Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.950 | $19 | Jun 2, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 21.33 |
| $0.750 |
| $16 |
| Jun 2, 2026 |
 Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 33.68 | $0.950 | $32 | Jun 2, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by June 15?No | buy | 28.57 | $0.910 | $26 | Jun 2, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 93.33 | $0.900 | $84 | May 29, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 21?No | buy | 80.65 | $0.930 | $75 | May 19, 2026 |
 Will Australia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 27.96 | $0.930 | $26 | May 15, 2026 |
 Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 68.49 | $0.730 | $50 | May 15, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 15?No | buy | 29.5 | $0.983 | $29 | May 15, 2026 |
 Will Oliver Bearman be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?No | sell | 23.59 | $0.998 | $23.54 | May 15, 2026 |
 Genius FDV above $1B one day after launch?No | buy | 12.53 | $0.979 | $12.26 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Will Oliver Bearman be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?No | buy | 23.59 | $0.997 | $23.52 | Apr 6, 2026 |
 Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?No | buy | 19.16 | $0.994 | $19.05 | Mar 31, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?No | buy | 35.07 | $0.998 | $35 | Mar 26, 2026 |
 GRVT FDV above $1B one day after launch?No | sell | 15.31 | $0.952 | $14.57 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| GRVT FDV above $1B one day after launch?No | buy | 15.31 | $0.927 | $14.19 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?No | buy | 34.62 | $0.996 | $34.48 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?No | buy | 28.43 | $0.999 | $28.4 | Mar 7, 2026 |
 Will Fernando Olivera win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No | sell | 16.61 | $0.998 | $16.58 | Mar 7, 2026 |
 Will Hyperliquid be accused of insider trading?No | buy | 24.15 | $0.998 | $24.1 | Feb 26, 2026 |
 Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?No | sell | 17.1 | $0.979 | $16.74 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?No | buy | 17.1 | $0.974 | $16.66 | Feb 12, 2026 |
| Will Fernando Olivera win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No | buy | 16.61 | $0.998 | $16.58 | Feb 5, 2026 |
 US strike on Mexico by January 31?No | buy | 19.58 | $0.992 | $19.42 | Jan 27, 2026 |
 Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 1.11K | $0.006 | $6.69 | Jan 27, 2026 |
 Will Juan Carlos Hidalgo Bogantes win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election?No | sell | 18.66 | $0.993 | $18.53 | Jan 27, 2026 |
| Will Juan Carlos Hidalgo Bogantes win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election?No | buy | 18.67 | $0.991 | $18.5 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 1.11K | $0.007 | $7.8 | Jan 25, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in January?No | sell | 66.53 | $0.997 | $66.33 | Jan 25, 2026 |
 Will Trove launch a token by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 15.53 | $0.979 | $15.2 | Jan 19, 2026 |
 Will the Brooklyn Nets win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | sell | 2.78K | $0.001 | $2.78 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| Will the Brooklyn Nets win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | buy | 2.78K | $0.002 | $5.55 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in January?No | buy | 66.53 | $0.992 | $66 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?No | buy | 55.26 | $0.999 | $55.2 | Dec 29, 2025 |
 Will Juventus win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes | sell | 3.31K | $0.006 | $19.89 | Dec 27, 2025 |
| Will Juventus win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes | buy | 3.31K | $0.007 | $23.2 | Dec 27, 2025 |
 Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on December 31?No | buy | 39.24 | $0.999 | $39.2 | Dec 24, 2025 |
 Musk out as Tesla CEO in 2025?No | sell | 43.5 | $0.984 | $42.8 | Dec 24, 2025 |
| Musk out as Tesla CEO in 2025?No | buy | 43.5 | $0.993 | $43.2 | Dec 18, 2025 |
 Will xAI have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?No | sell | 31.29 | $0.997 | $31.2 | Dec 18, 2025 |
| Will xAI have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?No | buy | 31.29 | $0.997 | $31.2 | Dec 15, 2025 |
 Will Valencia win the 2025–26 La Liga?No | sell | 36.77 | $0.997 | $36.66 | Dec 15, 2025 |
 Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 36.15 | $0.998 | $36.08 | Dec 15, 2025 |
| Will Valencia win the 2025–26 La Liga?No | buy | 36.77 | $0.998 | $36.7 | Dec 11, 2025 |
| Will Union Saint-Gilloise win the 2025–26 Champions League?No | sell | 46.29 | $0.998 | $46.2 | Dec 11, 2025 |
| Will Union Saint-Gilloise win the 2025–26 Champions League?No | buy | 46.29 | $0.998 | $46.2 | Dec 8, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum hit $7,000 by December 31?No | sell | 63.83 | $0.992 | $63.32 | Dec 8, 2025 |
| Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 36.16 | $0.999 | $36.12 | Dec 5, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?No | sell | 69.24 | $0.996 | $68.96 | Dec 5, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum hit $7,000 by December 31?No | buy | 63.83 | $0.991 | $63.26 | Dec 1, 2025 |