Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | No | 634.84 | $0.716 | $519.61 | +$65.03 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.370 | $37 | 2d ago |
 |
| No |
| 400 |
| $0.190 |
| $318 |
| +$242 |
 Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? | No | 200 | $0.435 | $172 | +$85 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 300 | $0.450 | $61.5 | -$73.5 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | No | 100 | $0.590 | $60.5 | +$1.5 |
 Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31? | No | 60 | $0.490 | $52.5 | +$23.1 |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31? | No | 50.1 | $0.690 | $47.09 | +$12.53 |
 Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31? | No | 50.01 | $0.504 | $42.76 | +$17.54 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 50 | $0.440 | $40.25 | +$18.25 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in September? | No | 50 | $0.780 | $38.75 | -$0.25 |
| Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by September 30? | No | 20 | $0.780 | $18.95 | +$3.35 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in September? | Yes | 100 | $0.210 | $6.5 | -$14.5 |
 OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026? | Yes | 5.63 | $0.718 | $2.92 | -$1.12 |
| Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? | No | 10 | $0.730 | $2.15 | -$5.15 |
 Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027? | No | 1.28 | $0.900 | $1.13 | -$0.03 |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | No | 0.59 | $0.873 | $0.51 | +$0 |
| buy |
| 10 |
| $0.730 |
| $7.3 |
| Aug 13, 2026 |
 Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 15?No | buy | 41.35 | $0.725 | $30 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in August?Yes | sell | 38.79 | $0.999 | $38.75 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in August?Yes | buy | 38.79 | $0.773 | $30 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?No | sell | 100 | $0.630 | $63 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.410 | $41 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | buy | 296.06 | $0.672 | $198.97 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | sell | 200 | $0.992 | $198.4 | Jul 25, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by July 31?No | buy | 65.04 | $0.032 | $2.06 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No | sell | 200 | $0.999 | $199.8 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander ZverevJannik Sinner | buy | 20 | $0.820 | $16.4 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 400 | $0.068 | $27.2 | Jul 4, 2026 |
 Spread: France (-2.5)France | buy | 8.86 | $0.560 | $4.96 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Will Saudi Arabia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 7 | $0.690 | $4.83 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will Cape Verde advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 10 | $0.300 | $3 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will Cape Verde advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 10 | $0.580 | $5.8 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.021 | $2.1 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Will Karl-Anthony Towns win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?No | buy | 50 | $0.958 | $47.9 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Will Karl-Anthony Towns win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?No | buy | 20 | $0.959 | $19.18 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.380 | $3.8 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.423 | $8.46 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionYes | buy | 10 | $0.850 | $8.5 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.563 | $5.63 | May 24, 2026 |
 Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | sell | 2.04 | $0.650 | $1.33 | May 23, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by May 21?No | buy | 113 | $0.930 | $105.09 | May 20, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by May 31?No | sell | 105.52 | $0.950 | $100.24 | May 20, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 21?No | buy | 38 | $0.890 | $33.82 | May 20, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by May 31?No | sell | 35 | $0.951 | $33.29 | May 20, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by May 31?No | buy | 67 | $0.910 | $60.97 | May 19, 2026 |
 Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.690 | $3.45 | May 17, 2026 |
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.174 | $34.8 | May 16, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.740 | $14.8 | May 16, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?No | sell | 159.99 | $0.999 | $159.83 | May 16, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Fentanyl" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes | buy | 14.68 | $0.210 | $3.08 | May 14, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?No | sell | 13 | $0.993 | $12.91 | May 14, 2026 |
| Starmer out by May 15, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.892 | $89.2 | May 12, 2026 |
 US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?No | sell | 100 | $0.992 | $99.2 | May 12, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.956 | $38.24 | May 11, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?No | sell | 39 | $0.989 | $38.57 | May 11, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.967 | $96.7 | May 11, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?No | sell | 80 | $0.800 | $64 | May 11, 2026 |
 Kash Patel out by December 31?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.630 | $31.5 | May 11, 2026 |
| US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?No | buy | 40 | $0.910 | $36.4 | May 10, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?No | buy | 39 | $0.900 | $35.1 | May 10, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.839 | $16.78 | May 10, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by May 31?No | sell | 10 | $0.930 | $9.3 | May 10, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?No | buy | 52.99 | $0.871 | $46.15 | May 9, 2026 |
 Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in May?No | sell | 29 | $0.940 | $27.26 | May 9, 2026 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?No | sell | 20 | $0.941 | $18.82 | May 9, 2026 |