Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027? | No | 15.03 | $0.200 | $14.6 | +$11.6 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026?No | sell | 0.01 | $0.940 | $0.01 | Apr 21, 2026 |
|
| Yes |
| 15.15 |
| $0.066 |
| $14.16 |
| +$13.16 |
 Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? | Yes | 7.97 | $0.377 | $7.45 | +$4.45 |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027? | No | 7.07 | $0.560 | $6.89 | +$2.92 |
 Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026? | No | 5.61 | $0.892 | $5.41 | +$0.41 |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | Yes | 8.94 | $0.447 | $4.78 | +$0.78 |
 Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026? | Yes | 8.29 | $0.482 | $4.6 | +$0.6 |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | No | 10 | $0.300 | $4.55 | +$1.55 |
 Will the Republicans win the Colorado Senate race in 2026? | No | 4.3 | $0.930 | $4.17 | +$0.17 |
 Will the Democrats win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026? | Yes | 4.27 | $0.937 | $4.12 | +$0.12 |
 Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | No | 4.4 | $0.910 | $4.07 | +$0.07 |
 Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026? | No | 3.98 | $0.753 | $3.54 | +$0.54 |
 Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? | No | 4.3 | $0.930 | $3.53 | -$0.47 |
| Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.5% or higher before 2027? | Yes | 20 | $0.050 | $3.18 | +$2.18 |
 Will the Democrats win the Kentucky Senate race in 2026? | No | 3.23 | $0.930 | $3.13 | +$0.13 |
 Will the Democrats win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026? | No | 3.24 | $0.927 | $3.12 | +$0.12 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 3.41 | $0.880 | $2.88 | -$0.12 |
 Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026? | Yes | 3.03 | $0.660 | $2.79 | +$0.79 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 20.53 | $0.050 | $2.72 | +$1.69 |
 Will the Democrats win the Connecticut governor race in 2026? | Yes | 2.13 | $0.940 | $2.04 | +$0.04 |
 Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? | No | 2.44 | $0.410 | $1.87 | +$0.87 |
 Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 23.81 | $0.042 | $1.51 | +$0.51 |
 Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates stay above 2.5% in 2026? | Yes | 1.49 | $0.670 | $1.44 | +$0.44 |
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 5.66 | $0.177 | $1.36 | +$0.36 |
 Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026? | Yes | 1.27 | $0.790 | $1.1 | +$0.1 |
| sell |
| 0.01 |
| $0.940 |
| $0.01 |
| Apr 18, 2026 |
| Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026?No | sell | 0.01 | $0.940 | $0.01 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026?No | sell | 0.05 | $0.940 | $0.05 | Apr 18, 2026 |
 Will the Republicans win the Oklahoma Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 8.01 | $0.054 | $0.43 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026?No | sell | 0.11 | $0.940 | $0.1 | Apr 15, 2026 |
| Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026?No | sell | 0.01 | $0.940 | $0.01 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026?No | sell | 0.01 | $0.940 | $0.01 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026?No | sell | 0.01 | $0.940 | $0.01 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026?No | sell | 0.01 | $0.940 | $0.01 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026?No | sell | 0.01 | $0.930 | $0.01 | Apr 5, 2026 |
 Tom Lee charged by December 31?No | sell | 0.03 | $0.900 | $0.03 | Apr 5, 2026 |
| Tom Lee charged by December 31?No | sell | 0.01 | $0.900 | $0.01 | Apr 3, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by March 31?No | sell | 0.41 | $0.994 | $0.41 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Tom Lee charged by December 31?No | sell | 0.02 | $0.910 | $0.02 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 5.65 | $0.177 | $1 | Apr 1, 2026 |
 U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?No | sell | 0.65 | $0.988 | $0.64 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026?No | sell | 0.01 | $0.940 | $0.01 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 0.61 | $0.064 | $0.04 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026?No | sell | 0.01 | $0.930 | $0.01 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| Tom Lee charged by December 31?No | sell | 0.3 | $0.900 | $0.27 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026?No | sell | 0.05 | $0.930 | $0.05 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?No | sell | 0.01 | $0.940 | $0.01 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.947 | $1 | Mar 19, 2026 |
 Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Yes | sell | 3.37 | $0.210 | $0.71 | Mar 19, 2026 |
 Fannie Mae IPO before 2027?No | buy | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Yes | sell | 2.95 | $0.200 | $0.59 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Yes | sell | 1.14 | $0.200 | $0.23 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Yes | sell | 0.43 | $0.200 | $0.09 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Yes | sell | 0.63 | $0.190 | $0.12 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 SBF released from custody in 2026?Yes | sell | 0.84 | $0.120 | $0.1 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| SBF released from custody in 2026?Yes | sell | 0.1 | $0.120 | $0.01 | Mar 17, 2026 |
 No one announced as next James Bond?Yes | sell | 0.3 | $0.570 | $0.17 | Mar 17, 2026 |
 Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?No | buy | 1.3 | $0.770 | $1 | Mar 17, 2026 |
 Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?Yes | buy | 1.33 | $0.750 | $1 | Mar 17, 2026 |
 Will Trump visit China by March 31?No | sell | 2.06 | $0.949 | $1.95 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| SBF released from custody in 2026?Yes | sell | 0.2 | $0.120 | $0.02 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| SBF released from custody in 2026?Yes | sell | 0.18 | $0.120 | $0.02 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| SBF released from custody in 2026?Yes | sell | 0.09 | $0.120 | $0.01 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| SBF released from custody in 2026?Yes | sell | 0.11 | $0.120 | $0.01 | Mar 16, 2026 |
 Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | sell | 0.14 | $0.101 | $0.01 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | sell | 0.06 | $0.101 | $0.01 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | sell | 0.06 | $0.101 | $0.01 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | sell | 0.12 | $0.101 | $0.01 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | sell | 0.01 | $0.101 | $0 | Mar 16, 2026 |
 Will The Secret Agent win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 3.57 | $0.280 | $1 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | sell | 0.02 | $0.101 | $0 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | sell | 0.08 | $0.101 | $0.01 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | sell | 0.01 | $0.102 | $0 | Mar 16, 2026 |