Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 40.54 | $0.370 | $5.35 | -$9.65 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 266.67 | $0.060 | $16 | Dec 31, 2025 |
 |
| Yes |
| 25 |
| $0.200 |
| $1.88 |
| -$3.13 |
| buy |
| 4.76 |
| $0.210 |
| $1 |
| Oct 26, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Stupid" or "Idiot" during Malaysia events on October 26?Yes | buy | 2.5 | $0.400 | $1 | Oct 26, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Malaysia events on October 26?Yes | buy | 59.52 | $0.084 | $5 | Oct 26, 2025 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?Yes | buy | 2.5 | $0.400 | $1 | Oct 21, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.300 | $5 | Oct 21, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.080 | $4 | Oct 21, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 10?No | buy | 5K | $0.001 | $5 | Oct 9, 2025 |
| Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.200 | $5 | Oct 7, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" this week? (October 7 - 12)Yes | buy | 20 | $0.330 | $6.6 | Oct 7, 2025 |
 Will less than 12 named storms occur in the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season?Yes | buy | 16.9 | $0.150 | $2.53 | Oct 7, 2025 |
 Will a hurricane make landfall in the US by October 31?Yes | buy | 27.78 | $0.180 | $5 | Oct 7, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Golden Dome" during events with PM of Canada on Oct 7?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.450 | $2.25 | Oct 7, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Putin" during events with PM of Canada on Oct 7?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.590 | $2.95 | Oct 7, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Hell" during events with PM of Canada on Oct 7?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.590 | $2.95 | Oct 7, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Fentanyl" during events with PM of Canada on Oct 7?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.490 | $2.45 | Oct 7, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Ceasefire" 3+ times during events with PM of Canada on Oct 7?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.460 | $4.6 | Oct 7, 2025 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 40.54 | $0.370 | $15 | Oct 7, 2025 |
 Will the Toronto Blue Jays be eliminated in the Division Series?Yes | buy | 23.81 | $0.210 | $5 | Oct 7, 2025 |
 Will TIME's Person of the Year for 2025 be a human?No | buy | 14.29 | $0.350 | $5 | Oct 7, 2025 |
 U.S. anti-cartel operation on foreign soil by October 31?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.410 | $4.1 | Oct 7, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Nobel" during events with PM of Canada on Oct 7?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.390 | $3.9 | Oct 7, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "51st state" during events with PM of Canada on Oct 7?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.320 | $3.2 | Oct 7, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with PM of Canada on Oct 7?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.054 | $3.27 | Oct 7, 2025 |
 Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.185 | $11.1 | Oct 7, 2025 |
 U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Canada"?Yes | buy | 48.18 | $0.110 | $5.3 | Oct 7, 2025 |
 EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine in 2025?Yes | buy | 42.82 | $0.117 | $5 | Oct 7, 2025 |
 US x Iran nuclear talks resume by December 31?Yes | buy | 41.59 | $0.264 | $11 | Oct 7, 2025 |
 Will Trump invoke War Powers again by October 31?Yes | buy | 122.22 | $0.090 | $11 | Oct 7, 2025 |
 NATO article 5 in 2025?Yes | buy | 343.75 | $0.032 | $11 | Oct 7, 2025 |
 Will Arjun Erigaisi qualify for the 2026 World Chess Championship Candidates Tournament?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.320 | $3.2 | Oct 6, 2025 |
 Will Ian Nepomniachtchi qualify for the 2026 World Chess Championship Candidates Tournament?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.200 | $20 | Oct 6, 2025 |