Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump say "Stupid" during Fox interview on Wednesday?Yes | buy | 1.69 | $0.590 | $1 | Apr 15, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 10.64 |
| $0.470 |
| $5 |
| Apr 15, 2026 |
 Will Mark Rutte say "Cyber" during his speech on April 9?Yes | buy | 37.59 | $0.027 | $1 | Apr 9, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C or higher on April 9?Yes | buy | 10.07 | $0.470 | $4.74 | Apr 9, 2026 |
 Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?No | buy | 6.45 | $0.465 | $3 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Will Trump attend UFC 327?No | buy | 45.45 | $0.110 | $5 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Will Iran strike Mina Al-Ahmadi Refinery by April 30?No | buy | 6.17 | $0.162 | $1 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike East–West Crude Oil Pipeline by April 30?No | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Will "Instagram" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience of the week? (April 6)Yes | buy | 14.71 | $0.068 | $1 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Too late" during events with Rutte?Yes | buy | 3.22 | $0.311 | $1 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Biden" or "Obama" 6+ times during events with Rutte?No | buy | 1.25 | $0.800 | $1 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on April 9?Yes | buy | 17.41 | $0.052 | $0.91 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on April 9?Yes | buy | 5.73 | $0.160 | $0.92 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Will JD Vance say "EU" or "European Union" during meetings with Orbán?Yes | buy | 3.13 | $0.320 | $1 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Will "Trump" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience of the week? (April 6)Yes | buy | 35.17 | $0.028 | $1 | Apr 8, 2026 |