Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 13.04 | $0.920 | $12.55 | +$0.55 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 21?Yes | buy | 1.02 | $0.985 | $1 | Jun 20, 2026 |
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| buy |
| 1.01 |
| $0.990 |
| $1 |
| Mar 6, 2026 |
Will Rastriya Swatantra Party win the most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?Yes | buy | 1.02 | $0.984 | $1 | Mar 6, 2026 |
Will Ethereum reach $4,400 in January?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.998 | $5 | Jan 26, 2026 |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 13.04 | $0.920 | $12 | Jan 26, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?No | buy | 1.76 | $0.981 | $1.73 | Jan 26, 2026 |
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?Yes | buy | 1.27 | $0.790 | $1 | Dec 15, 2025 |
Will Ethereum hit $17,000 by December 31?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.998 | $5 | Dec 15, 2025 |
Maduro out in 2025?No | buy | 2.37 | $0.940 | $2.23 | Dec 15, 2025 |
Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?No | buy | 3.16 | $0.949 | $3 | Nov 25, 2025 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?Yes | buy | 1.63 | $0.898 | $1.46 | Nov 25, 2025 |
Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday?No | buy | 1.57 | $0.955 | $1.5 | Nov 25, 2025 |
TikTok sale announced by October 31?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.965 | $1 | Oct 22, 2025 |
Will CME Group (CME) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 1.19 | $0.840 | $1 | Oct 22, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin reach $200k in October?No | buy | 3.01 | $0.997 | $3 | Oct 22, 2025 |
Will Dr Patrick Herminie win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?Yes | buy | 1.32 | $0.760 | $1 | Sep 19, 2025 |
Will Google have the top AI model on September 30?Yes | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | Sep 19, 2025 |
Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?Yes | buy | 1.37 | $0.730 | $1 | Sep 19, 2025 |
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?No | buy | 2.08 | $0.960 | $2 | Sep 19, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin reach $200K in August?No | buy | 2.01 | $0.996 | $2 | Aug 17, 2025 |
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together by August 31?No | buy | 1.18 | $0.850 | $1 | Aug 17, 2025 |
Will Andrónico Rodríguez win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?No | buy | 1.08 | $0.929 | $1 | Aug 17, 2025 |
Will "Americana" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $1.5m?Yes | buy | 1.01 | $0.991 | $1 | Aug 17, 2025 |
Will "Superman" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $100m?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.988 | $1 | Jul 9, 2025 |
Will xAI have the top AI model on July 31?No | buy | 1.52 | $0.656 | $1 | Jul 9, 2025 |
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?No | buy | 1.32 | $0.760 | $1 | Jul 9, 2025 |
Yoon arrested by July 15?Yes | buy | 1.03 | $0.971 | $1 | Jul 9, 2025 |
Will LDP hold the most seats in the House of Councillors following the 2025 Japan election?Yes | buy | 3.06 | $0.980 | $3 | Jul 9, 2025 |
Another US military action against Iran by June 30?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.983 | $1 | Jun 26, 2025 |
Bitcoin above $103,000 on June 27?Yes | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | Jun 26, 2025 |
India-Pakistan declare war before June?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.988 | $1 | May 18, 2025 |
Will Trump visit Israel in May?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.963 | $1 | May 18, 2025 |
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | May 18, 2025 |
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on May 31?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.974 | $1 | Apr 16, 2025 |
Bitcoin above $82,000 on April 18?Yes | buy | 1.35 | $0.740 | $1 | Apr 16, 2025 |
Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto before June?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.968 | $1 | Apr 16, 2025 |
Will TikTok be banned again before May?No | buy | 1.49 | $0.670 | $1 | Mar 6, 2025 |
Will Strategy purchase Bitcoin Feb Mar 4-10?No | buy | 1.92 | $0.520 | $1 | Mar 6, 2025 |
Avail airdrop in Q1 2025?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.966 | $1 | Feb 11, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk buy MSNBC?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.980 | $1 | Feb 11, 2025 |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?No | buy | 3.26 | $0.920 | $3 | Feb 11, 2025 |
East coast port strike in January?No | buy | 1 | $0.996 | $1 | Jan 24, 2025 |
Will Steve Mnuchin buy TikTok?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | Jan 24, 2025 |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?No | buy | 8.79 | $0.910 | $8 | Jan 24, 2025 |
Will Biden finish his term?Yes | buy | 2.03 | $0.986 | $2 | Jan 8, 2025 |
Bitcoin above $97,000 on January 10?Yes | buy | 2.22 | $0.450 | $1 | Jan 8, 2025 |
Will ECB raise interest rates in January 2025?No | buy | 1 | $0.998 | $1 | Jan 8, 2025 |
Megaquake in January?No | buy | 2.08 | $0.960 | $2 | Jan 8, 2025 |
Will the Palisades wildfire be contained by Friday?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | Jan 8, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by March 31?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.890 | $0.9 | Dec 22, 2024 |