Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | No | 370.37 | $0.810 | $350 | +$50 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo | buy | 99 | $0.890 | $88.11 | 23h ago |
 |
| No |
| 357.78 |
| $0.839 |
| $327.37 |
| +$27.37 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | No | 271.41 | $0.877 | $237.49 | -$0.62 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? | No | 174.42 | $0.860 | $173.28 | +$23.28 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | No | 625 | $0.224 | $44.06 | -$95.94 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 55.56 | $0.540 | $25.83 | -$4.17 |
 Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? | Yes | 378.62 | $0.079 | $9.28 | -$20.72 |
| sell |
| 200 |
| $0.017 |
| $3.4 |
| 6d ago |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo | buy | 172.41 | $0.870 | $150 | 25d ago |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 170.45 | $0.989 | $168.58 | 26d ago |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Yes | sell | 120.85 | $0.170 | $20.54 | 28d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 55.56 | $0.540 | $30 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 174.42 | $0.860 | $150 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Yes | buy | 120.86 | $0.350 | $42.3 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 170.45 | $0.880 | $150 | Jul 9, 2026 |
 Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?Yes | buy | 107.53 | $0.930 | $100 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No | buy | 625 | $0.224 | $140 | Jul 5, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | sell | 316.48 | $0.998 | $315.85 | Jul 5, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No | buy | 227.27 | $0.880 | $200 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 316.49 | $0.948 | $300 | Jun 27, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.100 | $20 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?Yes | buy | 378.62 | $0.079 | $30 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81No | buy | 357.78 | $0.839 | $300 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | sell | 526.31 | $0.460 | $242.1 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No | sell | 439.95 | $0.298 | $131.11 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 16, 2026?No | buy | 258.62 | $0.870 | $225 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 476.19 | $0.480 | $228.57 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No | buy | 439.95 | $0.208 | $91.51 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | buy | 526.32 | $0.380 | $200 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Yes | sell | 243.89 | $0.249 | $60.69 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 476.19 | $0.840 | $400 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?No | buy | 370.37 | $0.810 | $300 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Yes | buy | 243.89 | $0.205 | $50 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 238.1 | $0.840 | $200 | Jun 2, 2026 |
 Will Russia invade another country in 2026?No | sell | 168.53 | $0.870 | $146.62 | May 30, 2026 |
 New pandemic in 2026?No | sell | 224.71 | $0.890 | $199.99 | May 28, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 214.57 | $0.895 | $192 | May 25, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 238.09 | $0.807 | $192.26 | May 25, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | buy | 140.35 | $0.927 | $130.1 | May 21, 2026 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No | sell | 443.36 | $0.302 | $133.89 | May 21, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | buy | 130.53 | $0.950 | $124 | May 21, 2026 |
 Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?Yes | sell | 75 | $0.110 | $8.25 | May 19, 2026 |
| New pandemic in 2026?No | buy | 224.72 | $0.890 | $200 | May 19, 2026 |
 Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?Yes | sell | 219.78 | $0.112 | $24.62 | May 19, 2026 |
| Will Russia invade another country in 2026?No | buy | 168.54 | $0.890 | $150 | May 19, 2026 |
| Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.400 | $10 | May 19, 2026 |
| Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.400 | $20 | May 19, 2026 |
| Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?Yes | buy | 219.78 | $0.091 | $20 | May 15, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 561.44 | $0.880 | $494.07 | May 14, 2026 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No | buy | 99.32 | $0.370 | $36.75 | May 12, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 238.1 | $0.840 | $200 | May 12, 2026 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No | buy | 344.04 | $0.436 | $150 | May 9, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?No | buy | 352.94 | $0.850 | $300 | May 1, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 361.45 | $0.830 | $300 | May 1, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 200 | $0.820 | $164 | May 1, 2026 |
 AI bubble burst in 2026?Yes | sell | 909.36 | $0.119 | $108.25 | Apr 28, 2026 |