Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the highest temperature in London be between 45-46°F on March 14?No | buy | 2.56 | $0.390 | $1 | Mar 13, 2025 |
|
| buy |
| 2.44 |
| $0.410 |
| $1 |
| Mar 13, 2025 |
 Will Strategy purchase Bitcoin Feb 25-Mar 3?Yes | buy | 46.91 | $0.021 | $1 | Mar 3, 2025 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be between 54-55°F on February 24?Yes | buy | 4.41 | $0.680 | $3 | Feb 24, 2025 |
 Will Ukraine agree to pay back U.S. aid before July?No | buy | 6.38 | $0.470 | $3 | Feb 21, 2025 |
 Will Strategy purchase Bitcoin Feb 18-24?No | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Feb 20, 2025 |
 25 bps decrease in ECB interest rates after March 2025 meeting?No | buy | 23.26 | $0.043 | $1 | Feb 18, 2025 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be between 45-46°F on February 18?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | Feb 17, 2025 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be between 41-42°F on February 16?No | buy | 2.94 | $0.340 | $1 | Feb 15, 2025 |
| Will Strategy purchase Bitcoin Feb 11-17?Yes | buy | 3.85 | $0.260 | $1 | Feb 15, 2025 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be between 39-40°F on February 15?Yes | sell | 6.66 | $0.030 | $0.2 | Feb 14, 2025 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be between 39-40°F on February 15?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | Feb 14, 2025 |
| 25 bps decrease in ECB interest rates after March 2025 meeting?No | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | Feb 12, 2025 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be between 44-45°F on February 12?Yes | buy | 25.64 | $0.039 | $1 | Feb 12, 2025 |
 2025 February hottest on record?Yes | buy | 45.91 | $0.022 | $1 | Feb 11, 2025 |
 Will annual inflation increase by 2.9% or more in January?No | buy | 4.55 | $0.220 | $1 | Feb 11, 2025 |
 Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin Feb 4-10?No | buy | 20.83 | $0.048 | $1 | Feb 10, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin hit $100k today?Yes | sell | 10.98 | $0.950 | $10.43 | Feb 3, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $100k today?Yes | buy | 10.99 | $0.910 | $10 | Feb 3, 2025 |
 Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on February 28?Yes | buy | 26.32 | $0.038 | $1 | Feb 3, 2025 |
| 2025 January hottest on record?No | buy | 333.33 | $0.015 | $5 | Feb 2, 2025 |
| Will MicroStrategy purchase more Bitcoin by Monday?No | sell | 25 | $0.840 | $21 | Feb 2, 2025 |
 Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?No | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | Feb 2, 2025 |
| Will MicroStrategy purchase more Bitcoin by Monday?No | buy | 18.75 | $0.160 | $3 | Feb 2, 2025 |
| Will MicroStrategy purchase more Bitcoin by Monday?No | buy | 6.25 | $0.160 | $1 | Feb 2, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by March 31?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | Feb 2, 2025 |
 Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 35-36°F on February 2?Yes | buy | 3.13 | $0.320 | $1 | Feb 2, 2025 |
 Will o3-mini be better than DeepSeek before March?Yes | buy | 1.2 | $0.830 | $1 | Feb 1, 2025 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be between 42-43°F on January 31?Yes | buy | 66.67 | $0.015 | $1 | Jan 30, 2025 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be between 48-49°F on January 30?Yes | buy | 2.78 | $0.360 | $1 | Jan 30, 2025 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be between 50-51°F on January 29?Yes | buy | 10.64 | $0.094 | $1 | Jan 28, 2025 |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?No | buy | 5.56 | $0.180 | $1 | Jan 27, 2025 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?No | sell | 10 | $0.840 | $8.4 | Jan 27, 2025 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be between 50°F and 51°F on January 26?Yes | sell | 4.76 | $0.750 | $3.57 | Jan 26, 2025 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be between 50°F and 51°F on January 26?Yes | buy | 4.76 | $0.210 | $1 | Jan 26, 2025 |
 Will global temperature increase by between 1.20-1.24ºC in January 2025?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.014 | $1 | Jan 26, 2025 |
| Will global temperature increase by less than 1.20ºC in January 2025?Yes | buy | 71.79 | $0.014 | $1 | Jan 26, 2025 |
 Will MicroStrategy purchase more Bitcoin before February?No | buy | 84.17 | $0.012 | $1 | Jan 26, 2025 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be between 46°F and 47°F on January 26?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | Jan 26, 2025 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?No | sell | 15 | $0.150 | $2.25 | Jan 26, 2025 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be between 44°F and 45°F on January 26?Yes | buy | 14.71 | $0.068 | $1 | Jan 26, 2025 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be between 53-54°F on January 24?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Jan 24, 2025 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 57°F or higher on January 24?Yes | buy | 77.69 | $0.013 | $1 | Jan 23, 2025 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be between 55-56°F on January 24?Yes | buy | 25.64 | $0.039 | $1 | Jan 23, 2025 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?No | buy | 25 | $0.080 | $2 | Jan 23, 2025 |
| 2025 January hottest on record?No | buy | 156.25 | $0.032 | $5 | Jan 23, 2025 |
 Google Maps renames it "Gulf of America" before March?No | buy | 4 | $0.250 | $1 | Jan 22, 2025 |
 Kamala and Trump shake hands at inauguration?No | buy | 1.52 | $0.660 | $1 | Jan 20, 2025 |
 Will Coinbase list $TRUMP in January?No | sell | 8 | $0.131 | $1.05 | Jan 20, 2025 |
 MicroStrategy purchases more Bitcoin before inauguration?No | sell | 9.09 | $0.994 | $9.04 | Jan 20, 2025 |