Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US military draft authorized in 2026? | Yes | 24.14 | $0.140 | $0.76 | -$2.62 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?Yes | sell | 6.42 | $0.280 | $1.8 | Apr 5, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 4.71 |
| $0.900 |
| $4.24 |
| Apr 5, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes | sell | 4.91 | $0.998 | $4.9 | Apr 5, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31?No | sell | 8.1 | $0.470 | $3.81 | Mar 25, 2026 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei tweet again on March 17?No | sell | 8.33 | $0.810 | $6.75 | Mar 17, 2026 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?Yes | sell | 10.9 | $0.340 | $3.71 | Mar 17, 2026 |
 US announces military support of Iran opposition by March 31?No | sell | 3.52 | $0.900 | $3.17 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | sell | 11.49 | $0.374 | $4.29 | Mar 17, 2026 |
 Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?No | sell | 8.47 | $0.690 | $5.84 | Mar 17, 2026 |
 US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?No | sell | 6.55 | $0.730 | $4.78 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31?Yes | sell | 28.57 | $0.160 | $4.57 | Mar 17, 2026 |
 Solana Up or Down - March 17, 8:35AM-8:40AM ETUp | buy | 6.72 | $0.230 | $1.55 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Solana Up or Down - March 17, 8:30AM-8:35AM ETDown | buy | 2.56 | $0.380 | $0.97 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Solana Up or Down - March 17, 8:30AM-8:35AM ETDown | buy | 2.2 | $0.440 | $0.97 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Solana Up or Down - March 17, 8:30AM-8:35AM ETDown | buy | 2.31 | $0.420 | $0.97 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei tweet again on March 17?No | buy | 8.33 | $0.480 | $4 | Mar 17, 2026 |
 Will Israel strike 3 countries in March 2026?Yes | sell | 7.06 | $0.490 | $3.46 | Mar 17, 2026 |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?No | sell | 5 | $0.910 | $4.55 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Will Israel strike 2 countries in March 2026?Yes | sell | 6.25 | $0.090 | $0.56 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?Yes | buy | 10.91 | $0.330 | $3.6 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will Israel strike 3 countries in March 2026?Yes | buy | 7.07 | $0.283 | $2 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will Israel strike 2 countries in March 2026?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.480 | $3 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31?Yes | sell | 6.66 | $0.670 | $4.46 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?No | sell | 6.53 | $0.550 | $3.59 | Mar 16, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 5:00AM-5:05AM ETUp | buy | 24.68 | $0.200 | $4.94 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 5:00AM-5:05AM ETDown | sell | 6.83 | $0.810 | $5.53 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 5:00AM-5:05AM ETDown | buy | 6.74 | $0.620 | $4.18 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 4:55AM-5:00AM ETUp | buy | 5.93 | $0.510 | $3.02 | Mar 16, 2026 |
 Will Solana reach $110 in March?Yes | buy | 10.71 | $0.280 | $3 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?No | buy | 6.56 | $0.610 | $4 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?No | sell | 17.42 | $0.830 | $14.46 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 8.59 | $0.370 | $3.18 | Mar 13, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $650b and $660b on March 31?Yes | sell | 18.75 | $0.170 | $3.19 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| US military draft authorized in 2026?Yes | buy | 24.14 | $0.140 | $3.38 | Mar 13, 2026 |
 North Korea missile test/launch by March 31?No | sell | 7.89 | $0.390 | $3.08 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?No | buy | 7.81 | $0.640 | $5 | Mar 13, 2026 |
 Will Khamenei tweet again on March 13, 2026?Yes | sell | 5.31 | $0.999 | $5.3 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?No | buy | 6.54 | $0.540 | $3.53 | Mar 12, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes | buy | 4.92 | $0.610 | $3 | Mar 12, 2026 |
 Will Iran strike Ruwais Refinery by March 31?No | buy | 7.14 | $0.560 | $4 | Mar 12, 2026 |
| Will Khamenei tweet again on March 13, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.32 | $0.941 | $5 | Mar 12, 2026 |
| Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?No | buy | 8.47 | $0.590 | $5 | Mar 12, 2026 |
| Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31?Yes | buy | 28.57 | $0.140 | $4 | Mar 12, 2026 |
| Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.600 | $4 | Mar 12, 2026 |
 Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 15?Yes | sell | 14.52 | $0.230 | $3.34 | Mar 12, 2026 |
 Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?Yes | sell | 4.03 | $0.967 | $3.9 | Mar 12, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?No | buy | 8.11 | $0.370 | $3 | Mar 12, 2026 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | buy | 4.71 | $0.849 | $4 | Mar 12, 2026 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | buy | 11.49 | $0.348 | $4 | Mar 12, 2026 |
| US announces military support of Iran opposition by March 31?No | buy | 3.53 | $0.850 | $3 | Mar 12, 2026 |