Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 13 | $0.849 | $12.53 | +$1.49 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?No | buy | 5.38 | $0.930 | $5 | Jun 4, 2026 |
|
| No |
| 5.38 |
| $0.927 |
| $5.33 |
| +$0.34 |
| buy |
| 6.98 |
| $0.860 |
| $6 |
| Jun 4, 2026 |
 Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?Yes | buy | 1.27 | $0.790 | $1 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 6.02 | $0.830 | $5 | Mar 6, 2026 |
 US civil war before 2027?No | buy | 11.11 | $0.918 | $10.2 | Jan 27, 2026 |
 Will the US lose jobs in January?No | buy | 3.09 | $0.972 | $3 | Jan 27, 2026 |
 Will fewer than 30 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?Yes | buy | 2.05 | $0.975 | $2 | Jan 27, 2026 |
 Will USD reach 1.5M Iranian rials by January 31?Yes | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | Jan 27, 2026 |
 Will PPSO win the most seats in the 2026 Costa Rican Legislative Assembly election?Yes | buy | 2.07 | $0.964 | $2 | Jan 27, 2026 |
 Kraken IPO in 2025?No | buy | 3.01 | $0.997 | $3 | Dec 11, 2025 |
 Gemini 3.0 Flash released by November 30?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.994 | $1 | Nov 22, 2025 |
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?Yes | buy | 2.04 | $0.980 | $2 | Nov 22, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk be richest person on October 31?Yes | buy | 2.12 | $0.968 | $2.05 | Oct 22, 2025 |
 Will Lisa Cook vote at the next FOMC meeting?Yes | buy | 1.02 | $0.983 | $1 | Sep 16, 2025 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?No | buy | 5.24 | $0.947 | $4.96 | Aug 18, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum reach $6500 in August?No | buy | 2.03 | $0.983 | $2 | Aug 18, 2025 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: JulyYes | buy | 1.28 | $0.780 | $1 | Jul 8, 2025 |
 Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the July meeting?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.974 | $1 | Jul 8, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.960 | $1 | Jul 8, 2025 |
 Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?No | buy | 1.22 | $0.820 | $1 | Jun 26, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?Yes | buy | 1.01 | $0.993 | $1 | Jun 26, 2025 |
 Will Lee Jun-seok be elected the next president of South Korea?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.969 | $1 | May 17, 2025 |
 Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?Yes | buy | 1.22 | $0.900 | $1.1 | May 17, 2025 |
 Will U.S. National debt surpass $38 trillion in 2025?Yes | buy | 1.2 | $0.830 | $1 | May 17, 2025 |
 Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin May 13-19?Yes | buy | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1 | May 17, 2025 |
 Will XRP dip to $1.00 in May?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.989 | $1 | May 17, 2025 |
 1,000+ Measles cases in U.S. before May?No | buy | 1.24 | $0.890 | $1.1 | Apr 16, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire before May?No | buy | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1 | Apr 16, 2025 |
 Trump Admin confirms Aliens exist in first 100 days?No | buy | 3.02 | $0.992 | $3 | Apr 16, 2025 |
 Will 'Rule Breakers' gross more than 9m on its opening weekend?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.988 | $1 | Mar 5, 2025 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?No | buy | 10.89 | $0.900 | $9.8 | Feb 6, 2025 |
 Will the January unemployment rate be less than or equal to 4.0%?No | buy | 1.18 | $0.850 | $1 | Feb 6, 2025 |
 Will Anthropic have the top AI model on February 28?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.992 | $1 | Feb 6, 2025 |
 TikTok sale announced before April?No | buy | 1.43 | $0.770 | $1.1 | Feb 6, 2025 |
 Will Netanyahu meet with MBS before April?No | buy | 1.44 | $0.900 | $1.3 | Jan 13, 2025 |
 Tesla bot at Trump inauguration?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.952 | $1 | Jan 13, 2025 |
 Human to human bird flu transmission before February?No | buy | 1.33 | $0.981 | $1.3 | Jan 13, 2025 |
 Will Trump inauguration be the most viewed ever?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.965 | $1 | Jan 13, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum hit $8,000.00 by March 31?No | buy | 1.26 | $0.950 | $1.2 | Jan 13, 2025 |
 US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?Yes | buy | 2.27 | $0.440 | $1 | Jan 13, 2025 |
 Will Southampton win on 2024-12-22?No | buy | 0.57 | $0.880 | $0.5 | Dec 22, 2024 |
 GPT-5 announced in Q4 2024?No | buy | 2.02 | $0.990 | $2 | Dec 22, 2024 |
 Will Ukraine join NATO before July?No | buy | 0.65 | $0.930 | $0.6 | Dec 22, 2024 |
 Will Zoran Milanović be the next President of Croatia?Yes | buy | 1.43 | $0.910 | $1.3 | Dec 2, 2024 |
 Will Micheal Martin be the next Prime Minister of Ireland?Yes | buy | 3.41 | $0.967 | $3.3 | Dec 2, 2024 |
 Will stranded astronauts leave the ISS in 2024?No | buy | 2.02 | $0.989 | $2 | Dec 2, 2024 |
 OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI in 2024?Yes | sell | 5.05 | $0.020 | $0.1 | Nov 12, 2024 |
 Crimean bridge hit before October?No | buy | 0.34 | $0.870 | $0.3 | Sep 15, 2024 |
 Alexandre de Moraes impeached in September?No | buy | 0.51 | $0.983 | $0.5 | Sep 15, 2024 |
 Will Russia capture Toretsk before October?No | buy | 0.39 | $0.760 | $0.3 | Sep 15, 2024 |