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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | sell | 19 | $0.130 | $2.47 | Jun 24, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 19 |
| $0.130 |
| $2.47 |
| Jun 24, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 47 | $0.860 | $40.42 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 47 | $0.870 | $40.89 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?No | sell | 36 | $0.690 | $24.84 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?No | buy | 36 | $0.690 | $24.84 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 44 | $0.930 | $40.92 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 46 | $0.892 | $41.03 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 11 | $0.890 | $9.79 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 11 | $0.890 | $9.79 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 56 | $0.730 | $40.88 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.530 | $7.95 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | buy | 70 | $0.530 | $37.1 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes | sell | 32 | $0.370 | $11.84 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes | buy | 106 | $0.370 | $39.22 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 43 | $0.880 | $37.84 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | sell | 32 | $0.270 | $8.64 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 32 | $0.280 | $8.96 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | sell | 43 | $0.860 | $36.98 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 13 | $0.060 | $0.78 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 46 | $0.891 | $40.99 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 46 | $0.926 | $42.6 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 71 | $0.058 | $4.12 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Netanyahu out by June 30?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.012 | $0.3 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?No | buy | 37 | $0.974 | $36.04 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | sell | 82 | $0.160 | $13.12 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | buy | 82 | $0.170 | $13.94 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No | sell | 20 | $0.690 | $13.8 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 106 | $0.420 | $44.52 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 106 | $0.430 | $45.58 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 9?Yes | sell | 164 | $0.032 | $5.32 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 9?Yes | buy | 164 | $0.030 | $4.92 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | sell | 3 | $0.710 | $2.13 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 42 | $0.932 | $39.14 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Will Alberta join the US?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.043 | $0.43 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | buy | 45 | $0.967 | $43.52 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | buy | 3 | $0.720 | $2.16 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Yes | sell | 32 | $0.210 | $6.72 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Yes | buy | 32 | $0.210 | $6.72 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by June 30?No | buy | 43 | $0.962 | $41.37 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 71 | $0.550 | $39.05 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | sell | 5 | $0.660 | $3.3 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 63 | $0.630 | $39.69 | Jun 3, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 56 | $0.783 | $43.85 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 8 | $0.490 | $3.92 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 76 | $0.490 | $37.24 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | buy | 64 | $0.690 | $44.16 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | buy | 45 | $0.480 | $21.6 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | buy | 84 | $0.500 | $42 | May 30, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes | buy | 28 | $0.370 | $10.36 | May 30, 2026 |