafael Grossi be the next Secretary General of the United Nations? | Yes | 9.43 | $0.530 | $2.26 | -$2.73 |
 Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 6.57 | $0.250 | $1.91 | +$0.26 |
 Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 6 | $0.220 | $1.71 | +$0.39 |
 Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | No | 6 | $0.340 | $1.71 | -$0.33 |
 Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 9.8 | $0.500 | $1.52 | -$3.38 |
| buy |
| 15.63 |
| $0.320 |
| $5 |
| 21d ago |
 Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.250 | $5 | 21d ago |
 Will Core PCE YoY be 3.3% in July?No | buy | 20.83 | $0.240 | $5 | 22d ago |
 Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $64 Week of August 17 2026?No | buy | 13.89 | $0.360 | $5 | 22d ago |
 S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 17?Down | buy | 10.2 | $0.490 | $5 | 23d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?No | buy | 6.58 | $0.760 | $5 | 26d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?No | buy | 6.85 | $0.730 | $5 | 27d ago |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.250 | $5 | 27d ago |
| Will annual inflation be 3.3% in July?No | buy | 8.06 | $0.620 | $5 | 28d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?Yes | buy | 16.13 | $0.310 | $5 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?No | buy | 6.49 | $0.770 | $5 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Will PPI YoY be 5.1% or less in July?No | buy | 3.28 | $0.400 | $1.31 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?No | buy | 6.25 | $0.800 | $5 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Will 200-219 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 3-August 9?No | buy | 2.68 | $0.660 | $1.77 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?Yes | buy | 13.89 | $0.360 | $5 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?No | buy | 6.41 | $0.780 | $5 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Will Atmos Energy (ATO) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 7.25 | $0.690 | $5 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 3?Down | buy | 26.32 | $0.190 | $5 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 22.73 | $0.220 | $5 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.450 | $5 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?Yes | buy | 13.89 | $0.360 | $5 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?No | buy | 16.67 | $0.300 | $5 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?Yes | buy | 16.13 | $0.310 | $5 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?Yes | buy | 3.06 | $0.510 | $1.56 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Another pandemic before GTA VI?No | buy | 3.06 | $0.500 | $1.53 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?Yes | buy | 3.82 | $0.510 | $1.95 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | buy | 6.75 | $0.280 | $1.89 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.290 | $1.74 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Will Warsh say "Shock" during July Press Conference?No | buy | 3 | $0.490 | $1.47 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Will CBRE Group (CBRE) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 7 | $0.310 | $2.17 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Stop Calling Me" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?Yes | buy | 3.25 | $0.400 | $1.3 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $375 Week of July 27 2026?Yes | buy | 3.41 | $0.590 | $2.01 | Jul 27, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Save America" during Michigan remarks?Yes | buy | 6.08 | $0.760 | $4.62 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 27 to July 29, 2026?No | buy | 2.84 | $0.690 | $1.96 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?No | buy | 3.06 | $0.500 | $1.53 | Jul 26, 2026 |
 Will Garmin (GRMN) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 7.1 | $0.710 | $5.04 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?No | buy | 3.06 | $0.360 | $1.1 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 2.52 | $0.795 | $2 | Jul 24, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Transgender" during White House Correspondents Dinner?No | buy | 6 | $0.740 | $4.44 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will Warsh say "Predecessor" during July Press Conference?No | buy | 6 | $0.790 | $4.74 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?No | buy | 6 | $0.790 | $4.74 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?No | buy | 8.65 | $0.570 | $4.93 | Jul 22, 2026 |
 Visa (V) Q2 payments volume growth (constant dollars) 8.5%-9.5%?No | buy | 8 | $0.600 | $4.8 | Jul 22, 2026 |
 Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 23, 2026?Yes | buy | 7 | $0.340 | $2.38 | Jul 21, 2026 |
 Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $960 Week of July 20 2026?Yes | buy | 8.65 | $0.570 | $4.93 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?No | buy | 9.18 | $0.500 | $4.59 | Jul 20, 2026 |
 Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting?Yes | buy | 6.81 | $0.740 | $5.04 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?No | buy | 7.1 | $0.700 | $4.97 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Will the South African Reserve Bank hike by 25 bps at the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 7 | $0.300 | $2.1 | Jul 19, 2026 |