Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027? | No | 20 | $0.899 | $18.93 | +$0.94 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Jul 3, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 11 |
| $0.786 |
| $9.9 |
| +$1.25 |
 Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027? | No | 11 | $0.840 | $9.74 | +$0.5 |
| Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? | No | 8 | $0.878 | $7.03 | +$0.01 |
 Modi out by December 31, 2026? | No | 5 | $0.925 | $4.68 | +$0.05 |
 Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027? | Yes | 6 | $0.330 | $1.08 | -$0.9 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? | Yes | 10 | $0.100 | $0.65 | -$0.35 |
| Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027? | Yes | 5 | $0.200 | $0.58 | -$0.43 |
| Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027? | Yes | 5 | $0.200 | $0.5 | -$0.5 |
| buy |
| 8 |
| $0.878 |
| $7.02 |
| Jun 25, 2026 |
| U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?No | buy | 6 | $0.910 | $5.46 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?No | buy | 5 | $0.770 | $3.85 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?No | buy | 11 | $0.840 | $9.24 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?No | buy | 7 | $0.900 | $6.3 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?No | buy | 7 | $0.890 | $6.23 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.330 | $1.98 | May 27, 2026 |
 Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes | buy | 7 | $0.530 | $3.71 | Apr 26, 2026 |
| Modi out by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 9 | $0.900 | $8.1 | Apr 26, 2026 |
| U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?Yes | buy | 7 | $0.200 | $1.4 | Apr 22, 2026 |
 Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 7 | $0.180 | $1.26 | Apr 22, 2026 |
 Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?No | buy | 5 | $0.938 | $4.69 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?No | buy | 6 | $0.800 | $4.8 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | Apr 22, 2026 |
 U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027?No | buy | 7 | $0.800 | $5.6 | Mar 28, 2026 |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027?Yes | buy | 13 | $0.200 | $2.6 | Mar 28, 2026 |
 Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?No | buy | 5 | $0.430 | $2.15 | Mar 28, 2026 |
| Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | buy | 21 | $0.570 | $11.97 | Mar 28, 2026 |
| Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?No | buy | 38 | $0.450 | $17.1 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | buy | 14 | $0.550 | $7.7 | Mar 26, 2026 |
 Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?No | buy | 38 | $0.610 | $23.18 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?Yes | buy | 23 | $0.400 | $9.2 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?Yes | buy | 7 | $0.360 | $2.52 | Mar 17, 2026 |