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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 1K | $0.394 | $502.5 | +$108.5 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?No | buy | 170 | $0.998 | $169.66 | 23d ago |
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| No |
| 440 |
| $0.933 |
| $422.62 |
| +$12.12 |
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? | No | 300 | $0.993 | $298.35 | +$0.45 |
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | No | 270 | $0.920 | $269.87 | +$21.36 |
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | No | 200 | $0.920 | $184.9 | +$0.9 |
| buy |
| 300 |
| $0.993 |
| $297.9 |
| 23d ago |
Will Ethereum reach $2,100 in July?No | buy | 69.99 | $0.968 | $67.75 | Jul 29, 2026 |
Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in July?No | buy | 100 | $0.991 | $99.1 | Jul 29, 2026 |
Will Ethereum reach $2,300 in July?No | buy | 100 | $0.995 | $99.5 | Jul 29, 2026 |
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in July?No | buy | 100 | $0.999 | $99.9 | Jul 29, 2026 |
Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in July?No | buy | 100 | $0.999 | $99.9 | Jul 29, 2026 |
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?No | sell | 200 | $0.870 | $174 | Jul 29, 2026 |
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in June?No | buy | 140 | $0.996 | $139.44 | Jun 17, 2026 |
Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in June?No | buy | 120 | $0.996 | $119.52 | Jun 17, 2026 |
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?No | buy | 200 | $0.860 | $172 | Jun 17, 2026 |
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 200 | $0.920 | $184 | Jun 17, 2026 |
Will Gentner Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?No | sell | 20 | $0.600 | $12 | Jun 17, 2026 |
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?No | sell | 200 | $0.858 | $171.6 | Jun 17, 2026 |
Will Mike Collins win the Georgia Republican Senate Primary runoff election by 10–15%?No | sell | 40 | $0.030 | $1.2 | Jun 17, 2026 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 17, 2026?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.040 | $1.6 | Jun 17, 2026 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 17, 2026?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.050 | $2 | Jun 17, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on June 17?No | sell | 50 | $0.502 | $25.08 | Jun 17, 2026 |
Will Jim Priest be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oklahoma?No | sell | 3.23 | $0.860 | $2.78 | Jun 17, 2026 |
Will Jim Priest be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oklahoma?No | sell | 12.5 | $0.870 | $10.88 | Jun 17, 2026 |
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?No | sell | 100 | $0.720 | $72 | Jun 17, 2026 |
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.600 | $60 | Jun 17, 2026 |
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.460 | $92 | Jun 17, 2026 |
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 300 | $0.968 | $290.4 | Jun 17, 2026 |
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 300 | $0.995 | $298.5 | Jun 17, 2026 |
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 300 | $0.967 | $290.22 | May 25, 2026 |
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 300 | $0.985 | $295.5 | May 25, 2026 |
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 300 | $0.932 | $279.6 | May 25, 2026 |
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 199.99 | $0.380 | $76 | May 25, 2026 |
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?No | sell | 200 | $0.110 | $22 | May 25, 2026 |
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?No | sell | 34.54 | $0.750 | $25.91 | May 25, 2026 |
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?No | sell | 5.46 | $0.760 | $4.15 | May 25, 2026 |
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?No | sell | 200 | $0.962 | $192.4 | May 25, 2026 |
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?No | sell | 60 | $0.760 | $45.6 | May 25, 2026 |
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?Yes | sell | 170.81 | $0.560 | $95.65 | May 25, 2026 |
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?Yes | sell | 171.11 | $0.240 | $41.07 | May 25, 2026 |
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.040 | $8 | May 25, 2026 |
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?No | sell | 100 | $0.020 | $2.01 | May 25, 2026 |
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?No | sell | 200 | $0.982 | $196.4 | May 25, 2026 |
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?No | sell | 30.7 | $0.022 | $0.68 | May 25, 2026 |
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 140 | $0.935 | $130.9 | May 13, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?Yes | buy | 37 | $0.996 | $36.85 | May 13, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?Yes | buy | 140 | $0.995 | $139.3 | May 13, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?Yes | buy | 223.49 | $0.994 | $222.15 | May 13, 2026 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.570 | $114 | Apr 7, 2026 |
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 7?Down | sell | 7 | $0.400 | $2.8 | Apr 7, 2026 |
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 7?Down | buy | 5 | $0.410 | $2.05 | Apr 7, 2026 |
Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | sell | 39 | $0.239 | $9.34 | Apr 7, 2026 |
Baylor Bears vs. Minnesota Golden GophersBaylor Bears | buy | 4.93 | $0.610 | $3.01 | Mar 28, 2026 |
Baylor Bears vs. Minnesota Golden GophersBaylor Bears | buy | 60.13 | $0.610 | $36.68 | Mar 28, 2026 |