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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 25.32 | $0.790 | $24.34 | +$4.34 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes | buy | 16.39 | $0.610 | $10 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 16.39 |
| $0.610 |
| $10.57 |
| +$0.57 |
| buy |
| 23.81 |
| $0.840 |
| $20 |
| Jun 11, 2026 |
 Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes | buy | 57.14 | $0.350 | $20 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 25.32 | $0.790 | $20 | Apr 19, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | buy | 25.32 | $0.790 | $20 | Apr 19, 2026 |
 Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?Yes | sell | 21.44 | $0.999 | $21.42 | Feb 20, 2026 |
 Men's Semifinals - Canada vs. FinlandCanada | buy | 9.96 | $0.790 | $7.87 | Feb 20, 2026 |
 Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.700 | $10 | Feb 20, 2026 |
 Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?Yes | sell | 20.78 | $0.860 | $17.87 | Feb 20, 2026 |
 Starmer out by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 18.42 | $0.900 | $16.58 | Feb 14, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 5:45PM-5:50PM ETUp | buy | 6.99 | $0.700 | $4.89 | Feb 14, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 5:40PM-5:45PM ETDown | sell | 14.12 | $0.810 | $11.44 | Feb 14, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 5:40PM-5:45PM ETDown | buy | 13.97 | $0.700 | $9.78 | Feb 14, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 5:30PM-5:35PM ETUp | buy | 6.32 | $0.780 | $4.93 | Feb 14, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 4:40PM-4:45PM ETUp | sell | 8.08 | $0.990 | $8 | Feb 14, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 4:40PM-4:45PM ETUp | buy | 7.96 | $0.610 | $4.86 | Feb 14, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 4:30PM-4:35PM ETDown | sell | 5.6 | $0.990 | $5.54 | Feb 14, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 4:30PM-4:35PM ETDown | buy | 5.59 | $0.890 | $4.98 | Feb 14, 2026 |
 Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?No | sell | 21.97 | $0.986 | $21.66 | Feb 14, 2026 |
| Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?No | buy | 14.53 | $0.900 | $13.08 | Feb 14, 2026 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes | buy | 17.54 | $0.570 | $10 | Feb 14, 2026 |
 Government shutdown on Saturday?No | sell | 24 | $0.962 | $23.09 | Feb 14, 2026 |
| Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?Yes | buy | 20.79 | $0.610 | $12.68 | Feb 14, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 21.43 | $0.700 | $15 | Feb 14, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ETUp | buy | 15.21 | $0.640 | $9.73 | Feb 14, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?No | sell | 21.05 | $0.999 | $21.03 | Feb 14, 2026 |
 US x Iran meeting by February 13, 2026?No | sell | 16.7 | $0.997 | $16.65 | Feb 14, 2026 |
| Government shutdown on Saturday?No | buy | 24.01 | $0.871 | $20.92 | Feb 14, 2026 |
 Will Albania record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?No | sell | 23.52 | $0.890 | $20.92 | Feb 14, 2026 |
| US x Iran meeting by February 13, 2026?No | buy | 16.7 | $0.900 | $15.03 | Feb 11, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 2:45AM-3:00AM ETDown | sell | 15.04 | $0.999 | $15.02 | Feb 11, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 2:45AM-3:00AM ETDown | buy | 15.03 | $0.940 | $14.13 | Feb 11, 2026 |
 Will the United States win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No | sell | 15.22 | $0.930 | $14.15 | Feb 11, 2026 |
| Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?Yes | buy | 21.44 | $0.900 | $19.3 | Feb 11, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 10, 2026?No | sell | 19.32 | $0.999 | $19.3 | Feb 11, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 3:00AM-3:15AM ETUp | buy | 23.92 | $0.720 | $17.22 | Feb 10, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 10?Yes | sell | 22.47 | $0.738 | $16.58 | Feb 10, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 10, 2026?No | buy | 19.33 | $0.983 | $19 | Feb 10, 2026 |
| Will the United States win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No | buy | 15.23 | $0.790 | $12.03 | Feb 10, 2026 |
| Will Albania record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?No | buy | 23.53 | $0.850 | $20 | Feb 10, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 10?Yes | buy | 22.47 | $0.890 | $20 | Feb 10, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?No | buy | 23.53 | $0.850 | $20 | Feb 10, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?Yes | sell | 98.95 | $0.930 | $92.02 | Feb 10, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No | buy | 32.37 | $0.860 | $27.84 | Feb 8, 2026 |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?No | buy | 21.98 | $0.910 | $20 | Feb 8, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?No | buy | 21.05 | $0.950 | $20 | Feb 8, 2026 |
 Will Pheu Thai Party (PT) finish in third place by number of seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?Yes | sell | 68.18 | $0.995 | $67.84 | Feb 8, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 2:00AM-2:15AM ETDown | buy | 6.26 | $0.740 | $4.63 | Feb 6, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 2:00AM-2:15AM ETDown | sell | 10.89 | $0.440 | $4.79 | Feb 6, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 2:00AM-2:15AM ETDown | buy | 10.78 | $0.710 | $7.65 | Feb 6, 2026 |