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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 2K | $0.510 | $930 | -$90 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | buy | 999.99 | $0.140 | $140 | 4d ago |
|
| Yes |
| 999.99 |
| $0.140 |
| $145 |
| +$5 |
| buy |
| 2K |
| $0.510 |
| $1.02K |
| 11d ago |
 Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?Yes | sell | 142.97 | $0.160 | $22.88 | 11d ago |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No | buy | 1.67K | $0.600 | $1K | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81No | sell | 429.66 | $0.886 | $380.51 | Jul 21, 2026 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026?No | sell | 3.01K | $0.403 | $1.21K | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?No | buy | 930.23 | $0.430 | $400 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?No | buy | 1.16K | $0.430 | $500 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?No | buy | 916.13 | $0.530 | $485.45 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 20.37K | $0.005 | $101.87 | Jun 3, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 250 | $0.070 | $17.5 | Jun 3, 2026 |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes | sell | 312.5 | $0.090 | $28.13 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?No | sell | 99.99 | $0.610 | $60.99 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 872.83 | $0.569 | $496.64 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81No | buy | 183.33 | $0.545 | $100 | May 27, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2027?Yes | buy | 23.08 | $0.650 | $15 | May 8, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2027?Yes | buy | 86.21 | $0.580 | $50 | May 8, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.200 | $50 | May 8, 2026 |
| Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81No | buy | 246.34 | $0.406 | $100 | May 5, 2026 |
| Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?Yes | buy | 142.97 | $0.699 | $100 | Apr 29, 2026 |
| Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?Yes | buy | 230.89 | $0.433 | $100 | Apr 29, 2026 |
 Will Powell say "Kevin" or "Warsh" during April press conference?Yes | buy | 48.82 | $0.410 | $20 | Apr 29, 2026 |
 Will Purdue win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?Yes | buy | 446.43 | $0.056 | $25 | Mar 25, 2026 |
 Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.150 | $150 | Mar 25, 2026 |
 Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?No | sell | 81.96 | $0.690 | $56.55 | Mar 25, 2026 |
 Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?Yes | sell | 257.05 | $0.560 | $143.95 | Mar 17, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 185.19 | $0.270 | $50 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 275.07 | $0.290 | $79.71 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 Tim Cook out as Apple CEO by March 31?No | sell | 21.97 | $0.987 | $21.69 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 312.5 | $0.160 | $50 | Mar 7, 2026 |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?Yes | buy | 257.06 | $0.389 | $100 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the 2026 State of the Union address?No | buy | 151.91 | $0.658 | $100 | Feb 25, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.590 | $59 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.600 | $60 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.180 | $180 | Feb 13, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 17, 2026?Yes | buy | 207.9 | $0.038 | $7.9 | Feb 13, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ETDown | buy | 48.52 | $0.420 | $20.38 | Feb 13, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ETDown | buy | 97.03 | $0.420 | $40.75 | Feb 13, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ETDown | buy | 95.43 | $0.508 | $48.44 | Feb 13, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ETDown | buy | 399.98 | $0.010 | $4 | Feb 13, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 624.99 | $0.090 | $56.25 | Feb 11, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.160 | $1.6 | Feb 10, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 581.6 | $0.172 | $100 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 508.97 | $0.098 | $50 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 US government shutdown Saturday?No | buy | 285.71 | $0.350 | $100 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| US government shutdown Saturday?No | sell | 476.19 | $0.230 | $109.52 | Jan 28, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 3.01K | $0.122 | $368.89 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 1.51K | $0.133 | $200 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 1.5K | $0.133 | $200 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 7.48K | $0.004 | $29.91 | Jan 28, 2026 |