Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 6.47K | $0.636 | $3.4K | -$721.67 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.590 | $59 | 1d ago |
|
| No |
| 1.88K |
| $0.927 |
| $1.82K |
| +$76.97 |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | Yes | 1.45K | $0.718 | $1.4K | +$357.54 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | Yes | 1.36K | $0.856 | $1.16K | -$8.4 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.44K | $0.753 | $1.13K | +$38.59 |
 China x Philippines military clash before 2027? | No | 1K | $0.707 | $735 | +$28 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? | No | 700 | $0.750 | $612.5 | +$87.5 |
 Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election? | Yes | 613.09 | $0.940 | $602.05 | +$25.75 |
 Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 617.68 | $0.809 | $569.5 | +$69.67 |
 Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | Yes | 606.85 | $0.810 | $512.79 | +$21.24 |
 Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | Yes | 557.14 | $0.822 | $442.93 | -$15.07 |
 Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026? | No | 371.99 | $0.880 | $366.04 | +$38.69 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 462.58 | $0.708 | $340 | +$12.68 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 341.15 | $0.868 | $301.92 | +$5.7 |
 Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026? | No | 300 | $0.700 | $268.5 | +$58.5 |
 Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? | No | 500 | $0.516 | $262.5 | +$4.5 |
 Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by September 15, 2026? | No | 281.37 | $0.880 | $249.01 | +$1.41 |
 Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 21? | No | 300 | $0.790 | $234 | -$3 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 400 | $0.500 | $186 | -$14 |
 Will Belit Onay win the next Hannover mayoral election? | Yes | 227.59 | $0.760 | $174.11 | +$1.14 |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30? | No | 200 | $0.725 | $145 | +$0 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31? | No | 100 | $0.670 | $86.5 | +$19.5 |
| buy |
| 200 |
| $0.590 |
| $118 |
| 1d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?No | buy | 58.04 | $0.720 | $41.79 | 2d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?No | buy | 100 | $0.730 | $73 | 2d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 21?No | buy | 300 | $0.790 | $237 | 2d ago |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?No | buy | 33 | $0.940 | $31.02 | 2d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Yes | buy | 637.53 | $0.880 | $561.03 | 2d ago |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?No | buy | 107.04 | $0.942 | $100.83 | 2d ago |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?No | buy | 359.74 | $0.941 | $338.52 | 2d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.500 | $200 | 2d ago |
| Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by September 15, 2026?No | buy | 281.37 | $0.880 | $247.61 | 2d ago |
| Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 606.85 | $0.810 | $491.55 | 2d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 283.15 | $0.870 | $246.34 | 2d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 58 | $0.860 | $49.88 | 2d ago |
| Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 300 | $0.700 | $210 | 2d ago |
| Will Belit Onay win the next Hannover mayoral election?Yes | buy | 227.59 | $0.760 | $172.97 | 4d ago |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.790 | $158 | 6d ago |
| Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 300 | $0.520 | $156 | 6d ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.580 | $58 | 11d ago |
 Will CrowdStrike Holdings (CRWD) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 263.69 | $0.910 | $239.96 | 15d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Yes | buy | 264.43 | $0.880 | $232.7 | 15d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Yes | buy | 134.59 | $0.880 | $118.44 | 15d ago |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 112 | $0.700 | $78.4 | 17d ago |
 Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 68.5 | $0.890 | $60.97 | 18d ago |
| Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.890 | $133.5 | 18d ago |
| Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 26.4 | $0.889 | $23.47 | 18d ago |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 280.47 | $0.710 | $199.13 | 18d ago |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 70.11 | $0.710 | $49.78 | 18d ago |
| Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 31 | $0.931 | $28.86 | 18d ago |
| Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 35 | $0.928 | $32.48 | 18d ago |
 Will Bath & Body Works (BBWI) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 187.21 | $0.730 | $136.66 | 18d ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 158.73 | $0.630 | $100 | 18d ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 158.73 | $0.630 | $100 | 18d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 632.64 | $0.948 | $600 | 19d ago |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 247 | $0.809 | $199.82 | 19d ago |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 370.68 | $0.809 | $300 | 19d ago |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 1.54K | $0.194 | $298.53 | 19d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 528.16 | $0.811 | $428.19 | 19d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 603.75 | $0.436 | $263.28 | 19d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 379.69 | $0.433 | $164.22 | 19d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 22.22 | $0.706 | $15.69 | 19d ago |
 Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 193.02 | $0.130 | $25.09 | 20d ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 813.99 | $0.640 | $520.95 | 20d ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 813.99 | $0.640 | $520.95 | 20d ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.640 | $128 | 20d ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.640 | $128 | 20d ago |
| Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 200 | $0.510 | $102 | 21d ago |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 365 | $0.258 | $94.17 | 21d ago |
 Will Katharina Pötter win the next Osnabrück mayoral election?Yes | sell | 403.9 | $0.630 | $254.46 | 21d ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.640 | $192 | 21d ago |