Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Trump out as President by September 30? | No | 141.41 | $0.990 | $139.93 | -$0.07 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 100.5 | $0.995 | $100 | 3d ago |
|
| No |
| 100.5 |
| $0.995 |
| $99.8 |
| -$0.2 |
| buy |
| 141.41 |
| $0.990 |
| $140 |
| 3d ago |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?No | buy | 83.76 | $0.979 | $82 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by August 31?No | buy | 141.56 | $0.989 | $140 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?No | buy | 137.37 | $0.990 | $136 | Jul 24, 2026 |
 No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 84.82 | $0.967 | $82 | Jul 3, 2026 |
 World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?No | buy | 147.25 | $0.978 | $144 | Jul 3, 2026 |
 Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?No | buy | 121.58 | $0.987 | $120 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?No | buy | 111.67 | $0.994 | $111 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?No | buy | 171.72 | $0.990 | $170 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?No | buy | 194.87 | $0.975 | $190 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?No | buy | 303.95 | $0.987 | $300 | May 30, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?No | buy | 169.01 | $0.994 | $168 | May 14, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by May 15?No | buy | 122.95 | $0.976 | $120 | May 14, 2026 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?No | buy | 172.24 | $0.987 | $170 | May 14, 2026 |
 Starmer out by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 134.89 | $0.964 | $130 | Apr 23, 2026 |
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?No | buy | 130.48 | $0.981 | $128 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 151.36 | $0.991 | $150 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No | buy | 187.95 | $0.979 | $184 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?No | buy | 301.51 | $0.995 | $300 | Mar 25, 2026 |
 Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 273.96 | $0.960 | $263 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Trump out as President by March 31?No | buy | 166.25 | $0.962 | $160 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 Zhang Youxia seen in public by February 28?No | buy | 263.49 | $0.987 | $260 | Feb 7, 2026 |
 Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on February 8?No | buy | 166.5 | $0.997 | $166 | Feb 7, 2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 406.92 | $0.983 | $400 | Jan 22, 2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 22.47 | $0.890 | $20 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 100-109 tweets from January 1 to January 3, 2026?No | buy | 400.8 | $0.998 | $400 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 Maduro in U.S. custody by December 31?No | buy | 426.71 | $0.996 | $425 | Dec 29, 2025 |
 Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 7?No | buy | 302.4 | $0.992 | $300 | Dec 7, 2025 |
 Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of December 8 above $40?Yes | buy | 66.13 | $0.998 | $66 | Dec 7, 2025 |
 Will Ciprian Ciucu get less than 15% of the vote in the Bucharest Mayoral election?No | buy | 60.42 | $0.993 | $60 | Dec 7, 2025 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on November 25?Yes | buy | 151.36 | $0.991 | $150 | Nov 25, 2025 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?Yes | buy | 277.84 | $0.961 | $267 | Nov 7, 2025 |
 Will the price of XRP be less than $2.10 on November 7?No | buy | 136.64 | $0.988 | $135 | Nov 7, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $4,500 on October 27?No | buy | 400.8 | $0.998 | $400 | Oct 26, 2025 |
 Will UCR hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?No | sell | 130.13 | $0.999 | $130 | Oct 26, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,800 on October 16?Yes | buy | 266.51 | $0.998 | $266 | Oct 16, 2025 |
| Will UCR hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?No | buy | 130.13 | $0.999 | $130 | Oct 16, 2025 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?Yes | buy | 268.14 | $0.988 | $265 | Sep 19, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Putin by September 30?No | buy | 131.31 | $0.990 | $130 | Sep 19, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2000 in August?No | buy | 66.2 | $0.997 | $66 | Aug 17, 2025 |
| Ethereum above $4800 on August 18?No | buy | 212.34 | $0.989 | $210 | Aug 17, 2025 |
 Will Solana reach $250 August 11–17?No | buy | 121.12 | $0.999 | $121 | Aug 17, 2025 |
 Xi Jinping out before October?No | sell | 276.79 | $0.972 | $268.96 | Aug 17, 2025 |
| Xi Jinping out before October?No | buy | 276.8 | $0.961 | $266 | Jul 7, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2025 meeting?No | buy | 125.25 | $0.998 | $125 | Jul 7, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 500 or more times June 6–13?No | buy | 162.65 | $0.996 | $162 | Jun 10, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on June 10?Up | buy | 222.9 | $0.978 | $218 | Jun 10, 2025 |
 Georgescu in jail before Romanian election?No | buy | 69.13 | $0.998 | $69 | May 3, 2025 |
 Will "Thunderbolts" Rotten Tomatoes score be less than 60?No | buy | 300.3 | $0.999 | $300 | May 3, 2025 |