Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 2.11K | $0.999 | $2.11K | Apr 29, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 2.11K |
| $0.980 |
| $2.07K |
| Apr 10, 2026 |
 Will the ECB announce no change at the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.07K | $0.954 | $1.98K | Feb 6, 2026 |
| Will the ECB announce no change at the February 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 1.98K | $0.999 | $1.98K | Feb 5, 2026 |
| Will the ECB announce no change at the February 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.98K | $0.958 | $1.89K | Dec 20, 2025 |
| Will the ECB announce no change at the December meeting?Yes | sell | 1.9K | $0.999 | $1.89K | Dec 18, 2025 |
| Will the ECB announce no change at the December meeting?Yes | buy | 103.33 | $0.961 | $99.3 | Dec 1, 2025 |
 Fed rate hike in 2025?No | sell | 100 | $0.993 | $99.3 | Dec 1, 2025 |
| Will the ECB announce no change at the December meeting?Yes | buy | 1.79K | $0.960 | $1.72K | Dec 1, 2025 |
 Will the People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No | sell | 2.41K | $0.713 | $1.72K | Oct 30, 2025 |
| Will the People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No | buy | 2.41K | $0.855 | $2.06K | Oct 30, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 2.06K | $0.999 | $2.06K | Oct 29, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.06K | $0.930 | $1.92K | Oct 14, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 1.94K | $0.990 | $1.92K | Sep 17, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.94K | $0.870 | $1.69K | Sep 12, 2025 |
| Will the ECB announce no change at the September meeting?Yes | sell | 1.69K | $0.999 | $1.69K | Sep 11, 2025 |
| Will the ECB announce no change at the September meeting?Yes | buy | 1.69K | $0.970 | $1.64K | Aug 23, 2025 |
| Will the ECB announce an increase at the September meeting?No | sell | 1.64K | $0.997 | $1.64K | Aug 20, 2025 |
| Will the ECB announce an increase at the September meeting?No | buy | 1.64K | $0.985 | $1.62K | Aug 1, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 1.62K | $0.999 | $1.62K | Jul 30, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.62K | $0.967 | $1.57K | Jul 17, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 1.54K | $0.954 | $1.47K | Jul 16, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?No | sell | 106.21 | $0.908 | $96.41 | Jul 16, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.54K | $0.780 | $1.2K | Jun 26, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?No | sell | 1.23K | $0.981 | $1.2K | Jun 26, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?No | buy | 106.22 | $0.918 | $97.52 | Jun 26, 2025 |
 Will the U.S. acquire Canadian territory in 2025?No | sell | 104.86 | $0.930 | $97.52 | Jun 26, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1.23K | $0.985 | $1.21K | Jun 18, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 1.21K | $0.999 | $1.21K | Jun 18, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 845.82 | $0.973 | $822.98 | Jun 14, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting?No | sell | 827.95 | $0.994 | $822.98 | Jun 14, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 362.4 | $0.910 | $329.78 | May 20, 2025 |
 Will the Democratic Alliance win the most seats in the 2025 Portuguese legislative election?Yes | sell | 330.11 | $0.999 | $329.78 | May 19, 2025 |
| Will the Democratic Alliance win the most seats in the 2025 Portuguese legislative election?Yes | buy | 330.12 | $0.947 | $312.62 | May 17, 2025 |
| Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the June meeting?No | sell | 314.19 | $0.995 | $312.62 | May 17, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting?No | buy | 72.74 | $0.976 | $70.99 | May 4, 2025 |
 Will Labour win the most seats in the next Australian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 71 | $0.964 | $68.44 | May 2, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 69.13 | $0.990 | $68.44 | May 2, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting?No | buy | 181.72 | $0.959 | $174.27 | May 2, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting?No | buy | 10.47 | $0.955 | $10 | May 2, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting?No | buy | 104.69 | $0.955 | $100 | May 2, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting?No | buy | 20.96 | $0.954 | $20 | May 2, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after May 2025 meeting?No | sell | 305.18 | $0.997 | $304.26 | May 2, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 69.13 | $0.900 | $62.22 | Apr 30, 2025 |
 Will the Liberal Party win the most seats in the next Canadian election?Yes | sell | 62.35 | $0.998 | $62.23 | Apr 29, 2025 |
| Will the Liberal Party win the most seats in the next Canadian election?Yes | buy | 62.36 | $0.797 | $49.7 | Apr 28, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after May 2025 meeting?No | sell | 50 | $0.994 | $49.7 | Apr 28, 2025 |
| Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the June meeting?No | buy | 104.43 | $0.954 | $99.63 | Apr 22, 2025 |
| Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the June meeting?No | buy | 104.93 | $0.953 | $100 | Apr 21, 2025 |
| Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the June meeting?No | buy | 104.83 | $0.954 | $100 | Apr 21, 2025 |