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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israeli election results in a hung parliament? | No | 105.61 | $0.667 | $70.23 | -$0.21 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.700 | $5 | 19h ago |
|
| No |
| 40 |
| $0.700 |
| $35.2 |
| +$7.2 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30? | No | 19.04 | $0.680 | $18.44 | +$5.49 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | No | 20 | $0.750 | $15.9 | +$0.9 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? | No | 20 | $0.590 | $15.9 | +$4.1 |
 Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 15 | $0.734 | $14.21 | +$3.2 |
 Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? | No | 10 | $0.832 | $8.65 | +$0.33 |
 Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31 | No | 10 | $0.590 | $8.4 | +$2.5 |
 US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026? | No | 10 | $0.750 | $7.95 | +$0.45 |
 Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026? | No | 7.94 | $0.630 | $7.51 | +$2.51 |
 US-Saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026? | No | 8.19 | $0.610 | $7.33 | +$2.33 |
 Israel x Syria diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? | No | 10 | $0.750 | $7.3 | -$0.2 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 10 | $0.670 | $7.25 | +$0.55 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? | No | 9.8 | $0.510 | $7.06 | +$2.06 |
 Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026? | No | 6.99 | $0.730 | $6.12 | +$1.01 |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | No | 7.58 | $0.390 | $5.95 | +$2.99 |
 US strike on Colombia by December 31? | No | 6.94 | $0.720 | $5.94 | +$0.94 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 7.14 | $0.700 | $5.25 | +$0.25 |
 Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering? | Yes | 6.58 | $0.760 | $5.13 | +$0.13 |
 RFK Jr. Out by December 31? | No | 7 | $0.690 | $5.11 | +$0.28 |
 Will Iran target Qatar by September 30, 2026? | No | 6.76 | $0.740 | $5.1 | +$0.1 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? | Yes | 7.14 | $0.700 | $5 | $0 |
 Foreign intervention in Gaza by September 30? | No | 5 | $0.780 | $4.9 | +$1 |
 Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | No | 5 | $0.680 | $4.43 | +$1.03 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 5 | $0.760 | $4.28 | +$0.48 |
| buy |
| 14.93 |
| $0.670 |
| $10 |
| 1d ago |
| Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?Yes | buy | 6.58 | $0.760 | $5 | 4d ago |
 Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?No | buy | 5 | $0.660 | $3.3 | 5d ago |
| Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?No | buy | 6.1 | $0.820 | $5 | 6d ago |
| Israel x Syria diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.750 | $7.5 | 7d ago |
 Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by September 2, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.700 | $5 | 7d ago |
 Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.340 | $2 | 8d ago |
| Will Iran target Qatar by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 6.76 | $0.740 | $5 | 8d ago |
| Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 7.94 | $0.630 | $5 | 8d ago |
| US strike on Colombia by December 31?No | buy | 6.94 | $0.720 | $5 | 8d ago |
| Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?No | buy | 3.91 | $0.850 | $3.32 | 19d ago |
 Israel military action against Syria by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.555 | $11.1 | 19d ago |
 Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | buy | 5 | $0.785 | $3.93 | 20d ago |
| Israel military action against Syria by September 15, 2026?No | buy | 12 | $0.500 | $6 | 20d ago |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.944 | $4.72 | 20d ago |
| Israel military action against Syria by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 7 | $0.710 | $4.97 | 20d ago |
 Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.210 | $1.05 | 20d ago |
 Will the Bank of Israel hold at the August 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.810 | $4.05 | 20d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 20?No | buy | 7 | $0.783 | $5.48 | 20d ago |
| US-Saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026?No | buy | 8.19 | $0.610 | $5 | 21d ago |
 Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.500 | $5 | 21d ago |
 Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?Yes | buy | 7.46 | $0.670 | $5 | 21d ago |
| Israeli election results in a hung parliament?No | buy | 7.58 | $0.660 | $5 | 24d ago |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 6.76 | $0.740 | $5 | 24d ago |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.700 | $5 | 26d ago |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?No | buy | 9.8 | $0.510 | $5 | 26d ago |
 LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs Dplus KIA Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge GroupNongshim Esports Academy | buy | 3.13 | $0.640 | $2 | 29d ago |
 Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?No | buy | 8.47 | $0.590 | $5 | 29d ago |
 UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)Islam Makhachev | buy | 6.58 | $0.760 | $5 | 29d ago |
 Will Burgas host Eurovision 2027?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.818 | $4.09 | Aug 9, 2026 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.230 | $1.15 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?No | buy | 5 | $0.700 | $3.5 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.400 | $2 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.580 | $2.9 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will Piers Morgan attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?No | buy | 5 | $0.600 | $3 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will Sir Alex Ferguson attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?No | buy | 5 | $0.630 | $3.15 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?No | buy | 5 | $0.330 | $1.65 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15?No | buy | 5 | $0.560 | $2.8 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.498 | $2.49 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by September 30?No | buy | 5 | $0.780 | $3.9 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.740 | $3.7 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?No | buy | 5 | $0.680 | $3.4 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal?No | buy | 6.99 | $0.746 | $5.21 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?No | buy | 7.58 | $0.390 | $2.96 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.600 | $6 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | sell | 5 | $0.400 | $2 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?Yes | buy | 7 | $0.690 | $4.83 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.560 | $2.8 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | buy | 5 | $0.490 | $2.45 | Aug 2, 2026 |