Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 19.7 | $0.203 | $4 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 2.63 |
| $0.760 |
| $2 |
| Dec 11, 2025 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?No | buy | 2.7 | $0.740 | $2 | Dec 11, 2025 |
 Maduro out by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.61 | $0.620 | $1 | Dec 11, 2025 |
 Democratic sweep?No | buy | 9.52 | $0.210 | $2 | Nov 4, 2025 |
 Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?No | sell | 2.32 | $0.973 | $2.26 | Nov 4, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Nov 4, 2025 |
 Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried in 2025?No | buy | 1.1 | $0.911 | $1 | Oct 29, 2025 |
| Will Trump pardon Eric Adams in 2025?No | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | Oct 29, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?No | buy | 4.92 | $0.610 | $3 | Oct 29, 2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | buy | 8.77 | $0.114 | $1 | Oct 28, 2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | buy | 17.7 | $0.113 | $2 | Oct 28, 2025 |
 Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Oct 19, 2025 |
| Will the Government shutdown end October 31-November 3?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | Oct 19, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31?Yes | buy | 2.33 | $0.430 | $1 | Oct 19, 2025 |
 Will Eric Adams endorse Cuomo?Yes | buy | 1.69 | $0.590 | $1 | Oct 10, 2025 |
 Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 1.37 | $0.730 | $1 | Oct 10, 2025 |
 Trump strikes another drug boat by Sep 30?No | buy | 2 | $0.499 | $1 | Sep 21, 2025 |
 US government shutdown in 2025?No | buy | 5.71 | $0.350 | $2 | Sep 21, 2025 |
 Will Eric Adams drop out?No | buy | 2.38 | $0.420 | $1 | Sep 21, 2025 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: SeptemberYes | buy | 1.32 | $0.760 | $1 | Sep 5, 2025 |
 Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?Yes | buy | 2.27 | $0.440 | $1 | Sep 5, 2025 |
 Trump renames Department of Defense by September 30?No | buy | 9.9 | $0.101 | $1 | Sep 5, 2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | buy | 5.75 | $0.174 | $1 | Aug 17, 2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | buy | 5.75 | $0.174 | $1 | Aug 17, 2025 |
 US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine?Yes | buy | 4.17 | $0.240 | $1 | Aug 17, 2025 |
 Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?Yes | buy | 3.33 | $0.300 | $1 | Aug 17, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?No | buy | 1.08 | $0.928 | $1 | Jul 28, 2025 |
 Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?No | buy | 2.94 | $0.340 | $1 | Jul 28, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 15?No | buy | 4.23 | $0.710 | $3 | Jul 28, 2025 |
| Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?No | buy | 2.33 | $0.860 | $2 | Jul 28, 2025 |
 Will Ghislaine Maxwell cut a deal with the Feds by August 31?No | buy | 1.32 | $0.760 | $1 | Jul 28, 2025 |
 Will Israel raid Greta Thunberg's ship by Monday?No | buy | 1.61 | $0.620 | $1 | Jun 8, 2025 |
 Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?Yes | buy | 1.22 | $0.820 | $1 | Jun 7, 2025 |
 Will Trump remove Harvard's Intl Student ban before July?Yes | buy | 4.76 | $0.210 | $1 | May 25, 2025 |
 All New Orleans escapees captured by Friday?No | buy | 2.22 | $0.900 | $2 | May 20, 2025 |
 US 10Y Treasury yield above 5% by June 30?No | buy | 1.19 | $0.840 | $1 | May 18, 2025 |
 Will Sung Jinwoo win Crunchyroll's Best Main Character Award for 2025?Yes | buy | 1.72 | $0.580 | $1 | May 18, 2025 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?No | buy | 5.88 | $0.340 | $2 | May 18, 2025 |
 Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza in May?No | buy | 5.13 | $0.390 | $2 | May 18, 2025 |
 Will xAI have the top AI model on March 31?Yes | sell | 3.12 | $0.900 | $2.81 | Mar 22, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI release an open source model before July?Yes | sell | 2.43 | $0.600 | $1.46 | Mar 20, 2025 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be between $85000 and $87000 on Mar 14?Yes | buy | 11.36 | $0.088 | $1 | Mar 11, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $83000 and $85000 on Mar 14?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | Mar 11, 2025 |
 U.S. Government funding lapse on March 15?No | sell | 1.96 | $0.700 | $1.37 | Mar 11, 2025 |
 Will Kanye launch a coin in March?No | buy | 2.17 | $0.650 | $1.41 | Mar 9, 2025 |
 Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?No | sell | 2.32 | $0.610 | $1.42 | Mar 9, 2025 |
 Will Ukraine agree to pay back U.S. aid before July?No | buy | 3.53 | $0.456 | $1.61 | Mar 1, 2025 |
 Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?No | buy | 1.76 | $0.569 | $1 | Mar 1, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled before April?Yes | buy | 1.96 | $0.510 | $1 | Mar 1, 2025 |