Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will PvdD be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?No | sell | 40.48 | $0.942 | $38.13 | Jan 18, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 5.32 |
| $0.992 |
| $5.28 |
| Jan 7, 2026 |
 Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 5.11 | $0.979 | $5 | Dec 24, 2025 |
 Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | buy | 20.08 | $0.996 | $20 | Dec 24, 2025 |
 Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | buy | 40.08 | $0.998 | $40 | Dec 24, 2025 |
 AI wins IMO gold medal in 2025?No | buy | 5.05 | $0.991 | $5 | Dec 24, 2025 |
 Will xAI have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?No | buy | 20.06 | $0.997 | $20 | Dec 24, 2025 |
 Will Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31?No | buy | 25.08 | $0.997 | $25 | Dec 24, 2025 |
 Will Z.ai have the top AI model on December 31?No | buy | 203.2 | $0.999 | $203 | Dec 24, 2025 |
 Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on December 31?No | buy | 300.3 | $0.999 | $300 | Dec 24, 2025 |
 Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 436.74 | $0.994 | $434.12 | Dec 24, 2025 |
 Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 376.5 | $0.994 | $374.24 | Dec 24, 2025 |
| Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 376.51 | $0.996 | $375 | Dec 15, 2025 |
| Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 436.75 | $0.996 | $435 | Dec 15, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?No | buy | 6.01 | $0.999 | $6 | Dec 15, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?No | buy | 2.01 | $0.997 | $2 | Dec 15, 2025 |
| Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | sell | 660 | $0.991 | $654.06 | Dec 15, 2025 |
 Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | sell | 408.86 | $0.991 | $405.18 | Dec 15, 2025 |
| Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | buy | 408.86 | $0.993 | $406 | Nov 27, 2025 |
| Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | buy | 665.32 | $0.992 | $660 | Nov 27, 2025 |
 Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?No | sell | 160.8 | $0.996 | $160.16 | Nov 27, 2025 |
 Will Marian Vanghelie be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No | sell | 420.42 | $0.999 | $420 | Nov 27, 2025 |
 Will Virgil Alexandru Zidaru be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No | sell | 460.46 | $0.999 | $460 | Nov 27, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?No | buy | 160.8 | $0.995 | $160 | Nov 12, 2025 |
 Will Bruno Mars be the top Spotify artist for 2025?No | buy | 2.03 | $0.987 | $2 | Nov 12, 2025 |
 Will The Weeknd be the top Spotify artist for 2025?No | buy | 2 | $0.999 | $2 | Nov 12, 2025 |
| Will Virgil Alexandru Zidaru be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No | buy | 460.46 | $0.999 | $460 | Nov 12, 2025 |
| Will Marian Vanghelie be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No | buy | 420.42 | $0.999 | $420 | Nov 12, 2025 |
 Will Club Brugge win the 2025–26 Champions League?No | sell | 380.38 | $0.997 | $379.24 | Nov 12, 2025 |
| Will Club Brugge win the 2025–26 Champions League?No | buy | 380.38 | $0.999 | $380 | Nov 5, 2025 |
 Will George Russell be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | buy | 670.67 | $0.999 | $670 | Nov 5, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win 2 boroughs in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?No | buy | 46.05 | $0.999 | $46 | Nov 5, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win 1 borough in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.999 | $5 | Nov 5, 2025 |
| Will PvdD be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?No | buy | 40.49 | $0.988 | $40 | Nov 5, 2025 |
 Will NSC be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?No | buy | 25.1 | $0.996 | $25 | Nov 5, 2025 |
 2025 September 4th or lower hottest on record?No | buy | 21.04 | $0.998 | $21 | Nov 5, 2025 |