Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No | sell | 1.19 | $0.943 | $1.12 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 1.36 |
| $0.883 |
| $1.2 |
| Aug 4, 2026 |
 Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.3 | $0.950 | $1.23 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?Yes | sell | 1.27 | $0.993 | $1.26 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No | sell | 1.37 | $0.919 | $1.26 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Will Venezuela become 51st state?No | sell | 1.31 | $0.973 | $1.27 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No | sell | 1.4 | $0.962 | $1.35 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?No | sell | 1.47 | $0.980 | $1.44 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will Venezuela become 51st state?No | buy | 1.31 | $0.977 | $1.28 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?Yes | buy | 1.27 | $0.990 | $1.26 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 1.38 | $0.921 | $1.27 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No | buy | 1.19 | $0.934 | $1.11 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 1.36 | $0.925 | $1.26 | Jul 9, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.4 | $0.980 | $1.37 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.31 | $0.950 | $1.24 | Jul 9, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.25 | $0.986 | $1.23 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No | buy | 1.4 | $0.957 | $1.34 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?No | buy | 1.48 | $0.961 | $1.42 | Jul 9, 2026 |
 Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?No | buy | 1.16 | $0.963 | $1.12 | Jul 9, 2026 |
 Will France win on 2026-07-04?Yes | buy | 15.42 | $0.840 | $12.95 | Jul 4, 2026 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?No | sell | 1.21 | $0.957 | $1.16 | Jul 4, 2026 |
 Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?Yes | sell | 1.22 | $0.964 | $1.18 | Jul 4, 2026 |
 Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping be the top grossing movie of 2026?No | sell | 1.34 | $0.996 | $1.33 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?Yes | buy | 1.22 | $0.959 | $1.17 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.17 | $0.994 | $1.16 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.22 | $0.950 | $1.16 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?No | buy | 1.21 | $0.950 | $1.15 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?No | buy | 1.46 | $0.994 | $1.45 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Iran coup attempt by June 30?No | buy | 1.47 | $0.989 | $1.45 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?No | buy | 1.24 | $0.998 | $1.24 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia?No | buy | 1.45 | $0.999 | $1.45 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?No | buy | 1.28 | $0.999 | $1.28 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping be the top grossing movie of 2026?No | buy | 1.35 | $0.996 | $1.34 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | buy | 1.28 | $0.995 | $1.27 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 13.98K | $0.001 | $13.98 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 14.53K | $0.001 | $14.53 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk and Sam Altman settle?No | sell | 1.11 | $0.958 | $1.06 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Will Rodina win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | sell | 1.14 | $0.997 | $1.14 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?No | sell | 1.24 | $0.987 | $1.22 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Lai Ching-te impeached by June 30?No | sell | 1.25 | $0.982 | $1.23 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?No | sell | 1.34 | $0.938 | $1.26 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | sell | 1.38 | $0.947 | $1.31 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 1.34 | $0.990 | $1.33 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?No | sell | 1.4 | $0.980 | $1.37 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Will Rodina win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | buy | 1.14 | $0.998 | $1.14 | May 19, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk and Sam Altman settle?No | buy | 1.11 | $0.978 | $1.09 | May 19, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?No | buy | 1.23 | $0.960 | $1.18 | May 19, 2026 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | buy | 1.39 | $0.958 | $1.33 | May 19, 2026 |
 GTA VI released before June 2026?No | buy | 1.46 | $0.995 | $1.45 | May 19, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?No | buy | 1.24 | $0.983 | $1.22 | May 19, 2026 |