Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 190.04 | $0.668 | $162.48 | +$35.59 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.170 | $1.02 | Apr 18, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 127.63 |
| $0.970 |
| $125.21 |
| +$1.43 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | No | 77.69 | $0.828 | $74.19 | +$9.9 |
 Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? | No | 45.26 | $0.923 | $44.24 | +$2.48 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 45.23 | $0.619 | $42.29 | +$14.27 |
 Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? | No | 21.47 | $0.883 | $21.11 | +$2.14 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 24.49 | $0.547 | $20.77 | +$7.36 |
 Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | No | 11.31 | $0.870 | $11.12 | +$1.28 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 11.39 | $0.923 | $11.01 | +$0.5 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 14.9 | $0.675 | $10.95 | +$0.9 |
 Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? | Yes | 25.38 | $0.310 | $8.38 | +$0.51 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 49.51 | $0.053 | $6.56 | +$3.94 |
 NATO dissolves before 2027? | No | 6.65 | $0.940 | $6.54 | +$0.29 |
 Iran Nuke before 2027? | No | 6.09 | $0.860 | $5.79 | +$0.55 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 15.77 | $0.439 | $4.34 | -$2.59 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 107.3 | $0.042 | $3.86 | -$0.64 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | Yes | 25.13 | $0.264 | $2.64 | -$4.01 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 28.41 | $0.173 | $2.09 | -$2.83 |
 Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 53.23 | $0.021 | $1.84 | +$0.73 |
 Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 94.21 | $0.070 | $1.65 | -$4.95 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 6.69 | $0.086 | $1.25 | +$0.68 |
 Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? | Yes | 13.11 | $0.157 | $1.18 | -$0.87 |
 Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 33.15 | $0.017 | $0.63 | +$0.08 |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | Yes | 10.13 | $0.140 | $0.61 | -$0.81 |
 Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 77.73 | $0.009 | $0.51 | -$0.17 |
| sell |
| 13.07 |
| $0.997 |
| $13.03 |
| Apr 16, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.43 | $0.870 | $5.59 | Apr 16, 2026 |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?Yes | buy | 42 | $0.924 | $38.81 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?Yes | buy | 12.01 | $0.939 | $11.28 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?No | sell | 11.87 | $0.992 | $11.78 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?Yes | buy | 8.73 | $0.940 | $8.21 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?Yes | buy | 20.48 | $0.941 | $19.27 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?Yes | buy | 43.7 | $0.941 | $41.12 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 8, 2026?Yes | sell | 11.09 | $0.860 | $9.54 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by April 30?No | buy | 39.67 | $0.180 | $7.14 | Apr 3, 2026 |
 Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 28, 2026?No | buy | 7.68 | $0.290 | $2.23 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30?No | buy | 11.7 | $0.460 | $5.38 | Apr 2, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?Yes | buy | 0.45 | $0.170 | $0.08 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 5.85 | $0.370 | $2.16 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Yes | buy | 15.59 | $0.170 | $2.65 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?Yes | buy | 7.44 | $0.310 | $2.31 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?Yes | buy | 5.35 | $0.450 | $2.41 | Mar 23, 2026 |
 Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by March 31?No | sell | 7.84 | $0.980 | $7.68 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 19, 2026?No | buy | 0.11 | $0.839 | $0.09 | Mar 22, 2026 |
 Siena Saints vs. Duke Blue DevilsDuke Blue Devils | buy | 8.06 | $0.778 | $6.27 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| South Florida Bulls vs. Louisville CardinalsSouth Florida Bulls | buy | 11.1 | $0.068 | $0.75 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 18, 2026?No | buy | 14.64 | $0.068 | $1 | Mar 19, 2026 |
 Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31?Yes | buy | 13.52 | $0.150 | $2.03 | Mar 19, 2026 |
 Will Israel or the US target Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center nuclear facility?Yes | buy | 6.07 | $0.569 | $3.45 | Mar 19, 2026 |
 Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 87.08 | $0.013 | $1.13 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 5.05 | $0.260 | $1.31 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 5.29 | $0.260 | $1.38 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?Yes | buy | 10.26 | $0.210 | $2.15 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?Yes | buy | 5.09 | $0.220 | $1.12 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?Yes | buy | 24.93 | $0.220 | $5.48 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?Yes | buy | 36.69 | $0.250 | $9.17 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 13.42 | $0.140 | $1.88 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 16.11 | $0.140 | $2.26 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?No | buy | 50.24 | $0.840 | $42.18 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.77 | $0.358 | $2.06 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 8.3 | $0.350 | $2.91 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 15.57 | $0.346 | $5.39 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?Yes | buy | 9.57 | $0.270 | $2.58 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?Yes | buy | 22.03 | $0.430 | $9.47 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | sell | 5.83 | $0.560 | $3.26 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?Yes | buy | 20.71 | $0.430 | $8.91 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 59.6 | $0.033 | $1.97 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 23.24 | $0.143 | $3.32 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?Yes | buy | 20.37 | $0.400 | $8.15 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before US x Iran ceasefire?Yes | buy | 10.51 | $0.150 | $1.58 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?Yes | buy | 38.81 | $0.080 | $3.1 | Mar 17, 2026 |
 Will Trump visit China by April 30?No | buy | 5.29 | $0.530 | $2.8 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | sell | 6.19 | $0.560 | $3.47 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | sell | 34.17 | $0.560 | $19.14 | Mar 17, 2026 |