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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
US recession by end of 2026?No | sell | 13 | $0.920 | $11.96 | 18d ago |
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| sell |
| 15 |
| $0.994 |
| $14.91 |
| 18d ago |
Trump out as President before 2027?No | sell | 17 | $0.930 | $15.81 | 18d ago |
Will Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | sell | 16 | $0.998 | $15.97 | 18d ago |
EU dissolves before 2027?No | sell | 16.5 | $0.976 | $16.1 | 18d ago |
Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?No | sell | 17 | $0.988 | $16.8 | 18d ago |
Xi Jinping out before 2027?No | sell | 18 | $0.950 | $17.1 | 18d ago |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | sell | 18 | $0.960 | $17.28 | 18d ago |
China coup attempt before 2027?No | sell | 19 | $0.955 | $18.15 | 18d ago |
Fed abolished before 2027?No | sell | 39 | $0.988 | $38.52 | 18d ago |
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy before 2027?-kuQeNo | sell | 40 | $0.976 | $39.04 | 18d ago |
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy before 2027?No | sell | 46 | $0.972 | $44.71 | 18d ago |
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | sell | 19 | $0.962 | $18.28 | 18d ago |
US defaults on debt by 2027?No | sell | 19 | $0.967 | $18.37 | 18d ago |
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?No | sell | 19 | $0.982 | $18.66 | 18d ago |
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?No | sell | 33 | $0.986 | $32.54 | 18d ago |
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?No | sell | 34 | $0.973 | $33.08 | 18d ago |
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No | sell | 66 | $0.980 | $64.68 | 18d ago |
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?No | buy | 100 | $0.954 | $95.4 | Feb 12, 2026 |
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?No | buy | 18 | $0.957 | $17.23 | Feb 6, 2026 |
China coup attempt before 2027?No | buy | 19 | $0.910 | $17.29 | Feb 6, 2026 |
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?No | buy | 19 | $0.982 | $18.66 | Feb 2, 2026 |
US defaults on debt by 2027?No | buy | 19 | $0.964 | $18.32 | Jan 31, 2026 |
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 19 | $0.880 | $16.72 | Jan 31, 2026 |
Xi Jinping out before 2027?No | buy | 18 | $0.930 | $16.74 | Jan 27, 2026 |
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy before 2027?No | buy | 9 | $0.958 | $8.62 | Jan 25, 2026 |
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?No | buy | 18 | $0.944 | $16.99 | Jan 23, 2026 |
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy before 2027?-kuQeNo | buy | 18 | $0.978 | $17.6 | Jan 22, 2026 |
Trump out as President before 2027?No | buy | 17 | $0.860 | $14.62 | Jan 22, 2026 |
Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?No | buy | 17 | $0.983 | $16.71 | Jan 20, 2026 |
Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day?No | buy | 19 | $0.987 | $18.75 | Jan 18, 2026 |
Will Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | buy | 16 | $0.997 | $15.95 | Jan 16, 2026 |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 18 | $0.920 | $16.56 | Jan 15, 2026 |
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No | buy | 16 | $0.972 | $15.55 | Jan 14, 2026 |
US civil war before 2027?No | buy | 16 | $0.918 | $14.69 | Jan 13, 2026 |
EU dissolves before 2027?No | buy | 16.5 | $0.954 | $15.74 | Jan 12, 2026 |
Fed abolished before 2027?No | buy | 14 | $0.961 | $13.45 | Jan 8, 2026 |
US recession by end of 2026?No | buy | 13 | $0.770 | $10.01 | Jan 3, 2026 |
Will Mistral have a #1 AI model this year?No | sell | 92 | $0.997 | $91.72 | Dec 30, 2025 |
Will Mistral have a #1 AI model this year?No | buy | 109 | $0.999 | $108.89 | Dec 28, 2025 |
Will Gold close above $5000 at the end of 2025?No | sell | 111 | $0.998 | $110.78 | Dec 26, 2025 |
Will Gold close above $5000 at the end of 2025?No | buy | 111 | $0.994 | $110.33 | Dec 25, 2025 |
Will Gold close at $3,200 or more at the end of 2025?Yes | sell | 109 | $0.995 | $108.46 | Dec 21, 2025 |
Will Gold close at $3,200 or more at the end of 2025?Yes | buy | 109 | $0.996 | $108.56 | Dec 20, 2025 |
Will Gold close at $3,200 or more at the end of 2025?Yes | sell | 111 | $0.995 | $110.45 | Dec 17, 2025 |
Will Gold close at $3,200 or more at the end of 2025?Yes | buy | 111 | $0.995 | $110.45 | Dec 16, 2025 |
Will Jesus Christ return in 2025?No | sell | 110 | $0.995 | $109.45 | Dec 11, 2025 |
Will Jesus Christ return in 2025?No | buy | 111 | $0.996 | $110.56 | Dec 10, 2025 |
Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?No | sell | 106 | $0.968 | $102.61 | Dec 6, 2025 |
Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?No | buy | 106 | $0.970 | $102.82 | Dec 6, 2025 |