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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will The Odyssey be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? | No | 100 | $0.760 | $64.5 | -$11.5 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Man I Need – Olivia Dean be the #2 song in the US for 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.060 | $1.2 | 22d ago |
 |
| No |
| 100 |
| $0.570 |
| $44.5 |
| -$12.5 |
 Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026? | No | 50 | $0.540 | $32.75 | +$5.75 |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026? | Yes | 50 | $0.540 | $32.25 | +$5.25 |
 Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026? | No | 20 | $0.790 | $18.7 | +$2.9 |
 Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026? | No | 20 | $0.430 | $18.1 | +$9.5 |
 SSI public model released by September 30, 2026? | No | 20 | $0.790 | $17.9 | +$2.1 |
 US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026? | No | 20 | $0.880 | $17.9 | +$0.3 |
 Will American Doctor win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards? | No | 20 | $0.810 | $17.3 | +$1.1 |
 US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026? | No | 20 | $0.850 | $15.9 | -$1.1 |
| Will The Black Ball win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards? | No | 20 | $0.730 | $15.1 | +$0.5 |
 Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 2.25 but below 2.5? | No | 20 | $0.700 | $14.7 | +$0.7 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 20 | $0.820 | $14.5 | -$1.9 |
 Will the Texans win the season series against the Jaguars during the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | No | 20 | $0.690 | $14.1 | +$0.3 |
 Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 20 | $0.665 | $13.11 | -$0.19 |
 Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | Yes | 20 | $0.620 | $12.99 | +$0.59 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | No | 20 | $0.470 | $12.6 | +$3.2 |
 Will Arknights: Endfield win Best Mobile Game at the 2026 Game Awards? | No | 20 | $0.590 | $12.5 | +$0.7 |
 Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30, 2027? | No | 20 | $0.660 | $11.9 | -$1.3 |
 Will Man I Need (Olivia Dean) win Record of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards? | No | 20 | $0.730 | $11.7 | -$2.9 |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 20 | $0.530 | $9.3 | -$1.3 |
| Will Man I Need (Olivia Dean) win Record of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards? | Yes | 20 | $0.240 | $8.3 | +$3.5 |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 20 | $0.300 | $8.1 | +$2.1 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 20 | $0.500 | $7.4 | -$2.6 |
| Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | No | 20 | $0.350 | $7.01 | +$0.01 |
| sell |
| 20 |
| $0.240 |
| $4.8 |
| 22d ago |
 Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Pará?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.880 | $17.6 | 22d ago |
 Does a card sell for more than Logan’s record $16,492,000 by the end of 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.013 | $0.26 | 23d ago |
 Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.370 | $7.4 | 23d ago |
 Will S8UL Esports Win the 2026 Esports Content Group of the Year Award?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.630 | $12.6 | 23d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on August 18?No | sell | 20 | $0.550 | $11 | 24d ago |
 Will Marathon win Best Multiplayer at the 2026 Game Awards?No | sell | 20 | $0.770 | $15.4 | 24d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C on August 19?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.290 | $5.8 | 24d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on August 19?No | sell | 3.62 | $0.740 | $2.68 | 24d ago |
 Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.140 | $2.8 | 25d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on August 17?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.130 | $2.6 | 25d ago |
 Will Lorenia Valles Sampedro win the 2027 Sonora Governor Election?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.440 | $8.8 | 25d ago |
 Will Byron Donalds win the Florida Republican Governor primary by at least 40%?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.440 | $8.8 | 25d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 17?No | sell | 20 | $0.419 | $8.38 | 25d ago |
| Will Jynxzi Win the 2026 Esports Content Creator of the Year Award?No | sell | 20 | $0.310 | $6.2 | 25d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on August 18?No | sell | 20 | $0.760 | $15.2 | 25d ago |
 Will Catherine O'Hara be the #1 searched passing on Google in the US this year?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.011 | $0.22 | 26d ago |
 Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of August 29?No | sell | 20 | $0.006 | $0.12 | 26d ago |
 Lecornu out as French PM by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.022 | $0.44 | 26d ago |
 Will Ali Khamenei be the #1 searched passing on Google in the US this year?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.060 | $1.2 | 26d ago |
 Will LaShonda "L.J." Holloway be the FL-04 Democratic nominee?No | sell | 20 | $0.110 | $2.2 | 26d ago |
 Will Marie Morell be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Östergötland?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.200 | $4 | 26d ago |
 Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.270 | $5.4 | 26d ago |
 Will Łukasz Gibała win the 2026 Kraków mayoral election?No | sell | 20 | $0.250 | $5 | 26d ago |
 Will Bangsamoro Federalist Party (BFP) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections?No | sell | 20 | $0.417 | $8.35 | 26d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on August 16?No | sell | 20 | $0.500 | $10 | 26d ago |
 Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 15, 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.540 | $10.8 | 26d ago |
| Will iShowSpeed Win the 2026 Streamer of the Year Award?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.500 | $10 | 26d ago |
 Will White House post 180-199 posts from August 18 to August 25, 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.580 | $11.6 | 26d ago |
 Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.375 | $7.51 | 26d ago |
 Will Wang Mei-hui win the next Chiayi City Mayor election?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.740 | $14.8 | 26d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.780 | $15.6 | 26d ago |
 Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?Yes | sell | 1.59 | $0.650 | $1.03 | Aug 9, 2026 |
 Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 55.0 and 55.9 in August?No | sell | 20 | $0.590 | $11.8 | Aug 9, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 50 | $0.702 | $35.08 | Aug 9, 2026 |
 Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.850 | $42.5 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?Yes | sell | 8.41 | $0.650 | $5.47 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Will Partido Liberal (PL) hold the most seats as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.870 | $17.4 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | sell | 50 | $0.320 | $16 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?No | sell | 19.65 | $0.280 | $5.5 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.040 | $0.8 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Will Karim Benzema attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.024 | $1.2 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Will Anne Hathaway win Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.270 | $5.4 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will exactly 1 Israeli legislative election occur before a government is formed?No | sell | 20 | $0.320 | $6.4 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.280 | $14 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Will Angie Craig be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.260 | $26 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Will another city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 50 | $0.570 | $28.5 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 FCC revokes a major network broadcast license by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 50 | $0.850 | $42.5 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.090 | $1.8 | Aug 7, 2026 |