Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?No | sell | 1.05 | $0.976 | $1.02 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 1.04 |
| $0.997 |
| $1.04 |
| Aug 6, 2026 |
 Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?No | sell | 1.07 | $0.976 | $1.04 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.13 | $0.950 | $1.07 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?No | buy | 1.07 | $0.980 | $1.05 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.14 | $0.950 | $1.08 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by July 31?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.992 | $1.04 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.989 | $1.03 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.963 | $1.02 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Will England win on 2026-07-11?Yes | buy | 8.12 | $0.502 | $4.08 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?Yes | buy | 13.53 | $0.750 | $10.15 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No | sell | 1.28 | $0.946 | $1.21 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No | sell | 1.39 | $0.968 | $1.35 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No | sell | 1.53 | $0.930 | $1.42 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No | buy | 1.4 | $0.960 | $1.34 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No | buy | 1.28 | $0.943 | $1.21 | Jun 26, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?No | buy | 1.13 | $0.987 | $1.12 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 1.54 | $0.930 | $1.43 | Jun 26, 2026 |
 Iran coup attempt by June 30?No | buy | 1.18 | $0.996 | $1.18 | Jun 26, 2026 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?No | buy | 1.33 | $0.998 | $1.33 | Jun 26, 2026 |
 Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.39 | $0.958 | $1.33 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?No | buy | 1.22 | $0.998 | $1.22 | Jun 26, 2026 |
 Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 10.06K | $0.001 | $10.06 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 10.46K | $0.001 | $10.46 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?No | sell | 1.14 | $0.882 | $1.01 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?No | sell | 1.27 | $0.961 | $1.22 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?No | sell | 1.36 | $0.920 | $1.25 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No | sell | 1.83 | $0.919 | $1.68 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Yes | buy | 1.66 | $0.995 | $1.65 | May 23, 2026 |
| OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?No | buy | 1.14 | $0.945 | $1.08 | May 23, 2026 |
 Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by May 31?No | buy | 1.29 | $0.991 | $1.28 | May 23, 2026 |
| Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?No | buy | 1.37 | $0.920 | $1.26 | May 23, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?No | buy | 1.28 | $0.947 | $1.21 | May 23, 2026 |
 Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?No | buy | 1.36 | $0.975 | $1.33 | May 23, 2026 |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No | buy | 1.83 | $0.917 | $1.68 | May 23, 2026 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.49 | $0.994 | $1.48 | May 23, 2026 |
 Will Alfonso López Chau win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 1.9K | $0.001 | $1.9 | May 16, 2026 |
 Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 3.3K | $0.001 | $3.3 | May 16, 2026 |
| Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 5.8K | $0.001 | $5.8 | May 16, 2026 |
 Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?No | sell | 1.27 | $0.953 | $1.21 | May 15, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 5.24 | $0.982 | $5.15 | May 15, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 5.24 | $0.984 | $5.16 | May 6, 2026 |
 Will PSG win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?Yes | buy | 1.15 | $0.967 | $1.11 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Will Ausar Thompson lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?Yes | buy | 1.68 | $0.999 | $1.68 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?No | buy | 1.19 | $0.936 | $1.11 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Viktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.29 | $0.989 | $1.28 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.35 | $0.949 | $1.28 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?No | buy | 1.28 | $0.948 | $1.21 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes | buy | 1.41 | $0.945 | $1.33 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Trump out as President by April 30?No | buy | 1.09 | $0.989 | $1.08 | Apr 12, 2026 |